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Content archived on 2024-06-18

Macro-Risk Assessment and Stabilization Policies with New<br/>Early Warning Signals

Objective

RASTANEWS intends to enhance knowledge base, at both theoretical and an applied level, on many aspects of the future of macro-economic and monetary integration in Europe thus paving the way to a revised governance of the EMU, and the EU as a whole, in the wake of the debt crisis. We see three key issues about the working of the EU macro-economy that deserve deeper investigation. The first is the issue of incomplete and informationally inefficient financial markets, the Achille’s heel of the consensus DSGE models. The second, related issue, is the heterogeneity in expectations, which should play a fundamental role in explaining the behaviour of asset prices. The third issue is the need to overcome the traditional dichotomy between Keynesian (short run) and neoclassical (long run) policy prescriptions. Taking these issues seriously has important implications for the conduct of EU monetary and fiscal policies and for EU governance system. In addition, to facilitate the timely identification of macro risks, we propose a new system of early warning indicators, to be implemented within the EMU surveillance mechanism. This proposal is consistent with our theoretical framework and is based on an empirical macro-finance approach.

Call for proposal

FP7-SSH-2012-2
See other projects for this call

Coordinator

UNIVERSITA' DEGLI STUDI DI MILANO-BICOCCA
EU contribution
€ 522 537,25
Address
PIAZZA DELL'ATENEO NUOVO 1
20126 MILANO
Italy

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Region
Nord-Ovest Lombardia Milano
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Administrative Contact
Silvia Pesenti (Mrs.)
Links
Total cost
No data

Participants (11)