Forecasting Surface Weather and Climate at One-Month Leads through Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling

Informacje na temat projektu

FORECASToneMONTH

Identyfikator umowy o grant: 677756

DOI

10.3030/677756

Projekt został zamknięty

Data podpisania przez KE 22 Kwietnia 2016

Data rozpoczęcia 1 Maja 2016

Data zakończenia 31 Października 2021

Finansowanie w ramach

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Koszt całkowity

€ 1 808 000,00

Wkład UE

€ 1 808 000,00

Koordynowany przez

THE HEBREW UNIVERSITY OF JERUSALEM
Israel

CORDIS oferuje możliwość skorzystania z odnośników do publicznie dostępnych publikacji i rezultatów projektów realizowanych w ramach programów ramowych HORYZONT.

Odnośniki do rezultatów i publikacji związanych z poszczególnymi projektami 7PR, a także odnośniki do niektórych konkretnych kategorii wyników, takich jak zbiory danych i oprogramowanie, są dynamicznie pobierane z systemu OpenAIRE .

Publikacje

Peer reviewed articles (33)

The Generic Nature of the Tropospheric Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

Autorzy: Ian P. White; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Edwin P. Gerber; Martin Jucker; Peter Hitchcock; Jian Rao
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, Numer 9, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0697.1

The Southern Hemisphere Minor Sudden Stratospheric Warming in September 2019 and its predictions in S2S Models

Autorzy: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Chen Schwartz
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research, Numer 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Wydawca: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032723

Impact of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Northern Winter Stratospheric Polar Vortex in CMIP5/6 Models

Autorzy: Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, Numer 4, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0663.1

Nonlinear Interaction between the Drivers of the Monsoon and Summertime Stationary Waves

Autorzy: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Edwin P. Gerber; Ori Adam; Martin Jucker
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 7, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union

Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

Autorzy: Mark P. Baldwin; Blanca Ayarzagüena; Thomas Birner; Thomas Birner; Neal Butchart; Amy H. Butler; Andrew Charlton-Perez; Daniela I. V. Domeisen; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Hella Garny; Edwin P. Gerber; Michaela I. Hegglin; Ulrike Langematz; Nicholas Pedatella
Opublikowane w: Review of Geophysics, Numer 1, 2021, ISSN 8755-1209
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10502884.1

Projected changes of stratospheric final warmings in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres by CMIP5/6 models

Autorzy: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, Numer 1, 2021, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05647-6

How Does the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Affect the Boreal Winter Tropospheric Circulation in CMIP5/6 Models?

Autorzy: Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, Numer 1, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0024.1

Predicting the Downward and Surface Influence of the February 2018 and January 2019 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events in Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Models.

Autorzy: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research, Numer 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Wydawca: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019jd031919

Predictability of the early winter Arctic oscillation from autumn Eurasian snowcover in subseasonal forecast models

Autorzy: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Chen Schwartz; Ian P. White; Jian Rao
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, Numer 1, 2020, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05305-3

CMIP5/6 models project little change in the statistical characteristics of sudden stratospheric warmings in the 21st century

Autorzy: Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Opublikowane w: Environmental Research Letters, Numer 1, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Wydawca: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd4fe

Arctic Ozone Loss in March 2020 and Its Seasonal Prediction in CFSv2: A Comparative Study with the 1997 and 2011 Cases

Autorzy: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research, Numer 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Wydawca: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033524

MJO-Related Tropical Convection Anomalies Lead to More Accurate Stratospheric Vortex Variability in Subseasonal Forecast Models

Autorzy: C. I. Garfinkel, C. Schwartz
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 44/19, 2017, Strona(/y) 10,054-10,062, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017GL074470

Relative roles of the MJO and stratospheric variability in North Atlantic and European winter climate

Autorzy: Chen Schwartz, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Numer 122/8, 2017, Strona(/y) 4184-4201, ISSN 2169-897X
Wydawca: GRL
DOI: 10.1002/2016JD025829

A Census of Atmospheric Variability From Seconds to Decades

Autorzy: Paul D. Williams, M. Joan Alexander, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Amy H. Butler, Huw C. Davies, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Yochanan Kushnir, Todd P. Lane, Julie K. Lundquist, Olivia Martius, Ryan N. Maue, W. Richard Peltier, Kaoru Sato, Adam A. Scaife, Chidong Zhang
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 44/21, 2017, Strona(/y) 11,201-11,211, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017GL075483

Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Pathway of Different El Niño Flavors in Stratosphere-Resolving CMIP5 Models

Autorzy: N. Calvo, M. Iza, M. M. Hurwitz, E. Manzini, C. Peña-Ortiz, A. H. Butler, C. Cagnazzo, S. Ineson, C. I. Garfinkel
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, Numer 30/12, 2017, Strona(/y) 4351-4371, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0132.1

