Forecasting Surface Weather and Climate at One-Month Leads through Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling

Información del proyecto

FORECASToneMONTH

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 677756

DOI

10.3030/677756

Proyecto cerrado

Fecha de la firma de la CE 22 Abril 2016

Fecha de inicio 1 Mayo 2016

Fecha de finalización 31 Octubre 2021

Financiado con arreglo a

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Coste total

€ 1 808 000,00

Aportación de la UE

€ 1 808 000,00

Coordinado por

THE HEBREW UNIVERSITY OF JERUSALEM
Israel

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (33)

The Generic Nature of the Tropospheric Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

Autores: Ian P. White; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Edwin P. Gerber; Martin Jucker; Peter Hitchcock; Jian Rao
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 9, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0697.1

The Southern Hemisphere Minor Sudden Stratospheric Warming in September 2019 and its predictions in S2S Models

Autores: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Chen Schwartz
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research, Edición 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032723

Impact of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Northern Winter Stratospheric Polar Vortex in CMIP5/6 Models

Autores: Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 4, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0663.1

Nonlinear Interaction between the Drivers of the Monsoon and Summertime Stationary Waves

Autores: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Edwin P. Gerber; Ori Adam; Martin Jucker
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 7, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union

Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

Autores: Mark P. Baldwin; Blanca Ayarzagüena; Thomas Birner; Thomas Birner; Neal Butchart; Amy H. Butler; Andrew Charlton-Perez; Daniela I. V. Domeisen; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Hella Garny; Edwin P. Gerber; Michaela I. Hegglin; Ulrike Langematz; Nicholas Pedatella
Publicado en: Review of Geophysics, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 8755-1209
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10502884.1

Projected changes of stratospheric final warmings in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres by CMIP5/6 models

Autores: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05647-6

How Does the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Affect the Boreal Winter Tropospheric Circulation in CMIP5/6 Models?

Autores: Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 1, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0024.1

Predicting the Downward and Surface Influence of the February 2018 and January 2019 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events in Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Models.

Autores: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research, Edición 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019jd031919

Predictability of the early winter Arctic oscillation from autumn Eurasian snowcover in subseasonal forecast models

Autores: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Chen Schwartz; Ian P. White; Jian Rao
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 1, 2020, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05305-3

CMIP5/6 models project little change in the statistical characteristics of sudden stratospheric warmings in the 21st century

Autores: Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd4fe

Arctic Ozone Loss in March 2020 and Its Seasonal Prediction in CFSv2: A Comparative Study with the 1997 and 2011 Cases

Autores: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research, Edición 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033524

MJO-Related Tropical Convection Anomalies Lead to More Accurate Stratospheric Vortex Variability in Subseasonal Forecast Models

Autores: C. I. Garfinkel, C. Schwartz
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 44/19, 2017, Página(s) 10,054-10,062, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017GL074470

Relative roles of the MJO and stratospheric variability in North Atlantic and European winter climate

Autores: Chen Schwartz, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Edición 122/8, 2017, Página(s) 4184-4201, ISSN 2169-897X
Editor: GRL
DOI: 10.1002/2016JD025829

A Census of Atmospheric Variability From Seconds to Decades

Autores: Paul D. Williams, M. Joan Alexander, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Amy H. Butler, Huw C. Davies, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Yochanan Kushnir, Todd P. Lane, Julie K. Lundquist, Olivia Martius, Ryan N. Maue, W. Richard Peltier, Kaoru Sato, Adam A. Scaife, Chidong Zhang
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 44/21, 2017, Página(s) 11,201-11,211, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017GL075483

Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Pathway of Different El Niño Flavors in Stratosphere-Resolving CMIP5 Models

Autores: N. Calvo, M. Iza, M. M. Hurwitz, E. Manzini, C. Peña-Ortiz, A. H. Butler, C. Cagnazzo, S. Ineson, C. I. Garfinkel
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 30/12, 2017, Página(s) 4351-4371, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0132.1

Classification of eastward propagating waves on the spherical Earth

Autores: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Itzhak Fouxon, Ofer Shamir, Nathan Paldor
Publicado en: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Edición 143/704, 2017, Página(s) 1554-1564, ISSN 0035-9009
Editor: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3025

