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Climate Extremes, Urbanization, and Mortality in Jordan: Advancing Adaptation and Resilience in an Overheated and Understudied Region

Project description

The impact of climate change on Jordan’s vulnerable populations

Climate change is among the top threats to public health, particularly in the Middle East, where high temperatures coupled with the lack of water make people more susceptible. Jordan is a case in point and has the potential for studying heat-related mortality since it experiences a very extreme climate and has sufficient data. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the ResilientJordan project will study mortality over two decades using data on health, weather and environment collected on a daily basis. The effects on human health from both current and projected future climatic conditions will be examined using the age and gender variables.

Objective

Climate change constitutes one of the most pressing public health concerns of the twenty-first century, with global warming increasing at an unprecedented pace. The combination of high temperature and water scarcity makes the Middle East one of the most vulnerable regions to the impacts of climate change. These vulnerabilities are further exacerbated by structural and geopolitical factors, including rapid population growth, accelerated urbanization, demographic aging, persistent political and military conflicts, and large-scale population displacement. Despite global recognition of the imperative need for climate action in vulnerable areas, evidence of heat-related mortality impacts in the Middle East remains scarce. This is particularly concerning considering that if these climatic trends persist, they could critically compromise the long-term habitability of the region. Within the region, Jordan presents a unique opportunity to address this research gap, as it combines substantial exposure to extreme climatic conditions with reliable data systems and established scientific expertise, offering an ideal setting for research on vulnerable populations.

The overarching aim of ResilientJordan is to close this critical knowledge gap through a highly interdisciplinary approach. The project will integrate more than two decades of individual-level mortality records with daily meteorological, environmental, and greenness exposure data, applying advanced statistical methods to quantify health risks under current and projected climate scenarios. Special emphasis will be placed on vulnerable groups through stratified analyses by age, sex, and sociodemographic characteristics. Ultimately, the project will provide the first comprehensive assessment of the climate-health nexus in the Middle East, generating policy-relevant evidence to guide adaptation and resilience in one of the world's most climate-vulnerable regions.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-GF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - Global Fellowships

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2025-PF

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Coordinator

FUNDACION PRIVADA INSTITUTO DE SALUD GLOBAL BARCELONA
Net EU contribution
€ 420 966,72
Address
C ROSSELLO 132 PLANTA 05
08036 Barcelona
Spain
Region
Este Cataluña Barcelona
Activity type
Research Organisations
Links
Total cost
No data

Partners (2)