Resultado final
The review report from D.4.1 will be updated.The document will be updated during TiPES and include newly developed metrics of climate response at the end of T4.1 (Task 4.1).
Ice-sheet thresholds and improved sea-level rise projectionsReport on paleo-constrained long-term (from centuries to tens of millennia) ice-sheet projections, including the identification of critical thresholds for irreversible melt-back of the ice sheets in terms of global temperature anomaly and CO2 concentration, as well as improved future sea level rise projections (Task 3.5).
State-dependence and spatial patterns of feedbacksA review report will be compiled during the first year focusing on feedbacks in the climate system that will be addressed by TiPES Feedbacks will include those with an impact on the global mean temperature and those that may exhibit specific spatial patterns Task 41
AMOC thresholds in CMIP7Report summarizing recent developments to climate models that are likely to impact on their simulation of AMOC thresholds, on the timescale of CMIP7/IPCC AR7 and beyond. Likely model developments include eddy-resolving ocean resolution and improved treatments of dense overflow waters. Expected to include an assessment of the impact of the model developments on the specific early warning indicators developed earlier in TiPES (Task 3.1).
Spatial patterns of the interrelations between different Tipping ElementsA report will be submitted on the spatial interaction patterns between the different tipping elements of the earth system that are evidenced in paleoclimatic records On this basis an assessment of cascading versus stabilizing effects of tippingelement interactions will be delivered Task 13
Impact reportLinked to Task 8.3.
Evaluation of tipping phenomena in models of climate tipping elements across scalesClimate models on different scales can show bifurcations inducing tipping. We are going to study stochastic reduction techniques to link the tipping events in model classes and examples across scales (Task 5.1).
Impact assessment in European vulnerable regional climatesAssessment report summarising the impacts of crossing TPs on a range of Europe-relevant climate properties such as the statistics of atmospheric blocking and weather regimes, using state-of-the-art climate models. TPs include significant melting of the European Alpine glaciers or the Greenland ice sheet, and a slowdown and potential collapse of the AMOC. Specific emphasis is put on significant changes in terms of precipitation and temperature extremes, as defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCDDI). Drought- and agricultural-impact models in worst case scenarios will be used to assess damages for society.
Mid-term report from scientific Advisory BoardLinked to Task 82
Rare-event algorithm for tracing Tipping PointThe result of implementing the rare-event algorithm in different models in the model hierarchy focused on specific TPs (AMOC and DO-events) will be reported. The aim is to assess the model dependence in quantitative predictions of TPs (Task 2.3).
Review of communication plan made in D7.1Linked to Task 7.1.
New metrics for safe operating spaces and predictability for climate in the presence of tipping pointsA review report will provide an overview of newly developed metrics for the climate sensitivity that incorporate the effect of TPs being passed. Focus will be on TEs that directly affect global mean temperature, as well as on spatial patterns of temperature change. The report will feed into informing the IPCC AR7 process (Task 4.2).
Tipping point reportA review report will be compiled during the first year derived from an expert public meeting focusing on tipping points that are addressed in TiPES It will form the basis for the first policy briefs and fact sheets produced by TiPES The document will be updated during TiPES M30 Task 72
Indian summer monsoon projections under regional and global forcingsAssessment report of the future Indian summer monsoon response to regional and global forcing scenarios based on a hierarchy of climate models This will include the definition of safe operating spaces excluding future dangerous conditions in the hydroclimatology of the region Task 33
Ecological and societal impacts of past abrupt transitionsA report will be submitted on the ecological and societal impacts of past transitions of tipping elements, as evidenced in climatic proxy as well as archaeological records. Particular focus will be on the impact of past climate transitions, as e.g. the 8.2 kyr and 4.2 kyr events, on early human societies (Task 1.3).
Report on warm climate stabilityReport on warm climate stability in EMICs, ESMs, and ice-sheet models. A review report will be compiled during the first three years, based on both literature review, and new TiPES simulations. It will enable us to contribute towards policy briefs and fact sheets produced by TiPES (Task 2.2).
"Consistent ""tales of future""""Consistent ""tales of future"" communicating the possible consequences of optimal decision making, for generalist audience. This document represents the output of Task 6.3, which will further supported by publications submitted to peer-reviewed journals (Task 6.3)."
Review of tipping point report made in D7.1Linked to Task 7.2.
Mid-term report from scientific Advisory Board IILinked to Task 8.2.
