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Arctic Tipping Points

Objective

The broad interdisciplinary consortia assembled in the Arctic Tipping Points (ATP) project will be managed (WP1) to identify the elements of the Arctic marine ecosystem likely to show abrupt changes in response to climate change, and establish the levels of the corresponding climate drivers inducing the regime shift for these tipping elements. ATP will evaluate the consequences of crossing those tipping points, and the associated risks and opportunities for economic activities dependent on the Arctic marine ecosystem. Historical records of Arctic climate change and projections of future changes in Arctic sea climate and ice systems are compiled (WP2), and time series of Arctic ecosystem components analysed using novel statistical tools to detect regime shifts and ecological thresholds and tipping points, and evaluate their sensitivity to climatic forcing (WP3). Experimental manipulations and comparative analyses across broad climatic ranges will be used to detect climatic thresholds and tipping points of Arctic organisms and ecosystems, using genome-wide analyses to develop genomic markers of climate-driven stress useful as early-warning indicators of the proximity of tipping points (WP4). A biological-physical coupled 3 D model will be used to generate future trajectories of Arctic ecosystems under projected climate change scenarios and to identify their consequences for the Arctic ecosystem (WP5). The impacts of abrupt changes in the Arctic ecosystems for activities of strategic importance for the European Arctic and the associated impacts on employment and income will be elucidated, and policies and legislative frameworks to adapt and mitigate these impacts will be analysed (WP 6). The effectiveness of possible alternative, post-Kyoto policies and stabilization targets in avoiding climate-driven thresholds in the Arctic ecosystem will be examined, and the results and projections will be conveyed to policy makers, economic sectors and the public in general (WP7).

Field of science

  • /natural sciences/biological sciences/ecology/ecosystems
  • /natural sciences/earth and related environmental sciences/atmospheric sciences/climatology/climatic changes

Call for proposal

FP7-ENV-2008-1
See other projects for this call

Funding Scheme

CP-IP - Large-scale integrating project

Coordinator

UNIVERSITETET I TROMSOE - NORGES ARKTISKE UNIVERSITET
Address
Hansine Hansens Veg 14
9019 Tromso
Norway
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
EU contribution
€ 1 620 947,30
Administrative Contact
Elisabeth Halvorsen (Dr.)

Participants (12)

AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DEINVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS
Spain
EU contribution
€ 950 212,49
Address
Calle Serrano 117
28006 Madrid
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Carlos Manuel Abad Ruiz (Mr.)
AKVAPLAN-NIVA AS
Norway
EU contribution
€ 304 696,80
Address
Hjalmar Johansensgata 14
9007 Tromso
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Kirsti Isaksen (Ms.)
SINTEF FISKERI OG HAVBRUK AS
Norway
EU contribution
€ 250 000
Address
Brattørkaia 17B
7465 Trondheim
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Terje Normann (Mr.)
AARHUS UNIVERSITET
Denmark
EU contribution
€ 674 966,86
Address
Nordre Ringgade 1
8000 Aarhus C
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Bo Riemann (Dr.)
INSTYTUT OCEANOLOGII POLSKIEJ AKADEMII NAUK
Poland
EU contribution
€ 300 000
Address
Ul. Powstancow Warszawy 55
81 712 Sopot
Activity type
Other
Administrative Contact
Joanna Piwowarczyk (Ms.)
THE CHANCELLOR MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE
United Kingdom
EU contribution
€ 99 610,20
Address
Trinity Lane The Old Schools
CB2 1TN Cambridge
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Edna Murphy (Ms.)
UNIVERSITE PIERRE ET MARIE CURIE - PARIS 6
France
EU contribution
€ 100 000
Address
Place Jussieu 4
75252 Paris
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Elena Billi-Rizza (Dr.)
CENTRO DE CIENCIAS DO MAR DO ALGARVE
Portugal
EU contribution
€ 198 404,85
Address
Universidade Do Algarve
8005 032 Faro
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Cristina Inacio (Ms.)
P.P. SHIRSHOV INSTITUTE OF OCEANOLOGY OF RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES
Russia
EU contribution
€ 99 360
Address
Nakhimovsky Prospect 36
117997 Moskva
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Anna Pasternak (Dr.)
GRONLANDS NATURINSTITUT
Greenland
EU contribution
€ 99 900
Address
Kivioq 2
3900 Nuuk
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Kathrine Lund Olsen (Ms.)
KUNGLIGA VETENSKAPSAKADEMIEN
Sweden
EU contribution
€ 200 000
Address
Lilla Frescativagen 4A
104 05 Stockholm
Activity type
Research Organisations
Administrative Contact
Lisbeth Wallin (Ms.)
Klinik Max Planck Institut für Psychiatrie
Germany
EU contribution
€ 99 999,60
Address
Hofgartenstrasse 8
80539 Muenchen
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
Administrative Contact
Claudia Piltz (Ms.)