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Arctic Impact on Weather and Climate

Risultati finali

Roadshow showing the mid-term results of WP5 to larger business audiences

Roadshow showing the mid-term results of WP5 to larger business audiences.

Inputs to AtlantOS project (BG8 H2020 project)
CS4 Dissemination of products/end-user workshops for marine fisheries

CS4 Dissemination of productsenduser workshops for marine fisheries

Inputs to AORAC-SA project (BG14 H2020 project)

Inputs to AORACSA project BG14 H2020 project

Meet and Pitch- Co-working edition

Meet and Pitch Coworking edition Partner in charge ClimateKIC

Project website
CS2 Dissemination of the TRM product
CS3 Product on polar lows
Structure and detailed tasks of the Project Office
Risk register system and procedures
CS3 End-user workshop on polar lows prediction Norway

CS3 Enduser workshop on polar lows prediction Norway

SEG Knowledge exchange 1
Third Joint workshop to (re)formulate open research questions of joint interest

Third Joint workshop to reformulate open research questions of joint interest

First Joint workshop to (re)formulate open research questions of joint interest
SEG Knowledge exchange 2
SEG Knowledge exchange 4
SEG Knowledge exchange 3
Second Joint workshop to (re)formulate open research questions of joint interest
CS1 leaflet
Industry-science panel session on “Industry Developments, Opportunities and Challenges in the Arctic: Sustainable Arctic Business Development”

Industryscience panel session on Industry Developments Opportunities and Challenges in the Arctic Sustainable Arctic Business Development Partner in charge ClimateKIC

CS1 Regional dissemination seminar
CS3 End-user workshop on polar lows prediction Japan

CS3 Enduser workshop on polar lows prediction Japan

CS5 Environment scanning workshop and report 2
CS3 Requirements specifications report
Technical report or paper: Quantified skill in weather patterns associated with extreme events

Technical report or paper Quantified skill in weather patterns associated with extreme events Partners in charge UHAM and GEOMAR

Benchmark performance of state-of-the-art prediction systems
Optimization of the GSR inflow arrays
Synthesis and dissemination of ocean and atmosphere heat transport to the Arctic
Oceanic heat anomalies and Arctic sea-ice variability
Model-observation and reanalyses comparison at key locations for heat transport to the Arctic
Sensitivity predictions performed
CS4 Report on the evaluation and valuation of Marine fisheries products
Future Prospects for Climate Services

Future Prospects for Climate Services Partners in charge DTU and IASS lead and colead of WP5

Exploitation plan
Oceanic and climatic impacts of freshwater release over the last few decades
Technical report or paper: Attribution of extremes to climate phenomena

Technical report or paper Attribution of extremes to climate phenomena

CS2 End-user requirements report
Assessment of Oceanic anomalies of predictive potential
Improved key process in representing Arctic warming
Seasonal to decadal variability of the subpolar gyre
CS3 Evaluation of the polar lows forecast system
Technical report: How to identify weather patterns associated with occurrences of extreme events in models
CS2 Product Development Report
Identification of key processes in bridging the Arctic warming impact and its variation on decadal timescales
CS1 Assessment and Evaluation Report
Selected baseline prediction data for impact studies
Identification of the surface state influence in representing the Arctic warming by coordinated atmosphere-only simulations
Processes and flow over the Iceland-Faroe Ridge
Communication and Dissemination plan: Matrix update
Role of ocean-atmosphere coupling in bridging the Arctic warming over lower latitudes

Role of oceanatmosphere coupling in bridging the Arctic warming over lower latitudes

Cost-benefit analysis of the RAPID and OSNAP arrays

Costbenefit analysis of the RAPID and OSNAP arrays

CS5 Quantitative and qualitative analysis of the engagement of stakeholders
CS5 Arctic stakeholder Map
Presence at SOS 2016 for networking and visibility

Visibility action at the SOS2016 event in Rotterdam (beginning of December 2016) is planned to allow networking with the industrial sector. We will take advantage of the industry-science panel session on Arctic matters at the event. DMI and WOC to deliver on this together.