Physical mechanisms underlying EWSsSummary report on physical mechanisms responsible for statistical EWSs of all relevant regional TEs, as inferred from the model simulations carried out in WP3. This report will include an assessment of the predictive power of the discovered EWS and related physical precursors (WP3 all Tasks).
Observable EWSs for AMOC collapse, suitable for use in a changing background climateReport summarising studies with lowdimensional climate models and AOGCMs in which AMOC thresholds are naturally passed or artificially induced while the underlying climate is changing according to plausible IPCC scenarios The work will identify conditions under which the likelihood of tipping is increased early warning indicators and how these conditions depend on the magnitude and rate of underlying climate change Task 31
Communication planA communication plan will be developed that identifies the adressees in academia society and decision makers in the partner countries and the lists the communication instruments that the project will utilize at the level of partners workpagages and the project as a whole The plan will be circulated among the project partners and then published on the www and reviewed M30 Task 71
Advanced statistical EWSs prior to past abrupt transitionsA report will be submitted on early-warning signals of abrupt transitions evidences in paleoclimate records. This report will clearly show how we have gone beyond classical indicators, e.g. by focussing on distinct time scales, co-variabilities between different records, and by considering more specific statistical measures (Task 1.4).
Drivers of abrupt shifts in European regional climatesReport assessing the relevance of causal precursors of abrupt transitions in European regional climates, including a risk assessment. A strong focus will be on the Mediterranean region. Rapid transitions in regional climates in high-resolution climate model simulations covering the 20th and 21st century will be identified. Potential precursors include an AMOC collapse, remote influences (e.g. Pacific or Arctic changes) and regional effects derived from vegetation changes and/or changed land-atmosphere feedbacks (Task 3.4).
Non-autonomous tipping, safe operating paths and unsafe excursionsClimate models are subject to non-autonomous driving. We are going to study associated pullback attractors, their role in tipping events and provide associated concepts of safe operating spaces (Task 5.2).
Uncertainty assessment of ice-sheet projectionsUncertainty assessment report of future mid-long term (from centuries to tens of millennia) Antarctic and Greenland ice-sheet evolution. The focus will be on parameters and parameterisations of ice-sheet models that dominate uncertainty in future projections, first using stand-alone ice-sheet models and then shifting to coupled ice-sheet-climate models (Task 3.5).
Development of uncertainty in tipping point systemsThis deliverable provides the scientific basis supporting the formulation and specification the of the sequential decision problem, based on the domain-specific language (Task 6.2). It will actually consist of the compilation of articles submitted in the course of the tasks, with supporting code available open access as a git library. We therefore consider more efficient to report this progress as one formal deliverable, as this scientific output will, anyway, be processed all along and made publicly available through the usual peer-reviewed channels (Task 6.2, 6.3).
Likelihood and impacts of Amazon tipping to savanna stateReport providing a risk assessment of a tipping of the South American Monsoon System to a savannah state due to global-warming-induced precipitation changes, on the one hand, and widespread deforestation, on the other hand. These risks will be assessed using a hierarchy of models with dynamical atmosphere-vegetation coupling. Cumulative risk assessment induced by both factors will be included, as well as an assessment of the associated impacts (Task 3.2).
TiPES Outcome BriefsFor stakeholders in partner countries and policymakers briefs and fact sheets will be written for specific events such as professional conferences and UNFCCC COPs (Task 7.3).
Evaluation of EWS techniques: extensions beyond equilibria as well as for network systemsEarly-warning signs have been focused on steady-state solutions in differential equations, yet our understanding will be improved for network systems as well as for other invariants sets. In these cases we are going to evaluate the impact of topology and invariant set structure (Task 5.3).
Domain-specific-language with basic notions about Tipping PointsWith annotations examples of usage and relations and implementation in Idris It will be provided as a report containing the dictionary of notions formalised such as being compatible with computer language Idris or similar supported by a code library The report intends to function as a draft for a publication which can be circulated among partners for further feedback Task 61
Website launch with public part for outreach and internal part for communication among partners and transparent consortium administration, setup appropriate software solution for webinars, make plan for delegating seminar planning and appointment of organizers and moderators. Webside will be continuous developed throughout the project lifetime (Task 8.4).
TiPES websiteA website will be created by the project management. It will contain material for all addressees identified in the communication plan. A special focus will be on scientific material, briefs, and fact sheets addressed at policymakers. The website will also host publications and data for public use (Task 7.3)
D1.1: Open-access proxy data repository of tipping elements in past climatesWe will provide a publically available online data repository containing available proxy records that evidence the temporal behavior of tipping elements in past climates. This repository will be accessible from the TiPES website, and linked with existing repositories such as Pangaea. The most accurate age models will be published alongside the respective records, and wherever possible, marker-based synchronizations between the different records will be provided (Task 1.1).
Public engagement eventTiPES will contribute side events at a UNFCCC COP meeting or a similar international high profile events toward the end in order to communicate with high impact the findings relevant for Climate Change policies (Task 7.4).
Data management plan evaluation II
Linked to Task 8.3.
Data management plan evaluationLinked to Task 83
D7.6: Final version of the game (OTH, M36, Task 7.6). Digital game to engage with the public: A digital game for computers and other allocated platforms will be developed with the focus on facilitating tipping points to the general public (ages 12+) in an engaging manner. The game will focus on re-playability, allowing audiences to experiment with and evaluate the causes and effects of their own actions in regards to climate change and tipping points. Fabula will finalize the development of the game and release the game on appropriate platforms. The game will be made available in english and will be available to play for free in all EU countries.
Statistical toolbox to analyse tipping elements in proxy recordsA statistical toolbox, written in the programming language Python, will be published on the open-access code platform GitHub, and linked to the TiPES website. This toolbox will allow to analyse records of tipping elements in past climates in terms of time series on common, absolute time scales, whilst keeping track of the associated uncertainties (Task 1.2).
Software: computational tools for identifying, classifying and predicting tippingComputational benchmark studies for tipping events occur in several aspects of the project. Here we link the software and development efforts to provide extensions to currently available scientific computing approaches to tipping points (Task 5.3).
Course on functional languages and to dependently typed languagesThe course will be delivered by N. Botta at UCL after the recruitment is finalised. It takes the form of seminars with either slide or syllabus support (Task 6.1).
Software implementation of new ice core and marine core relevant codeSoftware implementation of new ice core and marine core relevant code in UKESM1 to enable testing against water isotope measurements (UBristol). This deliverable will produce new (Fortran) code for the UKESM model. It will be made available to UKESM community once it has been fully tested (Task 2.1).
Modelling protocol for DO events for CMIP-PMIPWe will write suggested DO-modelling protocol, and liaise with CMIP-PMIP steering committee, to put appropriate protocol on the CMIP-PMIP website. This protocol will be published in a peer reviewed paper (T2.1).
Software package for linear response operators in climate modelsA software package will be developed to construct linear response operators in different climate models. Based on our analysis of various models of intermediate to more sophisticated complexity (PlaSIM, Bern3D, HadCM3, EC-Earth, CESM) we will make available the analysis tools for extracting the linear response operator from climate models (Task 4.1).
Publicaciones
Autores:
Laura C. Jackson, Eduardo Alastrué de Asenjo, Katinka Bellomo, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Helmuth Haak, Aixue Hu, Johann Jungclaus, Warren Lee, Virna L. Meccia, Oleg Saenko, Andrew Shao, and Didier Swingedouw
Publicado en:
Geosci. Model Dev., Edición 6, 2023, Página(s) 1975–1995, ISSN 1991-959X
Editor:
Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI:
10.5194/gmd-16-1975-2023
Autores:
Virna L. Meccia, Ramón Fuentes-Franco, Paolo Davini, Katinka Bellomo, Federico Fabiano, Shuting Yang and Jost von Hardenberg
Publicado en:
Climate Dynamics, Edición 14320894, 2022, ISSN 1432-0894
Editor:
Springer
DOI:
10.1007/s00382-022-06534-4
Autores:
Christian Kuehn; Leonhard Horstmeyer
Publicado en:
Phys. Rev. E, Edición 22, 2019, ISSN 1536-6065
Editor:
American Physical Society
DOI:
10.1103/physreve.101.022305
Autores:
Katinka Bellomo, Virna L. Meccia, Roberta D’Agostino, Federico Fabiano, Sarah M. Larson, Jost von Hardenberg & Susanna Corti
Publicado en:
Climate Dynamics, 2023, ISSN 1432-0894
Editor:
Copenicus
DOI:
10.1007/s00382-023-06754-2
Autores:
Federico Fabiano, Paolo Davini, Virna Meccia, Giuseppe Zappa, Alessio Bellucci, Valerio Lembo, Katinka Bellomo, and Susanna Corti
Publicado en:
Earth System Dynamics, Edición [accepted], 2023, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor:
Copenicus
DOI:
10.5194/esd-2023-15
Autores:
Thomas Westerhold, Norbert Marwan, Anna Joy Drury, Diederik Liebrand, Claudia Agnini, Eleni Anagnostou, James S. K. Barnet, Steven M. Bohaty, David De Vleeschouwer, Fabio Florindo, Thomas Frederichs, David A. Hodell, Ann E. Holbourn, Dick Kroon, Vittoria Lauretano, Kate Littler, Lucas J. Lourens, Mitchell Lyle, Heiko Pälike, Ursula Röhl, Jun Tian, Roy H. Wilkens, Paul A. Wilson, James C. Zachos
Publicado en:
Science, Edición 369/6509, 2020, Página(s) 1383-1387, ISSN 0036-8075
Editor:
American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI:
10.1126/science.aba6853
Autores:
Peter D. Ditlevsen and Susanne Ditlevsen
Publicado en:
Nature Communications, Edición 14, 2023, Página(s) 4254, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor:
Nature Publishing Group
DOI:
10.1038/s41467-023-39810-w
Autores:
Niklas Boers, Michael Ghil and Thomas F Stocker
Publicado en:
Environ. Res. Lett., Edición 17, 9, 2022, Página(s) 093006, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor:
Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI:
10.1088/1748-9326/ac8944
Autores:
Frerk Pöppelmeier, Fortunat Joos, and Thomas F. Stocker
Publicado en:
Journal of Climate, 2023, Página(s) 1-39, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor:
American Meteorological Society
DOI:
10.1175/jcli-d-23-0104.1
Autores:
Ragon, Charline; Lembo, Valerio; Lucarini, Valerio; Vérard, Christian; Kasparian, Jérôme; Brunetti, Maura
Publicado en:
Journal of Climate, Edición 35(7), 2022, Página(s) 1-59, ISSN 1520-0442
Editor:
American Meteorological Society
DOI:
10.1175/jcli-d-21-0148.1
Autores:
Sentia Goursaud, Max Holloway, Louise Sime, Eric Wolff, Paul Valdes, Eric J. Steig, Andrew Pauling
Publicado en:
Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1029/2020gl091412
Autores:
Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen, Sigrunn Holbek Sørbye, Hege-Beate Fredriksen, Håvard Rue, Martin Rypdal
Publicado en:
Earth System Dynamics, Edición 11/2, 2020, Página(s) 329-345, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor:
EGU
DOI:
10.5194/esd-11-329-2020
Autores:
Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers
Publicado en:
Nature Climate Change, Edición 11/12, 2021, ISSN 1758-6798
Editor:
Springer Nature
DOI:
10.1038/s41558-021-01097-4
Autores:
Valerio Lembo, Federico Fabiano, Vera Melinda Galfi, Rune Grand Graversen, Valerio Lucarini, and Gabriele Messori
Publicado en:
Weather and Climate Dynamics, Edición 3, 2022, Página(s) 1037–1062, ISSN 2698-4016
Editor:
Göttingen Copernicus Publications
DOI:
10.5194/wcd-3-1037-2022
Autores:
Maria-Vittoria Guarino, Louise C. Sime, David Schröeder, Irene Malmierca-Vallet, Erica Rosenblum, Mark Ringer, Jeff Ridley, Danny Feltham, Cecilia Bitz, Eric J. Steig, Eric Wolff, Julienne Stroeve, Alistair Sellar
Publicado en:
Nature Climate Change, Edición 10/10, 2020, Página(s) 928-932, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor:
Nature Publishing Group
DOI:
10.1038/s41558-020-0865-2
Autores:
Swierczek-Jereczek, J., Montoya, M., Robinson, A., Alvarez-Solas, J., & Blasco, J
Publicado en:
Scientific Reports, Edición 13, 2023, Página(s) 2104, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor:
Nature Publishing Group
DOI:
10.1038/s41598-023-28771-1
Autores:
Manuel Santos Gutiérrez, Valerio Lucarini
Publicado en:
Journal of Statistical Physics, Edición 179/5-6, 2020, Página(s) 1572-1593, ISSN 0022-4715
Editor:
Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers
DOI:
10.1007/s10955-020-02504-4
Autores:
Paul Vallelonga; Aslak Grinsted; Alejandra Borunda; Alejandra Borunda; Steven L. Goldstein; Steven L. Goldstein; Thomas Blunier; Marius Simonsen; Mai Winstrup; Diana Vladimirova; Helle Astrid Kjær; Bo M Vinther; Gisela Winckler; Gisela Winckler; Barbara Delmonte; Robert Frei; Anders Svensson; Giovanni Baccolo; Todd Sowers
Publicado en:
Nature communications, Edición 30, 2019, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor:
Nature Publishing Group
DOI:
10.1038/s41467-019-12546-2
Autores:
Aslak Grinsted, Peter Ditlevsen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Publicado en:
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Edición 116/48, 2019, Página(s) 23942-23946, ISSN 0027-8424
Editor:
National Academy of Sciences
DOI:
10.1073/pnas.1912277116
Autores:
Forough Hassanibesheli, Niklas Boers, Jürgen Kurths
Publicado en:
New Journal of Physics, Edición 22/7, 2020, Página(s) 073053, ISSN 1367-2630
Editor:
Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI:
10.1088/1367-2630/ab9ce5
Autores:
Keno Riechers, Leonardo Rydin Gorjão, Forough Hassanibesheli, Pedro G. Lind, Dirk Witthaut, and Niklas Boers
Publicado en:
Earth System Dynamics, Edición 14.3, 2023, Página(s) 593-607, ISSN 2190-4979
Editor:
Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI:
10.5194/esd-14-593-2023
Autores:
Hummel, Felix; Lindemulder, Nick
Publicado en:
Potential Analysis, Edición 52, 2021, ISSN 1572-929X
Editor:
Springer Nature B.V.
