Using causal discovery algorithms to boost subseasonal to seasonal forecast skill of Mediterranean rainfall

Project Information

CausalBoost

Grant agreement ID: 841902

DOI 10.3030/841902

Project closed

EC signature date 12 April 2019

Start date 1 March 2020

End date 28 February 2022

Funded under

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Total cost € 212 933,76

EU contribution € 212 933,76

Coordinated by

THE UNIVERSITY OF READING
United Kingdom

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (8)

The role of the timing of sudden stratospheric warmings for precipitation and temperature anomalies in Europe

Author(s): Erika Monnin,Marlene Kretschmer,Inna Polichtchouk
Published in: International Journal of Climatology, 2021, ISSN 1097-0088
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/joc.7426

Quantifying Causal Pathways of Teleconnections

Author(s): Marlene Kretschmer, Samantha V. Adams, Alberto Arribas, Rachel Prudden, Niall Robinson, Elena Saggioro, and Theodore G. Shepherd
Published in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2021, ISSN 0003-0007
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-20-0117.1

The role of Barents–Kara sea ice loss in projected polar vortex changes

Author(s): M. Kretschmer; G. Zappa; G. Zappa; T. G. Shepherd
Published in: Weather and Climate Dynamics, Vol 1, Pp 715-730 (2020), Issue 1, 2020, ISSN 2698-4016
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/wcd-1-715-2020

Potential for early forecast of Moroccan wheat yields based on climatic drivers

Author(s): Lehmann, J., Kretschmer, M., Schauberger, B. and Wechsung, F.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087516

Network-based forecasting of climate phenomena.

Author(s): Josef Ludescher; Maria A. Martin; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Armin Bunde; Catrin Ciemer; Jingfang Fan; Jingfang Fan; Shlomo Havlin; Marlene Kretschmer; Jürgen Kurths; Jürgen Kurths; Jakob Runge; Veronika Stolbova; Elena Surovyatkina; Elena Surovyatkina; Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Issue 1, 2021, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1922872118

Reconstructing regime-dependent causal relationships from observational time series.

Author(s): Elena Saggioro; Jana de Wiljes; Marlene Kretschmer; Jakob Runge
Published in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Issue 1, 2020, ISSN 1089-7682
Publisher: AIP Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0020538

Robust predictors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity identified with causal effect networks

Author(s): P. Pfleiderer; P. Pfleiderer; P. Pfleiderer; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner; T. Geiger; T. Geiger; M. Kretschmer
Published in: Weather and Climate Dynamics, Vol 1, Pp 313-324 (2020), Issue 1, 2020, ISSN 2698-4016
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/wcd-1-313-2020

Predictors and prediction skill for marine cold-air outbreaks over the Barents Sea

Author(s): Polkova, I., Afargan-Gerstman, H., Domeisen, D. I. V., King, M. P., Ruggieri, P., Athanasiadis, P., Dobrynin, M., Aarnes, Ø., Kretschmer, M. and Baehr, J.
Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2021, ISSN 1477-870X
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4038