Robustness of the Simulated Tropospheric Response to Ozone Depletion

Autores: William J. M. Seviour, Darryn W. Waugh, Lorenzo M. Polvani, Gustavo J. P. Correa, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 30/7, 2017, Página(s) 2577-2585, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0817.1

Stratospheric variability contributed to and sustained the recent hiatus in Eurasian winter warming

Autores: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Seok-Woo Son, Kanghyun Song, Valentina Aquila, Luke D. Oman
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 44/1, 2017, Página(s) 374-382, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL072035

Time-varying changes in the simulated structure of the Brewer–Dobson Circulation

Autores: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Valentina Aquila, Darryn W. Waugh, Luke D. Oman
Publicado en: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Edición 17/2, 2017, Página(s) 1313-1327, ISSN 1680-7324
Editor: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physicd journal EGU
DOI: 10.5194/acp-17-1313-2017

Might stratospheric variability lead to improved predictability of ENSO events?

Autores: Chaim I Garfinkel
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 12/3, 2017, Página(s) 031001, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa60a4

The Downward Influence of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings: Association with Tropospheric Precursors

Autores: Ian White, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Edwin P. Gerber, Martin Jucker, Valentina Aquila, Luke D. Oman
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 32/1, 2019, Página(s) 85-108, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0053.1

The mixed Rossby-gravity wave on the spherical Earth

Autores: Nathan Paldor, Itzhak Fouxon, Ofer Shamir, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Publicado en: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Edición 144/715, 2018, Página(s) 1820-1830, ISSN 0035-9009
Editor: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3354

Nonlinear response of tropical lower-stratospheric temperature and water vapor to ENSO

Autores: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Amit Gordon, Luke D. Oman, Feng Li, Sean Davis, Steven Pawson
Publicado en: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Edición 18/7, 2018, Página(s) 4597-4615, ISSN 1680-7324
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-4597-2018

Modulation of the Northern Winter Stratospheric El Niño–Southern Oscillation Teleconnection by the PDO

Autores: Jian Rao, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Rongcai Ren
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, 2019, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0087.1

The salience of nonlinearities in the boreal winter response to ENSO: Arctic stratosphere and Europe

Autores: Israel Weinberger, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Ian P. White, Luke D. Oman
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04805-1

Weakening of the teleconnection from El Niño‐Southern Oscillation to the Arctic stratosphere over the past few decades: What can be learned from subseasonal forecast models?

Autores: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Chen Schwartz, Amy H. Butler, Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Seok‐Woo Son, Ian P. White
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Edición 124, 2019, ISSN 2169-897X
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1029/2018jd029961

The Impact of SST Biases in the Tropical East Pacific and Agulhas Current Region on Atmospheric Stationary Waves in the Southern Hemisphere

Autores: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Edwin P. Gerber; Martin Jucker
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 1, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0195.1

The Impact of Split and Displacement Sudden Stratospheric Warmings on the Troposphere

Autores: Ian P. White; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Judah Cohen; Martin Jucker; Jian Rao
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research, Edición 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033989

Planetary, inertia–gravity and Kelvin waves on the f ‐plane and β‐plane in the presence of a uniform zonal flow

Autores: Yair De‐Leon; Itzhak Fouxon; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Nathan Paldor
Publicado en: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 0035-9009
Editor: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4107

Barotropic modes, baroclinic modes and equivalent depths in the atmosphere.

Autores: Yair De-Leon; Nathan Paldor; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Publicado en: QJRMS, Edición 4, 2020, ISSN 0035-9009
Editor: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3781

Projected Strengthening of the Extratropical Surface Impacts of the Stratospheric Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation

Autores: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Publicado en: Geophsyical Research Letters, Edición 9, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089149

The Salience of Nonlinearities in the Boreal Winter Response to ENSO: North Pacific and North America

Autores: Garfinkel, Chaim I.; Weinberger, Israel; White, Ian P.; Oman, Luke D.; Aquila, Valentina; Lim, Young-Kwon
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 4, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4386-x

The Building Blocks of Northern Hemisphere Wintertime Stationary Waves

Autores: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Edwin P. Gerber; Martin Jucker; Moran Erez
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 1, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0181.1