Predicting the impacts of climate change and management actions for the invasiveness of alien species in Europe

Información del proyecto

Primer

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 795574

DOI

10.3030/795574

Proyecto finalizado el 28 Enero 2020

Fecha de la firma de la CE 16 Abril 2018

Fecha de inicio 17 Abril 2019

Fecha de finalización 16 Abril 2021

Financiado con arreglo a

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Coste total

€ 195 454,80

Aportación de la UE

€ 195 454,80

Coordinado por

BOURNEMOUTH UNIVERSITY
United Kingdom

Objetivo

In European temperate regions, predicting how climate change will affect rates of biological invasions is crucial for conserving native biodiversity. A European Regulation adopted in 2014 aims to prevent new introductions and stop existing alien species from developing invasions. This requires robust predictions on how introduced alien species will respond to climate change and the management actions designed to prevent invasions. Predictions of ‘invasiveness’, the ability of an introduced alien species to invade, tend to be based on climate envelope models, but these lack environmental and biological complexity and so produce erroneous predictions. Our primary aim is thus to develop novel agent-based models (ABMs) for predicting the consequences of climate change and management actions for the invasiveness of introduced alien species in Europe by integrating climatic, environmental, management and hydrological data. Model regions are Great Britain and France, providing a large latitudinal and climatic gradient suitable. Model species are alien freshwater fishes, as they strongly represent invasive animals in Europe. The experienced researcher (ER) will complete the following research objectives to meet the primary aim: (O1) select the species for modelling and collate the data for modelling; (O2) develop an initial ABM for current climate conditions; (O3) parameterise, for each model species, the initial ABM to predict current invasion probabilities; and (O4) use these final ABMs to predict, via simulations of climate change and management actions, the future invasiveness of the model alien fishes in freshwaters. As the ER has high expertise on invasive species then strong knowledge exchange activities in the Fellowship will: (1) provide the ER with new competencies in predictive ecology and modelling to enable completion of this novel and innovative research, and (2) enable the hosts to develop new research agendas on biological responses to environmental change.

Ámbito científico (EuroSciVoc)

• ciencias naturales › ciencias biológicas › biología de agua dulce
• ciencias naturales › ciencias biológicas › ecología › ecosistemas
• ciencias naturales › ciencias biológicas › ecología › especies invasoras
• ciencias naturales › ciencias de la tierra y ciencias ambientales conexas › ciencias de la atmósfera › climatología › cambios climáticos

Palabras clave

• Non-native species
• climate change
• invasiveness
• invasion management

Programa(s)

• H2020-EU.1.3. - EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions PROGRAMA PRINCIPAL
  
• H2020-EU.1.3.2. - Nurturing excellence by means of cross-border and cross-sector mobility
  

Tema(s)

• MSCA-IF-2017 - Individual Fellowships
  

Régimen de financiación

MSCA-IF - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Individual Fellowships (IF)

Convocatoria de propuestas

H2020-MSCA-IF-2017

Coordinador

BOURNEMOUTH UNIVERSITY

• Aportación neta de la UEn: € 195 454,80
• Dirección: FERN BARROW BOURNEMOUTH UNIVERSITY ; BH12 5BB POOLE ; Reino Unido
• Región: South West (England) › Dorset and Somerset › Bournemouth
• Tipo de actividad: Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
• Coste total: € 195 454,80