Best practices for enhancing user relevant prediction skill
CS2 Evaluation of the product
CS1 Assessment Methodology Report
CS4 Marine Fisheries forecasts products
CS1 Model Information Utilization Report
CS4 Report on Marine Fisheries Climate services workshop
Impact of Arctic on Northern Hemisphere predictability
A report on the predictability of marine cold air outbreaks and polar lows with dynamical s2s forecasts
Data management plan (DMP)

Data management plan (DMP): Our action takes part in the Pilot on Open Research Data, thus we have included the data management plan as a distinct deliverable within the first 6 months of the project. This deliverable will evolve during the lifetime of the project in order to present the status of the project's reflections on data management.

Pubblicazioni

Oceanic heat transport into the Arctic under high and low $$\hbox {CO}_2$$ forcing

Autori: Eveline C. van der Linden, Dewi Le Bars, Richard Bintanja, Wilco Hazeleger
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 53/7-8, 2019, Pagina/e 4763-4780, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04824-y

The Climatology of the Atmospheric Boundary Layer in Contemporary Global Climate Models

Autori: Richard Davy
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 31/22, 2018, Pagina/e 9151-9173, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-17-0498.1

AMOC and summer sea ice as key drivers of the spread in mid-holocene winter temperature patterns over Europe in PMIP3 models

Autori: Alina Găinuşă-Bogdan, Didier Swingedouw, Pascal Yiou, Julien Cattiaux, Francis Codron, Simon Michel
Pubblicato in: Global and Planetary Change, Numero 184, 2020, Pagina/e 103055, ISSN 0921-8181
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.103055

Subpolar gyre and temperature drive boreal fish abundance in Greenland waters

Autori: Søren Post, Karl Michael Werner, Ismael Núñez‐Riboni, Léon Chafik, Hjálmar Hátún, Teunis Jansen
Pubblicato in: Fish and Fisheries, Numero 22/1, 2021, Pagina/e 161-174, ISSN 1467-2960
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/faf.12512

Trends in temperature-related age-specific and sex-specific mortality from cardiovascular diseases in Spain: a national time-series analysis

Autori: Hicham Achebak, Daniel Devolder, Joan Ballester
Pubblicato in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numero 3/7, 2019, Pagina/e e297-e306, ISSN 2542-5196
Editore: Lancet Planet Health
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(19)30090-7

Alleviation of an Arctic Sea Ice Bias in a Coupled Model Through Modifications in the Subgrid‐Scale Orographic Parameterization

Autori: Guillaume Gastineau, François Lott, Juliette Mignot, Frederic Hourdin
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero 12/9, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002111

Modes of climate variability: Synthesis and review of proxy-based reconstructions through the Holocene

Autori: Armand Hernández, Celia Martin-Puertas, Paola Moffa-Sánchez, Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Pablo Ortega, Simon Blockley, Kim M. Cobb, Laia Comas-Bru, Santiago Giralt, Hugues Goosse, Jürg Luterbacher, Belen Martrat, Raimund Muscheler, Andrew Parnell, Sergi Pla-Rabes, Jesper Sjolte, Adam A. Scaife, Didier Swingedouw, Erika Wise, Guobao Xu
Pubblicato in: Earth-Science Reviews, Numero 209, 2020, Pagina/e 103286, ISSN 0012-8252
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103286

Trials, Errors, and Improvements in Coproduction of Climate Services

Autori: Erik W. Kolstad, Oda N. Sofienlund, Hanna Kvamsås, Mathew A. Stiller-Reeve, Simon Neby, Øyvind Paasche, Marie Pontoppidan, Stefan P. Sobolowski, Håvard Haarstad, Stina E. Oseland, Lene Omdahl, Snorre Waage
Pubblicato in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Numero 100/8, 2019, Pagina/e 1419-1428, ISSN 0003-0007
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-18-0201.1

Atmosphere–Ocean Interactions and Their Footprint on Heat Transport Variability in the Northern Hemisphere

Autori: Yang Liu, Jisk Attema, Wilco Hazeleger
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 33/9, 2020, Pagina/e 3691-3710, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0570.1

Significance of Climate Indices to Benthic Conditions Across the Northern North Atlantic and Adjacent Shelf Seas

