Skip to main content

Arctic Impact on Weather and Climate

Deliverables

Roadshow showing the mid-term results of WP5 to larger business audiences

Roadshow showing the mid-term results of WP5 to larger business audiences.

Inputs to AtlantOS project (BG8 H2020 project)

Inputs to AtlantOS project (BG8 H2020 project)

Project website

Project website

Structure and detailed tasks of the Project Office

Structure and detailed tasks of the Project Office

Risk register system and procedures

Risk register system and procedures

SEG Knowledge exchange 1

SEG Knowledge exchange 1

First Joint workshop to (re)formulate open research questions of joint interest

First Joint workshop to (re)formulate open research questions of joint interest

SEG Knowledge exchange 2

SEG Knowledge exchange 2

SEG Knowledge exchange 3

SEG Knowledge exchange 3

Second Joint workshop to (re)formulate open research questions of joint interest

Second Joint workshop to (re)formulate open research questions of joint interest

CS5 Environment scanning workshop and report 2

CS5 Environment scanning workshop and report 2

CS3 Requirements specifications report

CS3 Requirements specifications report

Benchmark performance of state-of-the-art prediction systems

Benchmark performance of state-of-the-art prediction systems

Synthesis and dissemination of ocean and atmosphere heat transport to the Arctic

Synthesis and dissemination of ocean and atmosphere heat transport to the Arctic

Oceanic heat anomalies and Arctic sea-ice variability

Oceanic heat anomalies and Arctic sea-ice variability

Model-observation and reanalyses comparison at key locations for heat transport to the Arctic

Model-observation and reanalyses comparison at key locations for heat transport to the Arctic

Exploitation plan

Exploitation plan

Oceanic and climatic impacts of freshwater release over the last few decades

Oceanic and climatic impacts of freshwater release over the last few decades

CS2 End-user requirements report

CS2 End-user requirements report

Assessment of Oceanic anomalies of predictive potential

Assessment of Oceanic anomalies of predictive potential

Seasonal to decadal variability of the subpolar gyre

Seasonal to decadal variability of the subpolar gyre

Technical report: How to identify weather patterns associated with occurrences of extreme events in models

Technical report: How to identify weather patterns associated with occurrences of extreme events in models

CS2 Product Development Report

CS2 Product Development Report

Identification of key processes in bridging the Arctic warming impact and its variation on decadal timescales

Identification of key processes in bridging the Arctic warming impact and its variation on decadal timescales

Selected baseline prediction data for impact studies

Selected baseline prediction data for impact studies

Identification of the surface state influence in representing the Arctic warming by coordinated atmosphere-only simulations

Identification of the surface state influence in representing the Arctic warming by coordinated atmosphere-only simulations

Processes and flow over the Iceland-Faroe Ridge

Processes and flow over the Iceland-Faroe Ridge

Communication and Dissemination plan: Matrix update

Communication and Dissemination plan: Matrix update

CS5 Quantitative and qualitative analysis of the engagement of stakeholders

CS5 Quantitative and qualitative analysis of the engagement of stakeholders

CS5 Arctic stakeholder Map

CS5 Arctic stakeholder Map

Presence at SOS 2016 for networking and visibility

Visibility action at the SOS2016 event in Rotterdam (beginning of December 2016) is planned to allow networking with the industrial sector. We will take advantage of the industry-science panel session on Arctic matters at the event. DMI and WOC to deliver on this together.

CS1 Assessment Methodology Report

CS1 Assessment Methodology Report

CS4 Marine Fisheries forecasts products

CS4 Marine Fisheries forecasts products

CS1 Model Information Utilization Report

CS1 Model Information Utilization Report

CS4 Report on Marine Fisheries Climate services workshop

CS4 Report on Marine Fisheries Climate services workshop

Data management plan (DMP)

Data management plan (DMP): Our action takes part in the Pilot on Open Research Data, thus we have included the data management plan as a distinct deliverable within the first 6 months of the project. This deliverable will evolve during the lifetime of the project in order to present the status of the project's reflections on data management.

Searching for OpenAIRE data...

