Objective
NACLIM aims at investigating and quantifying the predictability of the climate in the North Atlantic/European sector related to North Atlantic/Arctic sea surface temperature (SST) and sea ice variability and change on seasonal to decadal time scales. SST and sea-ice forcing have a crucial impact on weather and climate in Europe. Rather than running climate forecasts ourselves, we will analyze the multi-model decadal prediction experiments currently performed as part of the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) and critically assess the quality of predictions of the near-future state of key oceanic and atmospheric quantities relevant to the SST and sea-ice distribution and the related climate. Long-term observations of relevant ocean parameters will be carried out, necessary to assess the forecast skill of the model-based prediction results. We will identify those observations that are key to the quality of the prediction and in turn optimize the present observing system. We will quantify the impact of North Atlantic/European climate change on high trophic levels of the oceanic ecosystem as well as on urban societies.
Fields of science
Programme(s)
Call for proposal
FP7-ENV-2012-two-stage
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Funding Scheme
CP - Collaborative project (generic)Coordinator
20148 Hamburg
Germany
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Participants (17)
80539 Munchen
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75252 PARIS
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5020 Bergen
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5008 BERGEN
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24148 Kiel
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2100 KOBENHAVN
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FO110 TORSHAVN
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00560 Helsinki
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121 REYKJAVIK
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1797 SZ DEN HOORN TEXEL
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PA37 1QA Dunbeg Oban
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SN2 1EU SWINDON WILTSHIRE
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5007 Bergen
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2400 Mol
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3001 LEUVEN
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2800 Kongens Lyngby
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AB119DB Aberdeen
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