Autori: Clare Johnson, Mark Inall, Stefan Gary, Stuart Cunningham
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Numero 7, 2020, ISSN 2296-7745
Editore: Frontiers in Marine Science
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2020.00002

Vertical Migration of Pelagic and Mesopelagic Scatterers From ADCP Backscatter Data in the Southern Norwegian Sea

Autori: Boris Cisewski, Hjálmar Hátún, Inga Kristiansen, Bogi Hansen, Karin Margretha H. Larsen, Sólvá Káradóttir Eliasen, Jan Arge Jacobsen
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Numero 7, 2021, ISSN 2296-7745
Editore: Frontiers in marine science
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2020.542386

The Iceland-Faroe Slope Jet: a conduit for dense water toward the Faroe Bank Channel overflow

Autori: Stefanie Semper, Robert S. Pickart, Kjetil Våge, Karin Margretha H. Larsen, Hjálmar Hátún, Bogi Hansen
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 11/1, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19049-5

Counteracting Contributions of the Upper and Lower Meridional Overturning Limbs to the North Atlantic Nutrient Budgets: Enhanced Imbalance in 2010

Autori: L. I. Carracedo, H. Mercier, E. McDonagh, G. Rosón, R. Sanders, C. M. Moore, S. Torres‐Valdés, P. Brown, P. Lherminier, F. F. Pérez
Pubblicato in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Numero 35/6, 2021, ISSN 0886-6236
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006898

Early Warning from Space for a Few Key Tipping Points in Physical, Biological, and Social-Ecological Systems

Autori: Didier Swingedouw, Chinwe Ifejika Speranza, Annett Bartsch, Gael Durand, Cedric Jamet, Gregory Beaugrand, Alessandra Conversi
Pubblicato in: Surveys in Geophysics, Numero 41/6, 2020, Pagina/e 1237-1284, ISSN 0169-3298
Editore: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10712-020-09604-6

Was the 2015 North Atlantic subpolar cold anomaly predictable?

Autori: Elizabeth A. Maroon, Stephen G. Yeager, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Nan Rosenbloom
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, 2021, Pagina/e 1-69, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0750.1

Trade-offs between short-term mortality attributable to NO2 and O3 changes during the COVID-19 lockdown across major Spanish cities

Autori: Hicham Achebak, Hervé Petetin, Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Dene Bowdalo, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Joan Ballester
Pubblicato in: Environmental Pollution, Numero 286, 2021, Pagina/e 117220, ISSN 0269-7491
Editore: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2021.117220

Observation-based estimates of heat and freshwater exchanges from the subtropical North Atlantic to the Arctic

Autori: Feili Li, M. Susan Lozier, N. Penny Holliday, William E. Johns, Isabela A. Le Bras, Ben I. Moat, Stuart A. Cunningham, M. Femke de Jong
Pubblicato in: Progress in Oceanography, Numero 197, 2021, Pagina/e 102640, ISSN 0079-6611
Editore: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102640

The Arctic sea ice extent change connected to Pacific decadal variability

Autori: Xiao-Yi Yang, Guihua Wang, Noel Keenlyside
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 14/2, 2020, Pagina/e 693-708, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: The Cryosphere EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-693-2020

Changing the urban design of cities for health: The superblock model

Autori: Natalie Mueller, David Rojas-Rueda, Haneen Khreis, Marta Cirach, David Andrés, Joan Ballester, Xavier Bartoll, Carolyn Daher, Anna Deluca, Cynthia Echave, Carles Milà, Sandra Márquez, Joan Palou, Katherine Pérez, Cathryn Tonne, Mark Stevenson, Salvador Rueda, Mark Nieuwenhuijsen
Pubblicato in: Environment International, Numero 134, 2020, Pagina/e 105132, ISSN 0160-4120
Editore: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2019.105132

Arctic amplification metrics

Autori: Richard Davy, Linling Chen, Edward Hanna
Pubblicato in: International Journal of Climatology, Numero 38/12, 2018, Pagina/e 4384-4394, ISSN 0899-8418
Editore: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5675

The Relationship Between U.S. East Coast Sea Level and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: A Review

