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COmbining Probable TRAjectories

Objective

SESAR implementation will result in an environment using extensive and intensive planning to address complexity imbalances and reduce potential conflicts. Accurate planning requires quantifying forecast accuracy at all planning horizons with the main challenge of combining trajectories with different levels of accuracy.A quality indicator giving the forecast accuracy could enhance the situation: It has to combine uncertainties associated to traffic predictions and to trajectory predictions composing traffic.
COPTRA aims to propose, in a TBO, an efficient method to build probabilistic traffic forecasts on the basis of flight trajectory predictions. Its main objective is: Using the improvements brought to Trajectory Prediction by the future TBO environment; bring measurable improvements to Traffic Prediction in ATC Planning, specifically to the prediction of occupancy counts.
COPTRA objective is refined in 3 sub-objectives corresponding to its research work packages:
1. Define the concept of probabilistic trajectory and its prediction (WP2).
2. Using the definition of probabilistic trajectory, define the concept of probabilistic traffic situation and study how probabilistic traffic situations can be built by combining probabilistic trajectories (WP3).
3. Apply probabilistic traffic situations to ATC planning (WP4).
The management work packages encompass project management (WP1), results dissemination (WP5) and project conclusion (WP6).
To achieve its objectives, COPTRA brings together inter-disciplinary competencies where the partners are leading their respective area:
• BR&T-E and ITU are experts in trajectory prediction, including the important aspect of prediction uncertainty,
• UCLouvain ICTEAM has a proven track in using advanced methods and techniques to address optimal control problems on modern dynamical systems.
• In addition to CRIDA’s proven track in managing research projects, CRIDA and EUROCONTROL bring their expertise in ATC

Field of science

  • /natural sciences/mathematics/applied mathematics/mathematical model
  • /natural sciences/mathematics/applied mathematics/dynamical systems

Call for proposal

H2020-SESAR-2015-1
See other projects for this call

Funding Scheme

SESAR-RIA - Research and Innovation action

Coordinator

CENTRO DE REFERENCIA INVESTIGACION DESARROLLO E INNOVACION ATM, A.I.E.
Address
Avda De Aragon 402 4 Edificio Allende
28022 Madrid
Spain
Activity type
Research Organisations
EU contribution
€ 225 225

Participants (4)

EUROCONTROL - EUROPEAN ORGANISATION FOR THE SAFETY OF AIR NAVIGATION
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 0
Address
Rue De La Fusée 96
1130 Bruxelles
Activity type
Research Organisations
UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN
Belgium
EU contribution
€ 269 250
Address
Place De L Universite 1
1348 Louvain La Neuve
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
BOEING RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGY EUROPE S.L.U.
Spain
EU contribution
€ 236 166,25
Address
Avenida Sur Del Aeropuerto De Barajas 38 Edif 4 Pl 4
28042 Madrid
Activity type
Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments)
ISTANBUL TEKNIK UNIVERSITESI
Turkey
EU contribution
€ 268 750
Address
Ayazaga Kampusu
34469 Maslak Istanbul
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments