The primary impact of the project is to provide a robust forecast for the TE in order to enable:
- impact assessment of CS2 technologies
- a better matching of Flight Path 2050 goals
and to add a source of information about CS2 technologies.
The impact of the project is furthermore defined in the following different areas:
i. Impact on future SAT market
- To estimate EU industry deliveries and associated workforce
- To set priorities for EU industry and research in those market segments where future commercial activities are most attractive
- Beneficial to EU industries, as the project has provided tools to estimate future markets and to understand the impact of different future scenario’s and technologies on the A/C market
ii. Environmental impact
- To support the TE to calculate the environmental effects of technology improvements for SAT class and allow quantifying the benefits of CS2 technologies and their level of contribution to Flight Path 2050 goals
- To give results in more detailed forms as number of flights depending on missions (short, medium, oversee flights), flights between regions and flights grouped to size of airports
iii. Connectivity/mobility, economic impact
- To supports citizens of the globalised economy and organizations by providing them a time effective fast transportation system
- To use the new methodology in other domains
- To better understand relationship between different parameters and their elasticities
- To better understand and develop market forecast techniques
- To enable the TE to assess the EU connectivity
General recommendations coming from the results of FORSAT2035 are:
- To re-estimating the market after 5 – 8 years, when the changes in regulations (China), general aviation market diversification, influence of small electric and hybrid aircraft developments, etc. will have already some real results that might be used as inputs in further forecasting.
- To further refine the approach, for example expanding potential drivers or modelling continents/groups of countries separately.