DOWN2EARTH: Translation of climate information into multilevel decision support for social adaptation, policy development, and resilience to water scarcity in the Horn of Africa Drylands

Livrables

Data Management Plan (Task 5.1)

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Expanded climate/water data networks throughout HAD (Task 4.3)

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Project website (Task 6.1)

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Publications

The uncertain role of rising atmospheric CO2 on global plant transpiration

Auteurs: Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano; Diego G. Miralles; Nate McDowell; Tim Brodribb; Fernando Domínguez-Castro; Ruby Leung; Akash Koppa
Publié dans: Earth-Science Reviews, Numéro 2, 2022, ISSN 1872-6828
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104055

Characterizing the Response of Vegetation Cover to Water Limitation in Africa Using Geostationary Satellites

Auteurs: Çağlar Küçük; Sujan Koirala; Nuno Carvalhais; Diego G. Miralles; Markus Reichstein; Martin Jung
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numéro 2, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002730

Drivers of Subseasonal Forecast Errors of the East African Short Rains

Auteurs: E. W. Kolstad, D. MacLeod, T. D. Demissie
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Numéro 48/14, 2021, Page(s) e2021GL093292, ISSN 0094-8276
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093292

A deep learning-based hybrid model of global terrestrial evaporation

Auteurs: Akash Koppa, Dominik Rains, Petra Hulsman, Rafael Poyatos & Diego G. Miralles
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 13, 2022, Page(s) 1912, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29543-7

Integrating Behavioral Theories in Agent-Based Models for Agricultural Drought Risk Assessments

Auteurs: Teun Schrieks, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Marthe Wens, Toon Haer and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Publié dans: Frontiers in Water, Numéro 3, 2021, Page(s) 686329, ISSN 2624-9375
Éditeur: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2021.686329

A Lagrangian Analysis of the Sources of Rainfall Over the Horn of Africa Drylands

Auteurs: Akash Koppa; Jessica Keune; Dave A. MacLeod; Michael Singer; Raquel Nieto; Luis Gimeno; Katerina Michaelides; Rafael Rosolem; George Otieno; Abebe Tadege; Diego G. Miralles
Publié dans: JGR Atmospheres, Numéro 2, 2023, ISSN 2169-8996
Éditeur: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd038408

Seasonal prediction of Horn of Africa long rains using machine learning: The pitfalls of preselecting correlated predictors

Auteurs: Victoria M. H. Deman; Akash Koppa; Willem Waegeman; David A. MacLeod; Michael Bliss Singer; Diego G. Miralles
Publié dans: FRONTIERS IN WATER, Numéro 1, 2022, ISSN 2624-9375
Éditeur: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2022.1053020

stoPET v1.0: A stochastic potential evapotranspiration generator for simulation of climate change impacts

Auteurs: Asfaw, Dagmawi Teklu; Singer, Michael Bliss; Rosolem, Rafael; MacLeod, David; Cuthbert, Mark; Miguitama, Edisson Quichimbo; Gaona, Manuel F. Rios; Michaelides, Katerina
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 21, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-557-2023

Climate hazards are threatening vulnerable migrants in Indian megacities

Auteurs: Vittal Hari, Suman Dharmasthala, Akash Koppa, Subhankar Karmakar, Rohini Kumar
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 11, 2021, Page(s) 636–638, ISSN 1758-6798
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01105-7

The Contribution of Transpiration to Precipitation Over African Watersheds

Auteurs: S. A. Te Wierik, J. Keune, D. G. Miralles, J. Gupta, Y. A. Artzy-Randrup, L. Gimeno, R. Nieto, L. H. Cammeraat
Publié dans: Water Resources Research, 2022, ISSN 1944-7973
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021wr031721

Sustained Water Storage in Horn of Africa Drylands Dominated by Seasonal Rainfall Extremes

Auteurs: Markus Adloff; Michael Bliss Singer; David A. MacLeod; Katerina Michaelides; Nooshin Mehrnegar; Eleanor Hansford; Chris Funk; Daniel Mitchell
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Numéro 6, 2022, ISSN 1944-8007
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl099299

Playing the long game: Anticipatory action based on seasonal forecasts

Auteurs: David MacLeod, Dominic R. Kniveton, Martin C. Todd
Publié dans: Climate Risk Management, Numéro 34, 2021, Page(s) 100375, ISSN 2212-0963
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100375

Propagation from meteorological to hydrological drought in the Horn of Africa using both standardized and threshold-based indices

