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Revealing Extinction Risk through Comparative Genomics and Artificial Intelligence

Project description

Genomics and AI for predicting species extinction risk

Understanding why species become extinct is a central question in evolutionary biology and for preservation of biodiversity. The red list of threatened species by the International Union for Conservation of Nature uses factors like population size and external threats to predict the rate of decline and extinction risk for each species. However, it overlooks genetic factors which can provide insight into genetic diversity and harmful mutations that may influence extinction risk. With the support of the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the REVEAL project will combine large-scale bird genomic data, computer simulations, and artificial intelligence to uncover genetic signatures linked to extinction risk. Researchers will evaluate the strengths and limitations of reference genomes in predicting extinction risk to guide conservation strategies.

Objective

Understanding species extinction risk is a crucial goal in Evolutionary Biology and a contemporary societal challenge. The standard
method for assessing extinction risk, the IUCN Red List, focuses on external threats and overlooks genetic factors. Despite some weak
and variable correlations, genetic diversity offers insights beyond the Red List, potentially resulting in an underestimation of
extinction risk. Genomic data, generated rapidly through initiatives like the Bird 10,000 Genomes Project, has the potential to
enhance assessments by revealing historical population demography, genetic diversity, and the genetic load of deleterious
mutations. Recently, there has been excitement about the potential of reference genomes in conservation genomics. However, the
actual potential and limitations of single reference genomes in informing conservation strategies remain unexplored. To address this
gap, I propose a comprehensive approach, REVEAL, which integrates comparative genomics and individual-based simulations within
a robust Artificial Intelligence (AI) framework. The proposal comprises three steps: (i) simulating extinction risk using a broad
parameter space with a dataset of at least 3,825 bird genomes generated by the B10K consortium, (ii) training AI models to recognise
genomic signatures associated with extinction risk, based on the previous simulations, and (iii) evaluating the potential and
limitations of single reference genomes for extinction risk assessment, using the trained AI models. In particular, I will focus on avian
species with diverse geographic ranges and ancestral population sizes in order to compare extinction risk predictions, considering
both spatial dynamics and temporal dynamics. REVEAL seeks to move beyond conventional assessments and improve our
understanding of extinction risk evaluation using genomic data, ultimately enhancing our ability to formulate effective species
recovery strategies.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2024-PF-01

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Coordinator

KOBENHAVNS UNIVERSITET
Net EU contribution
€ 247 553,28
Address
NORREGADE 10
1165 KOBENHAVN
Denmark
Region
Danmark Hovedstaden Byen København
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost
No data

Partners (2)