Using causal discovery algorithms to boost subseasonal to seasonal forecast skill of Mediterranean rainfall

Informations projet

CausalBoost

N° de convention de subvention: 841902

DOI 10.3030/841902

Projet clôturé

Date de signature de la CE 12 Avril 2019

Date de début 1 Mars 2020

Date de fin 28 Février 2022

Financé au titre de

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Coût total € 212 933,76

Contribution de l’UE € 212 933,76

Coordonné par

THE UNIVERSITY OF READING
United Kingdom

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (8)

The role of the timing of sudden stratospheric warmings for precipitation and temperature anomalies in Europe

Auteurs: Erika Monnin,Marlene Kretschmer,Inna Polichtchouk
Publié dans: International Journal of Climatology, 2021, ISSN 1097-0088
Éditeur: Wiley-Blackwell on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/joc.7426

Quantifying Causal Pathways of Teleconnections

Auteurs: Marlene Kretschmer, Samantha V. Adams, Alberto Arribas, Rachel Prudden, Niall Robinson, Elena Saggioro, and Theodore G. Shepherd
Publié dans: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2021, ISSN 0003-0007
Éditeur: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-20-0117.1

The role of Barents–Kara sea ice loss in projected polar vortex changes

Auteurs: M. Kretschmer; G. Zappa; G. Zappa; T. G. Shepherd
Publié dans: Weather and Climate Dynamics, Vol 1, Pp 715-730 (2020), Numéro 1, 2020, ISSN 2698-4016
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/wcd-1-715-2020

Potential for early forecast of Moroccan wheat yields based on climatic drivers

Auteurs: Lehmann, J., Kretschmer, M., Schauberger, B. and Wechsung, F.
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087516

Network-based forecasting of climate phenomena.

Auteurs: Josef Ludescher; Maria A. Martin; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Armin Bunde; Catrin Ciemer; Jingfang Fan; Jingfang Fan; Shlomo Havlin; Marlene Kretschmer; Jürgen Kurths; Jürgen Kurths; Jakob Runge; Veronika Stolbova; Elena Surovyatkina; Elena Surovyatkina; Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Publié dans: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Numéro 1, 2021, ISSN 0027-8424
Éditeur: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1922872118

Reconstructing regime-dependent causal relationships from observational time series.

Auteurs: Elena Saggioro; Jana de Wiljes; Marlene Kretschmer; Jakob Runge
Publié dans: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Numéro 1, 2020, ISSN 1089-7682
Éditeur: AIP Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0020538

Robust predictors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity identified with causal effect networks

Auteurs: P. Pfleiderer; P. Pfleiderer; P. Pfleiderer; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner; T. Geiger; T. Geiger; M. Kretschmer
Publié dans: Weather and Climate Dynamics, Vol 1, Pp 313-324 (2020), Numéro 1, 2020, ISSN 2698-4016
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/wcd-1-313-2020

Predictors and prediction skill for marine cold-air outbreaks over the Barents Sea

Auteurs: Polkova, I., Afargan-Gerstman, H., Domeisen, D. I. V., King, M. P., Ruggieri, P., Athanasiadis, P., Dobrynin, M., Aarnes, Ø., Kretschmer, M. and Baehr, J.
Publié dans: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2021, ISSN 1477-870X
Éditeur: Wiley-Blackwell on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4038