DOI:
10.1007/s11118-021-09929-w
Autores:
Hana Krakovská, Christian Kuehn and Iacopo P. Longo
Publicado en:
European Journal of Applied Mathematics, 2023, Página(s) 1-46, ISSN 1469-4425
Editor:
Cambridge University Press
DOI:
10.1017/s0956792523000141
Autores:
Helle Astrid Kjær, Patrick Zens, Samuel Black, Kasper Holst Lund, Anders Svensson, and Paul Vallelonga
Publicado en:
Climate of the Past, Edición 18149324, 2022, Página(s) 2211-2230, ISSN 1814-9324
Editor:
European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI:
10.5194/cp-18-2211-2022
Autores:
J. Newman; M. Lucas; A. Stefanovska
Publicado en:
Chaos, Edición 31(12), 2021, ISSN 1089-7682
Editor:
American Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI:
10.1063/5.0066641
Autores:
Peter Ashwin; Jennifer Creaser; Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova
Publicado en:
Crossref, Edición 24, 2023, ISSN 0031-9007
Editor:
American Physical Society
DOI:
10.1103/physreve.107.014213
Autores:
Jens Fohlmeister, Ny Riavo G. Voarintsoa, Franziska A. Lechleitner, Meighan Boyd, Susanne Brandtstätter, Matthew J. Jacobson, Jessica L. Oster
Publicado en:
Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, Edición 279, 2020, Página(s) 67-87, ISSN 0016-7037
Editor:
Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI:
10.1016/j.gca.2020.03.042
Autores:
Robbin Bastiaansen,
Henk A Dijkstra,
Anna S von der Heydt
Publicado en:
Environmental Research letters, Edición 17 (4), 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor:
Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI:
10.1088/1748-9326/ac59a8
Autores:
Daniel Moreno-Parada, Jorge Alvarez-Solas, Javier Blasco, Marisa Montoya, & Alexander Robinson
Publicado en:
The Cryosphere, Edición 17, 2023, Página(s) 2139–2156, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor:
Göttingen Copernicus Publ.
DOI:
10.5194/tc-17-2139-2023
Autores:
Valerio Lucarini, Andrey Gritsun
Publicado en:
Climate Dynamics, Edición 54/1-2, 2020, Página(s) 575-598, ISSN 0930-7575
Editor:
Springer Verlag
DOI:
10.1007/s00382-019-05018-2
Autores:
Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen, Keno Riechers,Martin Wibe Rypdal, Niklas Boers
Publicado en:
Climate of the past, Edición 18, 6, 2022, Página(s) 1275-1294, ISSN 1814-9332
Editor:
Copernicus
DOI:
10.5194/cp-18-1275-2022
Autores:
Catrin Ciemer, Lars Rehm, Jürgen Kurths, Reik V Donner, Ricarda Winkelmann, Niklas Boers
Publicado en:
Environmental Research Letters, Edición 15/9, 2020, Página(s) 094087, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor:
Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI:
10.1088/1748-9326/ab9cff
Autores:
Christopher Irrgang; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Maike Sonnewald; Maike Sonnewald; Maike Sonnewald; Elizabeth A. Barnes; Christopher Kadow; Joanna Staneva; Jan Saynisch-Wagner
Publicado en:
Nature Machine Intelligence, Edición 3, 2021, ISSN 2522-5839
Editor:
Springer Nature
DOI:
10.1038/s42256-021-00374-3
Autores:
Ben-Yami, Maya ; Skiba, Vanessa ; Bathiany, Sebastian ; Boers, Niklas
Publicado en:
Nature communications, Edición 14, 2023, Página(s) 8344, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor:
Nature Publishing Group
DOI:
10.1038/s41467-023-44046-9
Autores:
Brede, Nuria; Botta, Nicola
Publicado en:
Journal of Functional Programming, Edición 31, 2021, ISSN 1469-7653
Editor:
online
DOI:
10.1017/s0956796821000228
Autores:
Keno Riechers
Niklas Boers
Publicado en:
Climate of the past, 2021, ISSN 1814-9332
Editor:
Göttingen Copernicus Publ.
DOI:
10.5194/cp-17-1751-2021
Autores:
Steffen Therre, Jens Fohlmeister, Dominik Fleitmann, Albert Matter, Stephen J. Burns, Jennifer Arps, Andrea Schröder-Ritzrau, Ronny Friedrich, Norbert Frank
Publicado en:
Climate of the Past, Edición 16/1, 2020, Página(s) 409-421, ISSN 1814-9332
Editor:
Copernicus Publications
DOI:
10.5194/cp-16-409-2020
Autores:
L. C. Jackson, R. A. Wood
Publicado en:
Journal of Climate, Edición 33/16, 2020, Página(s) 7027-7044, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor:
American Meteorological Society
DOI:
10.1175/jcli-d-20-0034.1
Autores:
Maximilian Gelbrecht, Alistair White, Sebastian Bathiany, and Niklas Boers
Publicado en:
Geoscientific Model Development, Edición 16,11, 2023, Página(s) 3123–3135, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor:
Göttingen Copernicus Publ.
DOI:
10.5194/gmd-16-3123-2023
Autores:
Jonathan A. Baker, Michael J. Bell, Laura C. Jackson, Richard Renshaw, Geoffrey K. Vallis, Andrew J. Watson, Richard A. Wood
Publicado en:
geophysical Research Letters, Edición 50, 14, 2023, Página(s) e2023GL103381, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1029/2023gl103381
Autores:
Maximilian Gelbrecht; Maximilian Gelbrecht; Maximilian Gelbrecht; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Juergen Kurths; Juergen Kurths
Publicado en:
New Journal of Physics, Edición 12, 2021, ISSN 1367-2630
Editor:
Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI:
10.17169/refubium-30839
Autores:
Michiel Baatsen, Peter Bijl, Anna von der Heydt, Appy Sluijs, and Henk Dijkstra
Publicado en:
Climate of the Past, Edición 20,1, 2024, Página(s) 77-90, ISSN 1814-9332
Editor:
Göttingen Copernicus Publ.
DOI:
10.5194/cp-20-77-2024
Autores:
Valerio Lucarini, Larissa Serdukova, and Georgios Margazoglou
Publicado en:
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., Edición 16077946, 2022, Página(s) 183-205, ISSN 1607-7946
Editor:
Copenicus Gesellschaft
DOI:
10.5194/npg-29-183-2022
Autores:
Matteo Cini, Giuseppe Zappa, Francesco Ragone & Susanna Corti
Publicado en:
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Edición 7 (31), 2024, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor:
Springer Nature
DOI:
10.1038/s41612-024-00568-7
Autores:
Masa Kageyama, Louise C. Sime, Marie Sicard, Maria-Vittoria Guarino, Anne de Vernal, Ruediger Stein, David Schroeder, Irene Malmierca-Vallet, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Cecilia Bitz, Pascale Braconnot, Esther C. Brady, Jian Cao, Matthew A. Chamberlain, Danny Feltham, Chuncheng Guo, Allegra N. LeGrande, Gerrit Lohmann, Katrin J. Meissner, Laurie Menviel, Polina Morozova, Kerim H. Nisancioglu, Bette L. Otto-B
Publicado en:
Climate of the Past, Edición 17/1, 2021, Página(s) 37-62, ISSN 1814-9332
Editor:
European geosciences union
DOI:
10.5194/cp-17-37-2021
Autores:
Christopher Boettner,
Georg Klinghammer,
Niklas Boers,
Thomas Westerhold,
Norbert Marwan,
Publicado en:
Quaternary Science Reviews, Edición 270, 2021, ISSN 0277-3791
Editor:
Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI:
10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107177
Autores:
Maria Vittoria Guarino, Louise C. Sime, Rachel Diamond, Jeff Ridley, and David Schroeder
Publicado en:
Climate of the Past, Edición 19, 2023, Página(s) 865–881, ISSN 1814-9324
Editor:
European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI:
10.5194/cp-19-865-2023
Autores:
Keno Riechers, Takahito Mitsui, Niklas Boers, and Michael Ghil
Publicado en:
Climate of the Past, Edición 18, 2022, Página(s) 863-893, ISSN 1814-9324
Editor:
European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI:
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Autores:
Irene Malmierca-Vallet, Louise C. Sime, and the D–O community members
Publicado en:
Climate of the Past, Edición 19, 2023, Página(s) 915–942, ISSN 1814-9324
Editor:
European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI:
10.5194/cp-19-915-2023
Autores:
Witold Bagniewski, Michael Ghil & Denis-Didier Rousseau
Publicado en:
Sci Rep, Edición 13, 2023, Página(s) 4472, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor:
Nature Publishing Group
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10.1038/s41598-023-30592-1
Autores:
Nils Bochow, Anna Poltronieri, Martin Rypdal, Niklas Boers
Publicado en:
arXiv, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
arXiv
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10.48550/arxiv.2311.18348
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Jardón-Kojakhmetov, Hildeberto ; Kuehn, Christian ; Longo, Iacopo P.