Publications

The Influence of Autumnal Eurasian Snow Cover on Climate and Its Link with Arctic Sea Ice Cover

Author(s): Guillaume Gastineau, Javier García-Serrano, Claude Frankignoul
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 30/19, 2017, Page(s) 7599-7619, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0623.1

Increased risk of a shutdown of ocean convection posed by warm North Atlantic summers

Author(s): Marilena Oltmanns, Johannes Karstensen, Jürgen Fischer
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 8/4, 2018, Page(s) 300-304, ISSN 1758-678X
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0105-1

Higher ocean wind speeds during marine cold air outbreaks

Author(s): E. W. Kolstad
Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Issue 143/706, 2017, Page(s) 2084-2092, ISSN 0035-9009
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3068

Variability along the Atlantic water pathway in the forced Norwegian Earth System Model

Author(s): H. R. Langehaug, A. B. Sandø, M. Årthun, M. Ilıcak
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2017, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4184-5

Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability

Author(s): Marius Årthun, Erik W. Kolstad, Tor Eldevik, Noel S. Keenlyside
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 45/8, 2018, Page(s) 3597-3604, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1002/2018GL077401

Estimation of the SST Response to Anthropogenic and External Forcing and Its Impact on the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation

Author(s): Claude Frankignoul, Guillaume Gastineau, Young-Oh Kwon
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 30/24, 2017, Page(s) 9871-9895, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0009.1

Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean

Author(s): Marius Årthun, Tor Eldevik, Ellen Viste, Helge Drange, Tore Furevik, Helen L. Johnson, Noel S. Keenlyside
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 8, 2017, Page(s) 15875, ISSN 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/ncomms15875

The subpolar gyre regulates silicate concentrations in the North Atlantic

Author(s): H. Hátún, K. Azetsu-Scott, R. Somavilla, F. Rey, C. Johnson, M. Mathis, U. Mikolajewicz, P. Coupel, J.-É. Tremblay, S. Hartman, S. V. Pacariz, I. Salter, J. Ólafsson
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 7/1, 2017, ISSN 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-14837-4

Deep Convection in the Irminger Sea Observed with a Dense Mooring Array

Author(s): M. Femke de Jong, Marilena Oltmanns, Johannes Karstensen, Laura de Steur
Published in: Oceanography, Issue 31/1, 2018, Page(s) 50-59, ISSN 1042-8275
DOI: 10.5670/oceanog.2018.109

Atlantic water flow through the Faroese Channels

Author(s): Bogi Hansen, Turið Poulsen, Karin Margretha Húsgarð Larsen, Hjálmar Hátún, Svein Østerhus, Elin Darelius, Barbara Berx, Detlef Quadfasel, Kerstin Jochumsen
Published in: Ocean Science, Issue 13/6, 2017, Page(s) 873-888, ISSN 1812-0792
DOI: 10.5194/os-13-873-2017

Limited predictability of extreme decadal changes in the Arctic Ocean freshwater content

Author(s): Torben Schmith, Steffen M. Olsen, Ida M. Ringgaard, Wilhelm May
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2018, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4120-8

Sea-ice free Arctic contributes to the projected warming minimum in the North Atlantic

Author(s): Lingling Suo, Yongqi Gao, Dong Guo, Ingo Bethke
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 12/7, 2017, Page(s) 074004, ISSN 1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6a5e

Lessons from the First Generation of Marine Ecological Forecast Products

Author(s): Mark R. Payne, Alistair J. Hobday, Brian R. MacKenzie, Desiree Tommasi, Danielle P. Dempsey, Sascha M. M. Fässler, Alan C. Haynie, Rubao Ji, Gang Liu, Patrick D. Lynch, Daniela Matei, Anna K. Miesner, Katherine E. Mills, Kjersti O. Strand, Ernesto Villarino
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Issue 4, 2017, ISSN 2296-7745
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2017.00289

Evaluating a stochastic parametrization for a fast–slow system using the Wasserstein distance

Author(s): Gabriele Vissio, Valerio Lucarini
Published in: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Issue 25/2, 2018, Page(s) 413-427, ISSN 1607-7946
DOI: 10.5194/npg-25-413-2018

Critical Assessment of Geoengineering Strategies using Response Theory

Author(s): Tamás Bódai, Valerio Lucarini, Frank Lunkeit
Published in: Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 2018, Page(s) 1-32, ISSN 2190-4995
DOI: 10.5194/esd-2018-30

