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Searching for the Approximation Method used to Perform rationaL inference by INdividuals and Groups

Project description

Identifying how the mind approximates Bayesian models

Bayesian explanations have spread through the field of cognitive science to explain behaviour in various domains – from intuitive physics and causal learning to perception, motor control and language. Nevertheless, people produce stunningly incorrect answers to even the simplest questions about probabilities. A potential resolution to this paradox is that the mind approximates Bayesian solutions by drawing samples, but how it does so remains unknown. The EU-funded SAMPLING project will first identify the algorithms used by the mind to draw samples. Next, it will demonstrate how these sampling algorithms generate classic probabilistic reasoning errors in individuals, upending the longstanding consensus on these effects. Finally, it will use this approach to provide a new perspective on group decision-making.

Host institution

THE UNIVERSITY OF WARWICK
Net EU contribution
€ 1 928 168,75
Address
Kirby Corner Road - University House
CV4 8UW Coventry
United Kingdom

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Region
West Midlands (England) West Midlands Coventry
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Other funding
€ 0,00

Beneficiaries (1)

THE UNIVERSITY OF WARWICK
United Kingdom
Net EU contribution
€ 1 928 168,75
Address
Kirby Corner Road - University House
CV4 8UW Coventry

See on map

Region
West Midlands (England) West Midlands Coventry
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Other funding
€ 0,00