Publicado en:
ArXiv, Edición [prerint], 2023
Editor:
Cornell University
DOI:
10.48550/arxiv.2305.05747
Autores:
Andreas Morr, Keno Riechers, Leonardo Rydin Gorjão, Niklas Boers
Publicado en:
arXiv, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
ArXiv
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10.48550/arxiv.2308.16773
Autores:
Vasilis Dakos, Chris A. Boulton, Josh E. Buxton, Jesse F. Abrams, David I. Armstrong McKay, Sebastian Bathiany, Lana Blaschke, Niklas Boers, Daniel Dylewsky, Carlos López-Martínez, Isobel Parry, Paul Ritchie, Bregje van der Bolt, Larissa van der Laan, Els Weinans, and Sonia Kéfi
Publicado en:
EGUSphere, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
Copenicus
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10.5194/egusphere-2023-1773
Autores:
Valerio Lucarini, Mickaël Chekroun
Publicado en:
arXiV, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
Cornell University
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10.48550/arxiv.2212.02628
Autores:
Christian Wirths, Johannes Sutter, and Thomas Stocker
Publicado en:
EGUsphere, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
Copernicus
DOI:
10.5194/egusphere-2023-2233
Autores:
Lana L. Blaschke, Da Nian, Bathiany, Maya Ben-Yami, Taylor Smith, Chris A. Boulton, Niklas Boers
Publicado en:
arXiv, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
Cornell University
DOI:
10.48550/arxiv.2310.18540
Autores:
John Slattery, Louise C. Sime, Francesco Muschitiello, and Keno Riechers
Publicado en:
Climate of the Past discussions, Edición [in review], 2023, ISSN 1814-9324
Editor:
European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI:
10.5194/egusphere-2023-2496
Autores:
Daniel Moreno-Parada, Alexander Robinson, Marisa Montoya, and Jorge Alvarez-Solas
Publicado en:
EGUSphere, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
Copenicus
DOI:
10.5194/egusphere-2023-2690
Autores:
Nicola Botta, Patrik Jansson, Guilherme Horta Alvares Da Silva
Publicado en:
arXiv, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
Cornell university
DOI:
10.48550/arxiv.2308.09481
Autores:
NIAN, DA and Bathiany, Sebastian and Sakschewski, Boris and Drüke, Markus and Blaschke, Lana and Ben-Yami, Maya and von Bloh, Werner and Boers, Niklas
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SSRN, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
SSRN
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10.2139/ssrn.4658035
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Sina Loriani, Yevgeny Aksenov, David Armstrong McKay, Govindasamy Bala, Andreas Born, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Henk Dijkstra, Jonathan F. Donges, Sybren Drijfhout, Matthew H. England, Alexey V. Fedorov, Laura Jackson, Kai Kornhuber, Gabriele Messori, Francesco Pausata, Stefanie Rynders, Jean-Baptiste Salée, Bablu Sinha, Steven Sherwood, Didier Swingedouw, and Thejna Tharammal
Publicado en:
Erath system Dynamics, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
Copenicus Publications
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10.5194/egusphere-2023-2589
Autores:
Lucy G. Recchia, Valerio Lucarini
Publicado en:
arXiv, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
ArXiV
DOI:
10.48550/arxiv.2310.15871
Autores:
Reyk Börner, Ryan Deeley, Raphael Römer, Tobias Grafke, Valerio Lucarini, Ulrike Feudel
Publicado en:
arXiv, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
Cornell University
DOI:
10.48550/arxiv.2311.10231
Autores:
Erik Chavez, Michael Ghil, Jan Rombouts
Publicado en:
https://www.researchsquare.com/, Edición [preprint], 2024
Editor:
https://www.researchsquare.com/
DOI:
10.21203/rs.3.rs-3870378/v1
Autores:
Andreas Morr, Niklas Boers and Peter Ashwin
Publicado en:
arXiv, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
Cornell University
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10.48550/arxiv.2311.18597
Autores:
Tommaso Alberti, Fabio Florindo, Eelco J. Rohling, Valerio Lucarini, Davide Faranda
Publicado en:
arXiv, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
ArXiV
DOI:
10.48550/arxiv.2309.12693
Autores:
Sebastian Springer, Vera Melinda Galfi, Alessandro Laio, Valerio Lucarini
Publicado en:
arXiv, Edición [preprint], 2023
Editor:
arXiv
DOI:
10.48550/arxiv.2309.06833
Autores:
Botta, Nicola; Brede, Nuria; Crucifix, Michel; Marina Martínez Montero
Publicado en:
2022
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TiPES
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10.5281/zenodo.6820683
