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Using causal discovery algorithms to boost subseasonal to seasonal forecast skill of Mediterranean rainfall

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Publications

The role of the timing of sudden stratospheric warmings for precipitation and temperature anomalies in Europe

Author(s): Erika Monnin,Marlene Kretschmer,Inna Polichtchouk
Published in: International Journal of Climatology, 2021, ISSN 1097-0088
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/joc.7426

Quantifying Causal Pathways of Teleconnections

Author(s): Marlene Kretschmer, Samantha V. Adams, Alberto Arribas, Rachel Prudden, Niall Robinson, Elena Saggioro, and Theodore G. Shepherd
Published in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2021, ISSN 0003-0007
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-20-0117.1

The role of Barents–Kara sea ice loss in projected polar vortex changes

Author(s): M. Kretschmer; G. Zappa; G. Zappa; T. G. Shepherd
Published in: Weather and Climate Dynamics, Vol 1, Pp 715-730 (2020), 1, 2020, ISSN 2698-4016
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/wcd-1-715-2020

Potential for early forecast of Moroccan wheat yields based on climatic drivers

Author(s): Lehmann, J., Kretschmer, M., Schauberger, B. and Wechsung, F.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087516

Network-based forecasting of climate phenomena.

Author(s): Josef Ludescher; Maria A. Martin; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Niklas Boers; Armin Bunde; Catrin Ciemer; Jingfang Fan; Jingfang Fan; Shlomo Havlin; Marlene Kretschmer; Jürgen Kurths; Jürgen Kurths; Jakob Runge; Veronika Stolbova; Elena Surovyatkina; Elena Surovyatkina; Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 1, 2021, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1922872118

Reconstructing regime-dependent causal relationships from observational time series.

Author(s): Elena Saggioro; Jana de Wiljes; Marlene Kretschmer; Jakob Runge
Published in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 1, 2020, ISSN 1089-7682
Publisher: AIP Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0020538

Robust predictors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity identified with causal effect networks

Author(s): P. Pfleiderer; P. Pfleiderer; P. Pfleiderer; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner; T. Geiger; T. Geiger; M. Kretschmer
Published in: Weather and Climate Dynamics, Vol 1, Pp 313-324 (2020), 1, 2020, ISSN 2698-4016
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/wcd-1-313-2020

Predictors and prediction skill for marine cold-air outbreaks over the Barents Sea

Author(s): Polkova, I., Afargan-Gerstman, H., Domeisen, D. I. V., King, M. P., Ruggieri, P., Athanasiadis, P., Dobrynin, M., Aarnes, Ø., Kretschmer, M. and Baehr, J.
Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2021, ISSN 1477-870X
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4038