Abrupt cooling over the North Atlantic in modern climate models

Author(s): Giovanni Sgubin, Didier Swingedouw, Sybren Drijfhout, Yannick Mary, Amine Bennabi
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 8, 2017, ISSN 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/ncomms14375

Decreased influx of Calanus spp. into the south-western Norwegian Sea since 2003

Author(s): Inga Kristiansen, Hjálmar Hátún, Hildur Petursdottir, Astthor Gislason, Cecilie Broms, Webjørn Melle, Jan A. Jacobsen, Sólvá K. Eliasen, Eilif Gaard
Published in: Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, Issue 149, 2019, Page(s) 103048, ISSN 0967-0637
DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr.2019.05.008

Arctic Mediterranean exchanges: a consistent volume budget and trends in transports from two decades of observations

Author(s): Svein Østerhus, Rebecca Woodgate, Héðinn Valdimarsson, Bill Turrell, Laura de Steur, Detlef Quadfasel, Steffen M. Olsen, Martin Moritz, Craig M. Lee, Karin Margretha H. Larsen, Steingrímur Jónsson, Clare Johnson, Kerstin Jochumsen, Bogi Hansen, Beth Curry, Stuart Cunningham, Barbara Berx
Published in: Ocean Science, Issue 15/2, 2019, Page(s) 379-399, ISSN 1812-0792
DOI: 10.5194/os-15-379-2019

Structure and Forcing of Observed Exchanges across the Greenland–Scotland Ridge

Author(s): Carina Bringedal, Tor Eldevik, Øystein Skagseth, Michael A. Spall, Svein Østerhus
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 31/24, 2018, Page(s) 9881-9901, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-17-0889.1

Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Observed Transport and Variability

Author(s): Eleanor Frajka-Williams, Isabelle J. Ansorge, Johanna Baehr, Harry L. Bryden, Maria Paz Chidichimo, Stuart A. Cunningham, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Shenfu Dong, Kathleen A. Donohue, Shane Elipot, Patrick Heimbach, N. Penny Holliday, Rebecca Hummels, Laura C. Jackson, Johannes Karstensen, Matthias Lankhorst, Isabela A. Le Bras, M. Susan Lozier, Elaine L. McDonagh, Christopher S. Meinen, Herlé Mercier, B
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Issue 6, 2019, ISSN 2296-7745
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00260

The Role of Atlantic Heat Transport in Future Arctic Winter Sea Ice Loss

Author(s): Marius Årthun, Tor Eldevik, Lars H. Smedsrud
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 32/11, 2019, Page(s) 3327-3341, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-18-0750.1

Sustainable Observations of the AMOC: Methodology and Technology

Author(s): G. D. McCarthy, P. J. Brown, C. N. Flagg, G. Goni, L. Houpert, C. W. Hughes, R. Hummels, M. Inall, K. Jochumsen, K. M. H. Larsen, P. Lherminier, C. S. Meinen, B. I. Moat, D. Rayner, M. Rhein, A. Roessler, C. Schmid, D. A. Smeed
Published in: Reviews of Geophysics, Issue 58/1, 2020, ISSN 8755-1209
DOI: 10.1029/2019rg000654

Insights into Decadal North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature and Ocean Heat Content Variability from an Eddy-Permitting Coupled Climate Model

Author(s): B. I. Moat, B. Sinha, S. A. Josey, J. Robson, P. Ortega, F. Sévellec, N. P. Holliday, G. D. McCarthy, A. L. New, J. J.-M. Hirschi
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 32/18, 2019, Page(s) 6137-6161, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-18-0709.1

Ocean precursors to the extreme Atlantic 2017 hurricane season

Author(s): Samantha Hallam, Robert Marsh, Simon A. Josey, Pat Hyder, Ben Moat, Joël J.-M. Hirschi
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 10/1, 2019, ISSN 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-08496-4

Structure and Transport of the North Atlantic Current in the Eastern Subpolar Gyre From Sustained Glider Observations

Author(s): L. Houpert, M. E. Inall, E. Dumont, S. Gary, C. Johnson, M. Porter, W. E. Johns, S. A. Cunningham
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Issue 123/8, 2018, Page(s) 6019-6038, ISSN 2169-9275
DOI: 10.1029/2018jc014162

