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Tropical tree mortality in a changing climate

Project description

How drought influences tropical tree mortality

Tropical forest mortality increases due to climate change, particularly in drought conditions and rising heat. Little is known about how and to what extent drought and heat affect tree mortality. Rwanda is a developing country that has suffered wide-scale deforestation. The EU-funded TTMCC project proposes to study how drought and heat affect tropical tree mortality. The research will be done in three regions in Rwanda with different climatic conditions. In addition, the flora of the three regions selected presents a variety of trees and plants. The results will help predict and prevent tropical tree mortality.

Objective

Climate change increases tree mortality worldwide, and in tropical forests in particular. While it is established that tropical tree mortality increases under hot and dry conditions, key questions regarding why and how remain unresolved. Which traits predispose trees to mortality? How does drought and heat interact to affect tropical tree growth and survival under field conditions? The overall goal of my project is to determine the sensitivity of tropical tree species to heat and drought, and based on this knowledge develop a trait-based tree mortality model that can be used to provide recommendations on which trees are suitable to different climatic regions in Rwanda, central Africa. Such recommendations are crucial for reforestation programs and climate change adaptation in Rwanda, a low-income country which has been heavily deforested in the past. To achieve this goal, I will identify which tree traits (structural, hydraulic, physiological, biochemical) that control the vitality and survival of tropical trees in multi-species plantations established at three sites in Rwanda. The sites exhibit large natural variation in precipitation and temperature, and experimental manipulations of water supply (irrigation, rainfall exclusion) are imposed at each site. Traits will be determined using a broad range of gas exchange, hydraulic and biochemical methods in the field as well as in the lab. A multi-trait model of drought- and heat-induced tree mortality will be derived based on data from the experimental sites, and evaluated using independent data from additional sites with larger trees. Based on this model, I will provide tree plantation recommendations to relevant stakeholders in Rwanda and the region. By bringing together perspectives from experimental ecology and vegetation modelling to address critical knowledge gaps this projects will make original contributions to improve the understanding and predictability of tropical tree mortality in a changing climate.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

MSCA-IF-EF-ST - Standard EF

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) H2020-MSCA-IF-2018

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Coordinator

GOETEBORGS UNIVERSITET
Net EU contribution
€ 191 852,16
Address
VASAPARKEN
405 30 Goeteborg
Sweden
Region
Södra Sverige Västsverige Västra Götalands län
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
€ 191 852,16