Autori: Christopher M. Little, Aixue Hu, Chris W. Hughes, Gerard D. McCarthy, Christopher G. Piecuch, Rui M. Ponte, Matthew D. Thomas
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Numero 124/9, 2019, Pagina/e 6435-6458, ISSN 2169-9275
Editore: JGR Oceans
DOI: 10.1029/2019jc015152

Autumn Arctic Pacific Sea Ice Dipole as a Source of Predictability for Subsequent Spring Barents Sea Ice Condition

Autori: Yu-Chiao Liang, Young-Oh Kwon, Claude Frankignoul
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 34/2, 2021, Pagina/e 787-804, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0172.1

Eurasian Cooling Linked to the Vertical Distribution of Arctic Warming

Autori: Shengping He, Xinping Xu, Tore Furevik, Yongqi Gao
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 47/10, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087212

Pacific circulation response to eastern Arctic sea ice reduction in seasonal forecast simulations

Autori: Anne Seidenglanz, Panos Athanasiadis, Paolo Ruggieri, Ivana Cvijanovic, Camille Li, Silvio Gualdi
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2021, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05830-9

Presentation and Evaluation of the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR Ensemble of Extended Historical Simulations

Autori: Rémy Bonnet, Olivier Boucher, Julie Deshayes, Guillaume Gastineau, Frédéric Hourdin, Juliette Mignot, Jérôme Servonnat, Didier Swingedouw
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero 13/9, 2021, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002565

Mechanisms of Decadal North Atlantic Climate Variability and Implications for the Recent Cold Anomaly

Autori: Marius Årthun, Robert C. J. Wills, Helen L. Johnson, Léon Chafik, Helene R. Langehaug
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 34/9, 2021, Pagina/e 3421-3439, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0464.1

Reversal of the seasonality of temperature-attributable mortality from respiratory diseases in Spain

Autori: Hicham Achebak, Daniel Devolder, Vijendra Ingole, Joan Ballester
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 11/1, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-16273-x

Stratospheric influence on North Atlantic marine cold air outbreaks following sudden stratospheric warming events

Autori: Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, Iuliia Polkova, Lukas Papritz, Paolo Ruggieri, Martin P. King, Panos J. Athanasiadis, Johanna Baehr, Daniela I. V. Domeisen
Pubblicato in: Weather and Climate Dynamics, Numero 1/2, 2020, Pagina/e 541-553, ISSN 2698-4016
Editore: Weather Clim. Dynam
DOI: 10.5194/wcd-1-541-2020

Seasonal to decadal predictions of regional Arctic sea ice by assimilating sea surface temperature in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model

Autori: Panxi Dai, Yongqi Gao, François Counillon, Yiguo Wang, Madlen Kimmritz, Helene R. Langehaug
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 54/9-10, 2020, Pagina/e 3863-3878, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05196-4

Advances in reconstructing the AMOC using sea surface observations of salinity

Autori: Victor Estella-Perez, Juliette Mignot, Eric Guilyardi, Didier Swingedouw, Gilles Reverdin
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 55/3-4, 2020, Pagina/e 975-992, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05304-4

A stable Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a changing North Atlantic Ocean since the 1990s

Autori: Yao Fu, Feili Li, Johannes Karstensen, Chunzai Wang
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Numero 6/48, 2020, Pagina/e eabc7836, ISSN 2375-2548
Editore: Science Advances Oceanography
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abc7836

Variable Nordic Seas inflow linked to shifts in North Atlantic circulation

Autori: Helene Asbjørnsen, Helen L. Johnson, Marius Årthun
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, 2021, Pagina/e 1-50, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0917.1

North Atlantic Circulation Regimes and Heat Transport by Synoptic Eddies

Autori: Paolo Ruggieri, M. Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Panos Athanasiadis, Alessio Bellucci, Stefano Materia, Silvio Gualdi
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 33/11, 2020, Pagina/e 4769-4785, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0498.1

Seasonal Prediction from Arctic Sea Surface Temperatures: Opportunities and Pitfalls

Autori: Erik W. Kolstad, Marius Årthun
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 31/20, 2018, Pagina/e 8197-8210, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-18-0016.1

Decadal predictability of North Atlantic blocking and the NAO

Autori: Panos J. Athanasiadis, Stephen Yeager, Young-Oh Kwon, Alessio Bellucci, David W. Smith, Stefano Tibaldi
Pubblicato in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Numero 3/1, 2020, ISSN 2397-3722
Editore: npj climate and atmospheric science
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0120-6