Reduction in Ocean Heat Transport at 26°N since 2008 Cools the Eastern Subpolar Gyre of the North Atlantic Ocean

Author(s): Harry L. Bryden, William E. Johns, Brian A. King, Gerard McCarthy, Elaine L. McDonagh, Ben I. Moat, David A. Smeed
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 33/5, 2020, Page(s) 1677-1689, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0323.1

Ocean and atmosphere influence on the 2015 European heatwave

Author(s): J V Mecking, S S Drijfhout, J J-M Hirschi, A T Blaker
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 14/11, 2019, Page(s) 114035, ISSN 1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4d33

On the Role of the Eastern Pacific Teleconnection in ENSO Impacts on Wintertime Weather over East Asia and North America

Author(s): Ying Dai, Benkui Tan
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 32/4, 2019, Page(s) 1217-1234, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-17-0789.1

Two Types of the Western Pacific Pattern, Their Climate Impacts, and the ENSO Modulations

Author(s): Ying Dai, Benkui Tan
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 32/3, 2019, Page(s) 823-841, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-17-0618.1

Synthesis and evaluation of historical meridional heat transport from midlatitudes towards the Arctic

Author(s): Yang Liu, Jisk Attema, Ben Moat, Wilco Hazeleger
Published in: Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 2019, Page(s) 1-33, ISSN 2190-4995
DOI: 10.5194/esd-2019-17

The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in high resolution models

Author(s): Joël J.‐M. Hirschi, Bernard Barnier, Claus Böning, Arne Biastoch, Adam T. Blaker, Andrew Coward, Sergey Danilov, Sybren Drijfhout, Klaus Getzlaff, Stephen M. Griffies, Hiroyasu Hasumi, Helene Hewitt, Doroteaciro Iovino, Takao Kawasaki, Andrew E. Kiss, Nikolay Koldunov, Alice Marzocchi, Jennifer V. Mecking, Ben Moat, Jean‐Marc Molines, Paul G. Myers, Thierry Penduff, Malcolm Roberts, Anne‐M
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2020, ISSN 2169-9275
DOI: 10.1029/2019jc015522

Quantification of the Arctic Sea Ice‐Driven Atmospheric Circulation Variability in Coordinated Large Ensemble Simulations

Author(s): Yu‐Chiao Liang, Young‐Oh Kwon, Claude Frankignoul, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Stephen Yeager, Annalisa Cherchi, Yongqi Gao, Guillaume Gastineau, Rohit Ghosh, Daniela Matei, Jennifer V. Mecking, Daniele Peano, Lingling Suo, Tian Tian
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/1, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl085397

Overflow of cold water across the Iceland–Faroe Ridge through the Western Valley

Author(s): Bogi Hansen, Karin Margretha Húsgarð Larsen, Steffen Malskær Olsen, Detlef Quadfasel, Kerstin Jochumsen, Svein Østerhus
Published in: Ocean Science, Issue 14/4, 2018, Page(s) 871-885, ISSN 1812-0792
DOI: 10.5194/os-14-871-2018

Rapid export of waters formed by convection near the Irminger Sea's western boundary

Author(s): I.A.‐A. Le Bras, F. Straneo, J. Holte, M.F. Jong, N.P. Holliday
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl085989

On the Recent Ambiguity of the North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre Index

Author(s): H. Hátún, L. Chafik
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Issue 123/8, 2018, Page(s) 5072-5076, ISSN 2169-9275
DOI: 10.1029/2018jc014101

Subpolar North Atlantic Overturning and Gyre‐Scale Circulation in the Summers of 2014 and 2016

Author(s): N. P. Holliday, S. Bacon, S. A. Cunningham, S. F. Gary, J. Karstensen, B. A. King, F. Li, E. L. Mcdonagh
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Issue 123/7, 2018, Page(s) 4538-4559, ISSN 2169-9275
DOI: 10.1029/2018jc013841

Extreme Variability in Irminger Sea Winter Heat Loss Revealed by Ocean Observatories Initiative Mooring and the ERA5 Reanalysis

Author(s): S. A. Josey, M. F. Jong, M. Oltmanns, G. K. Moore, R. A. Weller
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/1, 2019, Page(s) 293-302, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl080956

