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Integrating behavioural insights and machine learning for smarter regulatory interventions

Project description

Training machine learning in behavioural science to facilitate regulatory governance

Regulatory decisions that address complex societal issues are often based on conventional solutions and intuitive judgements that fail to consider behavioural, cultural and contextual factors. To address this, the ERC-funded BEHAVREG project will create a novel machine learning tool integrated with behavioural data to predict compliance outcomes of regulatory options and facilitate effective decision-making. Exploiting extensive datasets on preliminary impact assessments and post-implementation reviews, it will develop predictive models that evaluate the efficacy of regulatory interventions in different contexts. Essentially, the system will alert regulators to potential adverse or unintended consequences, allowing them to rethink an intervention before moving forward. Overall, this innovative system is expected to improve regulatory design, improving compliance outcomes and public trust.

Objective

Effective regulatory decision-making is essential for addressing complex societal challenges, yet current approaches often rely on intuition and standardized solutions that fail to account for behavioral, cultural, and contextual factors. BEHAVREG will transform regulatory governance by developing an innovative decision aid tool that integrates machine learning with behavioral science to predict likely compliance outcomes of regulatory choices and enable more effective intervention design. This project leverages comprehensive datasets, including ex-ante impact assessments and post-implementation reviews, to develop sophisticated predictive models that assess intervention effectiveness across diverse contexts. The tool analyzes critical factors such as compliance costs, social control mechanisms, institutional trust, and cultural norms to provide nuanced recommendations that move
beyond binary regulatory choices.
BEHAVREG's machine learning algorithms, trained on structured historical data, will identify patterns to improve prediction accuracy and evaluate regulatory trade-offs. This will empower regulators to select appropriate interventions—whether mandates, incentives, nudges, or information campaigns—precisely tailored to specific regulatory environments. Importantly, the system can predict potential backfire effects and unintended consequences, enabling regulators to anticipate challenges before implementation. By bridging the gap between theoretical insights and practical implementation, BEHAVREG delivers evidence-based predictions and actionable recommendations. This innovation will optimize regulatory design across sectors and cultures and will improve compliance outcomes, reduce enforcement costs, and enhance public trust—representing a significant advancement in regulatory governance with global implications for policy development and implementation.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-ERC-POC - HORIZON ERC Proof of Concept Grants

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) ERC-2025-POC

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Host institution

BAR ILAN UNIVERSITY
Net EU contribution
€ 150 000,00
Address
BAR ILAN UNIVERSITY CAMPUS
52900 Ramat Gan
Israel
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
No data

Beneficiaries (1)