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Simon L. L. Michel, Anna S. von der Heydt, Henk A. Dijkstra
Publicado en:
ESS Open Archive, Edición [preprint], 2023
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Authorea.com
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10.22541/essoar.168839598.85584521/v1
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Sentia Oger, Louise Sime, and Max Holloway
Publicado en:
EGUsphere, Edición [preprint], 2023
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Copenicus
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10.5194/egusphere-2023-2735
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Simon Michel, Henk Dijkstra, Francesco Guardamagna, Valérian Jacques-Dumas, René van Westen, Anna von der Heydt
Publicado en:
Research Square, Edición [preprint], 2023
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10.21203/rs.3.rs-3377545/v1
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Publicado en:
2022
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TiPES
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10.5281/zenodo.6820605
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Publicado en:
The Cryosphere Discuss. [preprint], Edición in review, 2022, ISSN 1994-0440
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Copenicus
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10.5194/tc-2022-97
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Javier Blasco, Ilaria Tabone, Daniel Moreno-Parada, Alexander Robinson, Jorge Alvarez-Solas, Frank Pattyn, and Marisa Montoya
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Climateof the Past Discussions, Edición [preprint], 2023, ISSN 1814-9324
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European Geosciences Union (EGU).
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10.5194/cp-2023-76
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Chris A. Boulton
Publicado en:
Global Change Biology, Edición 7, 2022, ISSN 1354-1013
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Blackwell Publishing Inc.
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10.1111/gcb.15936
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Richard A. Wood, Michel Crucifix, Timothy M. Lenton, Katharine J. Mach, Crystal Moore, Mark New, Simon Sharpe, Thomas F. Stocker, Rowan T. Sutton
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Erath's Future, Edición 11, 4, 2023, Página(s) e2022EF003369, ISSN 2328-4277
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John Wiley & Sons
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10.1029/2022ef003369
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Mehling, Oliver, Reyk Börner, and Valerio Lucarini
Publicado en:
Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, Edición 134043, 2023, ISSN 0167-2789
Editor:
Elsevier BV
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10.1016/j.physd.2023.134043
Autores:
Anna von der Heydt
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Science, Edición 377, 6601, 2022, Página(s) 26-27, ISSN 0036-8075
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American Association for the Advancement of Science
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10.1126/science.abq6542
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Michael Ghil
Publicado en:
PNAS, Edición 120 (39), 2023, Página(s) e2311575120, ISSN 0027-8424
Editor:
National Academy of Sciences
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10.1073/pnas.2311575120
Autores:
Bernd Krauskopf and Jan Sieber
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Controlling Delayed Dynamics. CISM International Centre for Mechanical Sciences, Edición vol 604., 2022, ISBN 978-3-031-01129-0
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Springer, Cham.
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Mathematical Approach to Climate Change and its Impacts - MAC2I, Edición 38, 2020, Página(s) 3-81, ISBN 978-3-030-38668-9
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Springer International Publishing
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10.1007/978-3-030-38669-6_1
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Handbook of Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation, 2022, Página(s) 225-287, ISBN 978-3-030-72579-2
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Springer, Cham
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Abrupt Climate Change, Edición 1, 2020, ISBN 978-87-93604-86-5
Editor:
Strandberg publishing
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