A sea change in our view of overturning in the subpolar North Atlantic

Author(s): M. S. Lozier, F. Li, S. Bacon, F. Bahr, A. S. Bower, S. A. Cunningham, M. F. de Jong, L. de Steur, B. deYoung, J. Fischer, S. F. Gary, B. J. W. Greenan, N. P. Holliday, A. Houk, L. Houpert, M. E. Inall, W. E. Johns, H. L. Johnson, C. Johnson, J. Karstensen, G. Koman, I. A. Le Bras, X. Lin, N. Mackay, D. P. Marshall, H. Mercier, M. Oltmanns, R. S. Pickart, A. L. Ramsey, D. Rayner, F. Straneo, V. Th
Published in: Science, Issue 363/6426, 2019, Page(s) 516-521, ISSN 0036-8075
DOI: 10.1126/science.aau6592

Pacific Modulation of the North Atlantic Storm Track Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events

Author(s): Hilla Afargan‐Gerstman, Daniela I. V. Domeisen
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/2, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl085007

Observed Subdecadal Variations of European Summer Temperatures

Author(s): W.A. Müller, L. Borchert, R. Ghosh
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/1, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086043

Nonstationary Relationship Between Autumn Arctic Sea Ice and the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation

Author(s): E. W. Kolstad, J. A. Screen
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/13, 2019, Page(s) 7583-7591, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl083059

Spectral Decomposition and Extremes of Atmospheric Meridional Energy Transport in the Northern Hemisphere Midlatitudes

Author(s): V. Lembo, G. Messori, R. Graversen, V. Lucarini
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/13, 2019, Page(s) 7602-7613, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl082105

Gulf Stream Variability in the Context of Quasi‐Decadal and Multidecadal Atlantic Climate Variability

Author(s): G. D. McCarthy, T. M. Joyce, S. A. Josey
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 45/20, 2018, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl079336

Heat-related mortality trends under recent climate warming in Spain: A 36-year observational study

Author(s): Hicham Achebak, Daniel Devolder, Joan Ballester
Published in: PLOS Medicine, Issue 15/7, 2018, Page(s) e1002617, ISSN 1549-1676
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002617

Effect of the Great Recession on regional mortality trends in Europe

Author(s): Joan Ballester, Jean-Marie Robine, François R. Herrmann, Xavier Rodó
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 10/1, 2019, ISSN 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-08539-w

Understanding of European Cold Extremes, Sudden Stratospheric Warming, and Siberian Snow Accumulation in the Winter of 2017/18

Author(s): Zhuozhuo Lü, Fei Li, Yvan J. Orsolini, Yongqi Gao, Shengping He
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 33/2, 2020, Page(s) 527-545, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0861.1

Arctic decadal variability in a warming world

Author(s): Eveline C. Linden, Richard Bintanja, Wilco Hazeleger
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 122/11, 2017, Page(s) 5677-5696, ISSN 2169-897X
DOI: 10.1002/2016jd026058

Mechanisms of Ocean Heat Anomalies in the Norwegian Sea

Author(s): Helene Asbjørnsen, Marius Årthun, Øystein Skagseth, Tor Eldevik
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Issue 124/4, 2019, Page(s) 2908-2923, ISSN 2169-9275
DOI: 10.1029/2018JC014649

Uncertainty in the Response of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings and Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling to Quadrupled CO 2 Concentrations in CMIP6 Models

Author(s): B. Ayarzagüena, A. J. Charlton‐Perez, A. H. Butler, P. Hitchcock, I. R. Simpson, L. M. Polvani, N. Butchart, E. P. Gerber, L. Gray, B. Hassler, P. Lin, F. Lott, E. Manzini, R. Mizuta, C. Orbe, S. Osprey, D. Saint‐Martin, M. Sigmond, M. Taguchi, E. M. Volodin, S. Watanabe
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 125/6, 2020, ISSN 2169-897X
DOI: 10.1029/2019JD032345

Marine Microbiome Roadmap:

Author(s): Bolhuis, Henk; Buttigieg, Pier Luigi; Goodwin, Kelly; Groben, René; Iudicone, Daniele; Lacoursière-Roussel, Anaïs; Pesant, Stéphane; Robinson, Shawn; Björnsson, Sigurður; Erlendsson, Lýður Skuli; Rae, Margaret
Published in: 2019
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.3632526