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AI-driven Early Warnings System for Compound Environmental Health Risks in Europe

Objective

In recent years, rapid advances in artificial intelligence have revolutionised atmospheric forecasting, giving rise to AI-based weather prediction models (AIWPs) that collapse forecast runtimes from hours on supercomputers to minutes on a single GPU, while rivalling the skill of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction models (NWPs). Yet this disruptive capacity remains largely untapped in public health, even as Europe faces escalating extremes of heat and air pollution. Crucially, hazards no longer occur in isolation: compound heat-air-pollution events are rising in frequency, duration and severity, disproportionately amplifying health inequalities. However, current health early warning systems (HEWS) still treat temperature and air pollution separately and issue uniform alerts, leaving those most at risk under-informed. It remains completely unexplored whether HEWS can deliver equally accurate warnings across populations under compound exposures.

AI-4-HEALTH addresses this gap by demonstrating the potential of AIWPs to power operational HEWS for compound hazards, enabling faster government and public responses at unprecedented efficiency gains and a minimised carbon footprint, a breakthrough unattainable with conventional NWPs. AI-4-HEALTH will integrate AIWPs with epidemiological models to issue subgroup-specific health alerts, and for the first time, assess the forecast skills by sociodemographic strata, revealing inequalities in warning accuracy between population groups. This interdisciplinary effort directly addresses the urgent need for robust health responses to climate threats. It is strategically aligned with the Horizon Europe Work Programme, in particular Cluster 5 (Climate, Energy and Mobility) and the EU Mission “Adaptation to Climate Change.” Successful delivery will strengthen Europe’s capacity to confront climate and air-pollution challenges in a way that promotes sustainability, equality, diversity, and inclusion.

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Programme(s)

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Topic(s)

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Funding Scheme

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HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships

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Call for proposal

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(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2025-PF

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Coordinator

FUNDACION PRIVADA INSTITUTO DE SALUD GLOBAL BARCELONA
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 194 074,56
Address
C ROSSELLO 132 PLANTA 05
08036 Barcelona
Spain

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Region
Este Cataluña Barcelona
Activity type
Research Organisations
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Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

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