Revising and Extending the Linear Response Theory for Statistical Mechanical Systems: Evaluating Observables as Predictors and Predictands

Autori: Valerio Lucarini
Pubblicato in: Journal of Statistical Physics, Numero 173/6, 2018, Pagina/e 1698-1721, ISSN 0022-4715
Editore: Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10955-018-2151-5

On the interpretation of the atmospheric mechanism transporting the environmental trigger of Kawasaki Disease

Autori: Joan Ballester, Sílvia Borràs, Roger Curcoll, Albert Navarro-Gallinad, Sofya Pozdniakova, Lidia Cañas, Jane C. Burns, Xavier Rodó
Pubblicato in: PLOS ONE, Numero 14/12, 2019, Pagina/e e0226402, ISSN 1932-6203
Editore: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0226402

The Tuning Strategy of IPSL‐CM6A‐LR

Autori: Juliette Mignot, Frédéric Hourdin, Julie Deshayes, Olivier Boucher, Guillaume Gastineau, Ionela Musat, Martin Vancoppenolle, Jérôme Servonnat, Arnaud Caubel, Frédérique Chéruy, Sébastien Denvil, Jean‐Louis Dufresne, Christian Ethé, Laurent Fairhead, Marie‐Alice Foujols, Jean‐Yves Grandpeix, Guillaume Levavasseur, Olivier Marti, Matthew Menary, Catherine Rio, Clément Rousset, Yona S
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero 13/5, 2021, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002340

Mechanisms Underlying Recent Arctic Atlantification

Autori: Helene Asbjørnsen, Marius Årthun, Øystein Skagseth, Tor Eldevik
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 47/15, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl088036

Skilful decadal predictions of subpolar North Atlantic SSTs using CMIP model-analogues

Autori: Matthew B Menary, Juliette Mignot, Jon Robson
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 16/6, 2021, Pagina/e 064090, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac06fb

Impacts of Arctic Sea Ice on Cold Season Atmospheric Variability and Trends Estimated from Observations and a Multi-model Large Ensemble

Autori: Yu-Chiao Liang, Claude Frankignoul, Young-Oh Kwon, Guillaume Gastineau, Elisa Manzini, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Lingling Suo, Stephen Yeager, Yongqi Gao, Jisk J. Attema, Annalisa Cherchi, Rohit Ghosh, Daniela Matei, Jennifer V. Mecking, Tian Tian, Ying Zhang
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, 2021, Pagina/e 1-64, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0578.1

Extended Range Arctic Sea Ice Forecast with Convolutional Long-Short Term Memory Networks

Autori: Yang Liu, Laurens Bogaardt, Jisk Attema, Wilco Hazeleger
Pubblicato in: Monthly Weather Review, 2021, ISSN 0027-0644
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-20-0113.1

Mean Conditions and Seasonality of the West Greenland Boundary Current System near Cape Farewell

Autori: Astrid Pacini, Robert S. Pickart, Frank Bahr, Daniel J. Torres, Andrée L. Ramsey, James Holte, Johannes Karstensen, Marilena Oltmanns, Fiammetta Straneo, Isabela Astiz Le Bras, G. W. K. Moore, M. Femke de Jong
Pubblicato in: Journal of Physical Oceanography, Numero 50/10, 2020, Pagina/e 2849-2871, ISSN 0022-3670
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jpo-d-20-0086.1

Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock

Autori: Marius Årthun, Bjarte Bogstad, Ute Daewel, Noel S. Keenlyside, Anne Britt Sandø, Corinna Schrum, Geir Ottersen
Pubblicato in: PLOS ONE, Numero 13/10, 2018, Pagina/e e0206319, ISSN 1932-6203
Editore: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0206319

The abyssal origins of North Atlantic decadal predictability

Autori: Stephen Yeager
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 55/7-8, 2020, Pagina/e 2253-2271, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05382-4

Spatial Variability of Heat-Related Mortality in Barcelona from 1992–2015: A Case Crossover Study Design

