Forecasting RangE dYnamics of Alien species under climate change.

Información del proyecto

FREYA

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 706318

DOI

10.3030/706318

Proyecto finalizado el 4 Agosto 2018

Fecha de la firma de la CE 24 Febrero 2016

Fecha de inicio 1 Junio 2016

Fecha de finalización 31 Mayo 2018

Financiado con arreglo a

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Coste total

€ 212 194,80

Aportación de la UE

€ 212 194,80

Coordinado por

KOBENHAVNS UNIVERSITET
Denmark

Objetivo

Frameworks for assessing the risk of invasive species under climate change are still not widely applied although biological invasions and climate change rank among the top threats to biodiversity, economy and human well-being globally. This is at least partly due to a lack of reliable predictions of invasion success and range dynamics under changing climates. Mechanistic and process-based models are theoretically well-suited to generate spatially explicit forecasts of species invasion risk, as they are ecologically realistic and allow accounting for species evolutionary potential. Their use however lags behind that of less data-demanding and relatively easy to use correlative tools. This project will therefore investigate the ecological and evolutionary factors determining when more complex but ecologically realistic mechanistic and process-based model approaches yield better forecasts of invasion risk than simple correlative tools. The project will combine a detailed investigation of well-known avian invader (the ring-necked parakeet) with a multi-species assessment of a large number of avian invaders in Europe and Australia. These invasions offer an exceptional model system for answering the questions at hand. This timely Fellowship answers to calls to move from patterns to processes, and as recent European legislation requires consideration of synergistic impacts of climate change on biological invasion risks, Fellowship outputs will relevant for policy as well. The host institute (CMEC) is at the forefront of macroecology and climate change biology, and brings worldwide access to excellent researchers with experience directly relevant for the Fellowship (C. Rahbek, M. Araújo, D. Nogués-Bravo). I will not only benefit from deepening my analytical skills and conceptual understanding of macroecological research frameworks, but CMEC’s training experience in academic leadership will enable me to reach a position of professional maturity at a high international level.

Ámbito científico (EuroSciVoc)

• ciencias naturales › ciencias biológicas › zoología › ornitología
• ciencias naturales › ciencias biológicas › biología evolutiva
• ciencias naturales › ciencias biológicas › ecología › ecosistemas
• ciencias naturales › ciencias biológicas › ecología › especies invasoras
• ciencias naturales › ciencias de la tierra y ciencias ambientales conexas › ciencias de la atmósfera › climatología › cambios climáticos

Palabras clave

• invasive alien species
• climate change
• niche conservatism
• ecological forecasting

Programa(s)

• H2020-EU.1.3. - EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions PROGRAMA PRINCIPAL
  
• H2020-EU.1.3.2. - Nurturing excellence by means of cross-border and cross-sector mobility
  

Tema(s)

• MSCA-IF-2015-EF - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Individual Fellowships (IF-EF)
  

Régimen de financiación

MSCA-IF - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Individual Fellowships (IF)

Convocatoria de propuestas

H2020-MSCA-IF-2015

Coordinador

KOBENHAVNS UNIVERSITET

• Aportación neta de la UEn: € 212 194,80
• Dirección: NORREGADE 10 ; 1165 KOBENHAVN ; Dinamarca
• Región: Danmark › Hovedstaden › Byen København
• Tipo de actividad: Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
• Coste total: € 212 194,80