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Content archived on 2024-05-29

European Dairy Industry Model

Objective

The objective of the proposal is to design and use a set of complementary tools able to simulate the impact of alternative policy scenarios for the dairy sector over a medium term period. The consortium involved has already developed a set of two models which simulate the impact of dairy policies on the main markets variables for milk and 14 dairy products as well as the impacts on income and budgetary costs for the EU-15 at the Member State level for a ten years period. Thus the present proposal consists in: * Improving this existing tool to better represents the dairy industry in the EU-15. The improvements are related to re-estimation of model parameters (mainly related to milk supply and to consumers demand) and to obtaining a better representation of EU trade with the rest of the world. * Extending this tool to acceding countries. Due to time and data constraints, we propose a two level approach. For the main producing countries, we will develop a country module and for the remaining ones we will represent them as a single producing/trading area. * Developing complementary tools to perform more in depth analysis on specific issues. In particular, we will focus on the dynamics of farm structure and on the location of milk production at the regional level. In addition the impact of decoupling on quota rents and milk supply, as well as the potential impact of the different sources of imperfect competition in the dairy industry on milk price formation will be explored. * Using these tools to simulate dairy policy scenarios defined in close collaboration with DG Agri. Each of these items is defined as a workpackage of the project. An additional workpackage is devoted to data collection which is a key point for this project. Finally, a specific workpackage is designed for project management. About 140 person-months from 5 teams (4 scientific teams and one specialised firm in project management)...

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Call for proposal

FP6-2002-SSP-1
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Coordinator

INSTITUT NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE AGRONOMIQUE
EU contribution
No data
Address
147 Rue de l'Universite
PARIS
France

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Total cost
No data

Participants (4)