Autori: Vijendra Ingole, Marc Marí-Dell’Olmo, Anna Deluca, Marcos Quijal, Carme Borrell, Maica Rodríguez-Sanz, Hicham Achebak, Dirk Lauwaet, Joan Gilabert, Peninah Murage, Shakoor Hajat, Xavier Basagaña, Joan Ballester
Pubblicato in: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Numero 17/7, 2020, Pagina/e 2553, ISSN 1660-4601
Editore: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17072553

Pending recovery in the strength of the meridional overturning circulation at 26° N

Autori: Ben I. Moat, David A. Smeed, Eleanor Frajka-Williams, Damien G. Desbruyères, Claudie Beaulieu, William E. Johns, Darren Rayner, Alejandra Sanchez-Franks, Molly O. Baringer, Denis Volkov, Laura C. Jackson, Harry L. Bryden
Pubblicato in: Ocean Science, Numero 16/4, 2020, Pagina/e 863-874, ISSN 1812-0792
Editore: Ocean Science
DOI: 10.5194/os-16-863-2020

Atlantic Deep Water Formation Occurs Primarily in the Iceland Basin and Irminger Sea by Local Buoyancy Forcing

Autori: Tillys Petit, M. Susan Lozier, Simon A. Josey, Stuart A. Cunningham
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 47/22, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091028

Multicentennial Variability Driven by Salinity Exchanges Between the Atlantic and the Arctic Ocean in a Coupled Climate Model

Autori: Weimin Jiang, Guillaume Gastineau, Francis Codron
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero 13/3, 2021, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002366

The Faroe shelf spring bloom onset explained by a ‘Critical Volume Hypothesis’

Autori: Sólvá Káradóttir Eliasen, Hjálmar Hátún, Karin Margretha H. Larsen, Helga Bára Mohr Vang, Till Andreas Soya Rasmussen
Pubblicato in: Journal of Marine Systems, Numero 194, 2019, Pagina/e 91-101, ISSN 0924-7963
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2019.02.005

Estimating the Deep Overturning Transport Variability at 26°N Using Bottom Pressure Recorders

Autori: E. L. Worthington, E. Frajka‐Williams, G. D. McCarthy
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Numero 124/1, 2019, Pagina/e 335-348, ISSN 2169-9275
Editore: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
DOI: 10.1029/2018jc014221

The Influence of Autumnal Eurasian Snow Cover on Climate and Its Link with Arctic Sea Ice Cover

Autori: Guillaume Gastineau, Javier García-Serrano, Claude Frankignoul
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 30/19, 2017, Pagina/e 7599-7619, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0623.1

Increased risk of a shutdown of ocean convection posed by warm North Atlantic summers

Autori: Marilena Oltmanns, Johannes Karstensen, Jürgen Fischer
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 8/4, 2018, Pagina/e 300-304, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0105-1

Higher ocean wind speeds during marine cold air outbreaks

Autori: E. W. Kolstad
Pubblicato in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numero 143/706, 2017, Pagina/e 2084-2092, ISSN 0035-9009
Editore: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3068

Variability along the Atlantic water pathway in the forced Norwegian Earth System Model

Autori: H. R. Langehaug, A. B. Sandø, M. Årthun, M. Ilıcak
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2017, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4184-5

Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability

Autori: Marius Årthun, Erik W. Kolstad, Tor Eldevik, Noel S. Keenlyside
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 45/8, 2018, Pagina/e 3597-3604, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2018GL077401

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On the Role of the Eastern Pacific Teleconnection in ENSO Impacts on Wintertime Weather over East Asia and North America

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Pacific Modulation of the North Atlantic Storm Track Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events

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Observed Subdecadal Variations of European Summer Temperatures

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Nonstationary Relationship Between Autumn Arctic Sea Ice and the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation

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Spectral Decomposition and Extremes of Atmospheric Meridional Energy Transport in the Northern Hemisphere Midlatitudes

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Gulf Stream Variability in the Context of Quasi‐Decadal and Multidecadal Atlantic Climate Variability

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Heat-related mortality trends under recent climate warming in Spain: A 36-year observational study

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Effect of the Great Recession on regional mortality trends in Europe

