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Residential mobility and the realignment of electoral politics in established democracies

Description du projet

La mobilité résidentielle dans les démocraties établies

La polarisation sur les questions culturelles et la montée de la droite radicale populiste signifient un réalignement de la politique électorale, caractérisé par une confrontation entre les valeurs paroissiales et cosmopolites. Le projet RESPOL, financé par le CER, présente la mobilité résidentielle comme un facteur essentiel mais peu exploré de ces évolutions. RESPOL théorise la façon dont la mobilité résidentielle façonne les attitudes politiques et les réalignements électoraux en intégrant des idées inspirées de la psychologie et de la théorie du capital social. La mobilité résidentielle, trois fois plus fréquente que la migration internationale, favoriserait l’individualisme et la tolérance grâce à des interactions diverses, tandis que l’immobilité devrait renforcer les clivages entre groupes internes et externes. À l’aide de données transnationales et infranationales, il teste systématiquement ces idées aux niveaux individuel et global, offrant ainsi de nouvelles perspectives sur la dynamique des conflits politiques dans les démocraties établies.

Objectif

Polarization over cultural issues and the rise of the populist radical right indicate a fundamental realignment of electoral politics in established democracies around a new political cleavage characterized by an antagonism between parochial and cosmopolitan values. RESPOL introduces residential mobility as a fundamental determinant of these developments. In advancing a novel research agenda on residential mobility, the project also integrates and provides new perspectives on existing research.

Residential mobility exceeds the volume of international migration, on which much research on the rise of the radical right focuses, by a factor of three. Although its significance is recognized in demography and psychology, residential mobility has yet to be widely recognized in political science. Psychological research considers residential mobility an essential driver of cultural change and has shown how mobile communities foster individualism and tolerance through frequent interactions with strangers. In contrast, immobile communities promote stability and stronger social ties but intensify perceptions of in-group and out-group differences. The relevance of these observations has been highlighted in the wake of `Brexit,' framed by some as a confrontation between rooted `somewheres' and mobile `anywheres,' but the political impact of residential mobility lacks systematic study.

Drawing on research in psychology and social capital theory, the project will develop a comprehensive theoretical account of how residential mobility affects political attitudes and behavior to explain electoral realignment in established democracies. The project will use innovative combinations of cross- and sub-national data on residential mobility and political outcomes to systematically test its theoretical propositions at the individual and aggregate levels. In doing so, RESPOL promises to significantly advance our understanding of the evolution of political conflict in electoral democracies.

We postpone the start of the project until after 30 September 2025. In this case there would be no ambiguity about my engagement by Chemnitz University of Technology. Regarding the groundbreaking nature of the project: As outlined in my proposal, to date there are only three journal publications in demography/geography and one journalistic book on the potential influence of residential mobility on political opinions or voting choices, none of which are able to provide the causal evidence that my project aims to provide. I am not aware of any new publications that have come out since I submitted my proposal. As outlined in my proposal, I am only aware of two unpublished working papers on the political effects of residential mobility, one of which I co-authored. The author of the other working paper seems to be more interested in the effects of residential mobility on civic and political engagement than on political attitudes and voting or electoral realignment more broadly. As for the specifics of my research proposal, nothing in the research design requires that the project begin at any particular point in time. The proposal calls for unique survey work to be conducted in Germany, Sweden, and the United States. Given the 5-year duration of the project and the maximum 4-year term lengths for national legislatures and/or executive branches in Germany, Sweden, and the U.S. I am guaranteed to be able to cover at least one national election per country case study with a unique survey, regardless of the start date of the project. In summary, I am optimistic that a later start date would not negatively impact the groundbreaking nature of the project.

Champ scientifique (EuroSciVoc)

CORDIS classe les projets avec EuroSciVoc, une taxonomie multilingue des domaines scientifiques, grâce à un processus semi-automatique basé sur des techniques TLN. Voir: https://op.europa.eu/en/web/eu-vocabularies/euroscivoc.

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Régime de financement

HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

Institution d’accueil

TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET CHEMNITZ
Contribution nette de l'UE
€ 1 442 383,75
Adresse
STRASSE DER NATIONEN 62
09111 Chemnitz
Allemagne

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Région
Sachsen Chemnitz Chemnitz
Type d’activité
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Liens
Coût total
€ 1 442 383,75

Bénéficiaires (1)