Classification of eastward propagating waves on the spherical Earth

Autorzy: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Itzhak Fouxon, Ofer Shamir, Nathan Paldor
Opublikowane w: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numer 143/704, 2017, Strona(/y) 1554-1564, ISSN 0035-9009
Wydawca: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3025

Robustness of the Simulated Tropospheric Response to Ozone Depletion

Autorzy: William J. M. Seviour, Darryn W. Waugh, Lorenzo M. Polvani, Gustavo J. P. Correa, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, Numer 30/7, 2017, Strona(/y) 2577-2585, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0817.1

Stratospheric variability contributed to and sustained the recent hiatus in Eurasian winter warming

Autorzy: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Seok-Woo Son, Kanghyun Song, Valentina Aquila, Luke D. Oman
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 44/1, 2017, Strona(/y) 374-382, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL072035

Time-varying changes in the simulated structure of the Brewer–Dobson Circulation

Autorzy: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Valentina Aquila, Darryn W. Waugh, Luke D. Oman
Opublikowane w: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numer 17/2, 2017, Strona(/y) 1313-1327, ISSN 1680-7324
Wydawca: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physicd journal EGU
DOI: 10.5194/acp-17-1313-2017

Might stratospheric variability lead to improved predictability of ENSO events?

Autorzy: Chaim I Garfinkel
Opublikowane w: Environmental Research Letters, Numer 12/3, 2017, Strona(/y) 031001, ISSN 1748-9326
Wydawca: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa60a4

The Downward Influence of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings: Association with Tropospheric Precursors

Autorzy: Ian White, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Edwin P. Gerber, Martin Jucker, Valentina Aquila, Luke D. Oman
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, Numer 32/1, 2019, Strona(/y) 85-108, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0053.1

The mixed Rossby-gravity wave on the spherical Earth

Autorzy: Nathan Paldor, Itzhak Fouxon, Ofer Shamir, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Opublikowane w: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numer 144/715, 2018, Strona(/y) 1820-1830, ISSN 0035-9009
Wydawca: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3354

Nonlinear response of tropical lower-stratospheric temperature and water vapor to ENSO

Autorzy: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Amit Gordon, Luke D. Oman, Feng Li, Sean Davis, Steven Pawson
Opublikowane w: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numer 18/7, 2018, Strona(/y) 4597-4615, ISSN 1680-7324
Wydawca: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-4597-2018

Modulation of the Northern Winter Stratospheric El Niño–Southern Oscillation Teleconnection by the PDO

Autorzy: Jian Rao, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Rongcai Ren
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, 2019, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0087.1

The salience of nonlinearities in the boreal winter response to ENSO: Arctic stratosphere and Europe

Autorzy: Israel Weinberger, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Ian P. White, Luke D. Oman
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04805-1

Weakening of the teleconnection from El Niño‐Southern Oscillation to the Arctic stratosphere over the past few decades: What can be learned from subseasonal forecast models?

Autorzy: Chaim I. Garfinkel, Chen Schwartz, Amy H. Butler, Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Seok‐Woo Son, Ian P. White
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Numer 124, 2019, ISSN 2169-897X
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1029/2018jd029961

The Impact of SST Biases in the Tropical East Pacific and Agulhas Current Region on Atmospheric Stationary Waves in the Southern Hemisphere

Autorzy: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Edwin P. Gerber; Martin Jucker
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, Numer 1, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0195.1

The Impact of Split and Displacement Sudden Stratospheric Warmings on the Troposphere

Autorzy: Ian P. White; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Judah Cohen; Martin Jucker; Jian Rao
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research, Numer 1, 2020, ISSN 2169-8996
Wydawca: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033989

Planetary, inertia–gravity and Kelvin waves on the f ‐plane and β‐plane in the presence of a uniform zonal flow

Autorzy: Yair De‐Leon; Itzhak Fouxon; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Nathan Paldor
Opublikowane w: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numer 1, 2021, ISSN 0035-9009
Wydawca: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4107

Barotropic modes, baroclinic modes and equivalent depths in the atmosphere.

Autorzy: Yair De-Leon; Nathan Paldor; Chaim I. Garfinkel
Opublikowane w: QJRMS, Numer 4, 2020, ISSN 0035-9009
Wydawca: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3781

Projected Strengthening of the Extratropical Surface Impacts of the Stratospheric Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation

Autorzy: Jian Rao; Jian Rao; Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White
Opublikowane w: Geophsyical Research Letters, Numer 9, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089149

The Salience of Nonlinearities in the Boreal Winter Response to ENSO: North Pacific and North America

Autorzy: Garfinkel, Chaim I.; Weinberger, Israel; White, Ian P.; Oman, Luke D.; Aquila, Valentina; Lim, Young-Kwon
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, Numer 4, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4386-x

The Building Blocks of Northern Hemisphere Wintertime Stationary Waves

Autorzy: Chaim I. Garfinkel; Ian P. White; Edwin P. Gerber; Martin Jucker; Moran Erez
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, Numer 1, 2020, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0181.1