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Understanding of European Cold Extremes, Sudden Stratospheric Warming, and Siberian Snow Accumulation in the Winter of 2017/18

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Uncertainty in the Response of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings and Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling to Quadrupled CO 2 Concentrations in CMIP6 Models

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A large deviation theory-based analysis of heat waves and cold spells in a simplified model of the general circulation of the atmosphere

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Uncertainty in the Response of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings and Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling to Quadrupled CO 2 Concentrations in CMIP6 Models

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Multiyear Statistical Prediction of ENSO Enhanced by the Tropical Pacific Observing System

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The North Atlantic Ocean Is in a State of Reduced Overturning

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Advancing Research for Seamless Earth System Prediction

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Increased ocean heat transport into the Nordic Seas and Arctic Ocean over the period 1993–2016

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Discovery of an unrecognized pathway carrying overflow waters toward the Faroe Bank Channel

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Association between ambient temperature and heat waves with mortality in South Asia: Systematic review and meta-analysis

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The Changing Arctic: Vision of Prospects for Sustainable Development of Northern Regions

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Benefits of sea ice initialization for the interannual-to-decadal climate prediction skill in the Arctic in EC-Earth3

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Impact of freshwater release in the Mediterranean Sea on the North Atlantic climate

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Will climate change worsen your health?

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Rapid Cooling and Increased Storminess Triggered by Freshwater in the North Atlantic

Autori: M. Oltmanns, J. Karstensen, G. W. K. Moore, S. A. Josey
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 47/14, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087207

The 2018–2019 weak El Niño: Predicting the risk of a dengue outbreak in Machala, Ecuador

Autori: Desislava Petrova, Xavier Rodó, Rachel Sippy, Joan Ballester, Raul Mejía, Efraín Beltrán‐Ayala, Mercy J. Borbor‐Cordova, G. Mauricio Vallejo, Alfredo J. Olmedo, Anna M. Stewart‐Ibarra, Rachel Lowe
Pubblicato in: International Journal of Climatology, 2020, ISSN 0899-8418
Editore: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6744

Predictors and prediction skill for marine cold air outbreaks over the Barents Sea

Autori: Iuliia Polkova, Hilla Afargan‐Gerstman, Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Martin P. King, Paolo Ruggieri, Panos Athanasiadis, Mikhail Dobrynin, Øivin Aarnes, Marlene Kretschmer, Johanna Baehr
Pubblicato in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2021, ISSN 0035-9009
Editore: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4038

Assessing heat exposure to extreme temperatures in urban areas using the Local Climate Zone classification

Autori: Joan Gilabert, Anna Deluca, Dirk Lauwaet, Joan Ballester, Jordi Corbera, Maria Carmen Llasat
Pubblicato in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Numero 21/1, 2021, Pagina/e 375-391, ISSN 1684-9981
Editore: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-21-375-2021

Transient Climate Response to Arctic Sea Ice Loss with Two Ice-Constraining Methods

Autori: Amélie Simon, Guillaume Gastineau, Claude Frankignoul, Clément Rousset, Francis Codron
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 34/9, 2021, Pagina/e 3295-3310, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0288.1

Sex-age trends in heat- and cold-related mortality from cardiovascular diseases in a warming climate

Autori: Achebak H, Devolder D, Ballester J
Pubblicato in: Environmental Epidemiology, Numero 3, 2019, Pagina/e 21, ISSN 2474-7882
Editore: Environmental Epidemiology
DOI: 10.1097/01.ee9.0000605840.55404.f5

Ocean circulation causes the largest freshening event for 120 years in eastern subpolar North Atlantic

Autori: N. Penny Holliday, Manfred Bersch, Barbara Berx, Léon Chafik, Stuart Cunningham, Cristian Florindo-López, Hjálmar Hátún, William Johns, Simon A. Josey, Karin Margretha H. Larsen, Sandrine Mulet, Marilena Oltmanns, Gilles Reverdin, Tom Rossby, Virginie Thierry, Hedinn Valdimarsson, Igor Yashayaev
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 11/1, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-14474-y

A dynamically based method for estimating the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26° N from satellite altimetry

Autori: Alejandra Sanchez-Franks, Eleanor Frajka-Williams, Ben I. Moat, David A. Smeed
Pubblicato in: Ocean Science, Numero 17/5, 2021, Pagina/e 1321-1340, ISSN 1812-0792
Editore: Ocean Science discussions
DOI: 10.5194/os-17-1321-2021

Sensitivity of large dengue epidemics in Ecuador to long-lead predictions of El Niño

Autori: Desislava Petrova, Rachel Lowe, Anna Stewart-Ibarra, Joan Ballester, Siem Jan Koopman, Xavier Rodó
Pubblicato in: Climate Services, Numero 15, 2019, Pagina/e 100096, ISSN 2405-8807
Editore: Climate Services
DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2019.02.003

Along‐Stream, Seasonal, and Interannual Variability of the North Icelandic Irminger Current and East Icelandic Current Around Iceland

Autori: M. Casanova‐Masjoan, M. D. Pérez‐Hernández, R. S. Pickart, H. Valdimarsson, S. R. Ólafsdóttir, A. Macrander, D. Grisolía‐Santos, D. J. Torres, S. Jónsson, K. Våge, P. Lin, A. Hernández‐Guerra
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Numero 125/9, 2020, ISSN 2169-9275
Editore: Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans
DOI: 10.1029/2020jc016283

A 30-year reconstruction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation shows no decline

Autori: Emma L. Worthington, Ben I. Moat, David A. Smeed, Jennifer V. Mecking, Robert Marsh, Gerard D. McCarthy
Pubblicato in: Ocean Science, Numero 17/1, 2021, Pagina/e 285-299, ISSN 1812-0792
Editore: Ocean Science
DOI: 10.5194/os-17-285-2021

An Observational Estimate of the Direct Response of the Cold-Season Atmospheric Circulation to the Arctic Sea Ice Loss

Autori: Amélie Simon, Claude Frankignoul, Guillaume Gastineau, Young-Oh Kwon
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 33/9, 2020, Pagina/e 3863-3882, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0687.1

North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply

Autori: D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, R. Eade, P. Athanasiadis, A. Bellucci, I. Bethke, R. Bilbao, L. F. Borchert, L.-P. Caron, F. Counillon, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, V. Estella-Perez, S. Flavoni, L. Hermanson, N. Keenlyside, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, J. Mignot, T. Mochizuki, K. Modali, P.-A. Monerie, W. A. Müller, D. Nicolí, P. Ortega, K. Pankatz, H. P
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 583/7818, 2020, Pagina/e 796-800, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0

The Atlantic inflow across the Greenland-Scotland ridge in global climate models (CMIP5)

Autori: Céline Heuzé, Marius Årthun
Pubblicato in: Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, Numero 7, 2019, Pagina/e 7: 16., ISSN 2325-1026
Editore: Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene Elem. Sci. Anth., 7: 16.
DOI: 10.1525/elementa.354

Year‐Round Measurements of the Irminger Current: Variability of a Two‐Core Current System Observed in 2014–2016

Autori: M. F. Jong, L. Steur, N. Fried, R. Bol, S. Kritsotalakis
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Numero 125/10, 2020, ISSN 2169-9275
Editore: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
DOI: 10.1029/2020jc016193

Сlimate Change in the Arctic: Adaptation to New Challenges

Autori: E. N. Nikitina
Pubblicato in: Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law, Numero 12/5, 2020, Pagina/e 177-200, ISSN 2587-9324
Editore: Outlines of Global Transformations
DOI: 10.23932/2542-0240-2019-12-5-177-200

Indigenous peoples of the Russian Federation: problems, priorities and development prospects in a transforming society

Autori: Valeeva, Vilena
Pubblicato in: 2019, ISBN 978-5-902198-54-3
Editore: The Yakut Scientific Centre of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.25693/fsdonskoy24.09.19

Marine Microbiome Roadmap:

Autori: Bolhuis, Henk; Buttigieg, Pier Luigi; Goodwin, Kelly; Groben, René; Iudicone, Daniele; Lacoursière-Roussel, Anaïs; Pesant, Stéphane; Robinson, Shawn; Björnsson, Sigurður; Erlendsson, Lýður Skuli; Rae, Margaret
Pubblicato in: 2019
Editore: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.3632526

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