Auteurs: Rhoda A. Odongo; Hans De Moel; Anne F. Van Loon
Publié dans: EGU Sphere, Numéro 1, 2022, ISSN 1680-7359
Éditeur: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1307

A unified framework to estimate the origins of atmospheric moisture and heat using Lagrangian models

Auteurs: Keune, Jessica; Schumacher, Dominik L.; Miralles, Diego G.
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 1, 2022, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-1875-2022

A holistic framework to estimate the origins of atmospheric moisture and heat using a Lagrangian model

Auteurs: Jessica Keune; Dominik L. Schumacher; Diego G. Miralles
Publié dans: eISSN: 1991-9603, Numéro 3, 2022, Page(s) 1875–1898, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2021-180

Climate services for the Greater Horn of Africa: interviews exploring practitioner perspectives from Kenya and beyond

Auteurs: Jacob M. Rigby; Michaelina Almaz Yohannis; Chris Preist; Michael Bliss Singer; Timothy M. Waema; Agnes N. Wausi; Katerina Michaelides
Publié dans: Climate and Development, Numéro 13, 2022, ISSN 1756-5529
Éditeur: Taylor and Francis Inc.
DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2022.2074350

STORM v.2: A simple, stochastic decision-support tool for exploring the impacts of climate and climate change at, and near the land surface in gauged watersheds

Auteurs: Manuel Felipe Rios Gaona; Katerina Michaelides; Michael Bliss Singer
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 1, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2023-98

Incorporating Plant Access to Groundwater in Existing Global, Satellite-Based Evaporation Estimates

Auteurs: P. Hulsman, J. Keune, A. Koppa, J. Schellekens, D. G. Miralles
Publié dans: Water Resources Research, 2023, ISSN 1944-7973
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022wr033731

A coupled agent-based model to analyse human-drought feedbacks for agropastoralists in dryland regions

Auteurs: Ileen N. Streefkerk; Jens de Bruijn; Toon Haer; Anne F. Van Loon; Edisson A. Quichimbo; Marthe Wens; Khalid Hassaballah; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Publié dans: Frontiers in Water, Numéro 2, 2023, ISSN 2624-9375
Éditeur: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2022.1037971

Impact-based seasonal rainfall forecasting to trigger early action for droughts

Auteurs: Tim Busker, Hans de Moel, Bart van den Hurk, Jeroen Aerts
Publié dans: Science of the Total Environment, 2023, ISSN 1879-1026
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165506

Translating seasonal climate forecasts into water balance forecasts for decision making

Auteurs: David MacLeod; Edisson A. Quichimbo; Katerina Michaelides; Dagmawi Teklu Asfaw; Rafael Rosolem; Mark O. Cuthbert; Erick Otenyo; Zewdu Segele; Jacob M. Rigby; George Otieno; Khalid Hassaballah; Abebe Tadege; Michael Bliss Singer
Publié dans: PLOS Climate, Numéro 20, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
Éditeur: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000138

Hourly potential evapotranspiration at 0.1° resolution for the global land surface from 1981-present

Auteurs: Michael Bliss Singer, Dagmawi Teklu Asfaw, Rafael Rosolem, Mark O. Cuthbert, Diego G. Miralles, David MacLeod, Edisson Andres Quichimbo & Katerina Michaelides
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 8, 2021, Page(s) 224, ISSN 1476-4687
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-021-01003-9

Lagged oceanic effects on the East African short rains

Auteurs: Erik W. Kolstad; Dave MacLeod
Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Numéro 1, 2022, ISSN 1432-0894
Éditeur: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06176-6

DRYP 1.0: a parsimonious hydrological model of DRYland Partitioning of the water balance

Auteurs: E. Andrés Quichimbo, Michael Bliss Singer, Katerina Michaelides, Daniel E. J. Hobley, Rafael Rosolem, Mark O. Cuthbert
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 14/11, 2021, Page(s) 6893-6917, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-6893-2021

Budyko-Based Long-Term Water and Energy Balance Closure in Global Watersheds From Earth Observations

Auteurs: Akash Koppa, Sarfaraz Alam, Diego G. Miralles, Mekonnen Gebremichael
Publié dans: Water Resources Research, Numéro 57, 2021, Page(s) e2020WR028658, ISSN 1944-7973
Éditeur: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020wr028658

Observation-based assessment of secondary water effects on seasonal vegetation decay across Africa

Auteurs: Çağlar Küçük, Sujan Koirala, Nuno Carvalhais, Diego G. Miralles, Markus Reichstein, Martin Jung
Publié dans: Frontiers in Big Data, 2022, ISSN 2624-909X
Éditeur: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fdata.2022.967477

Assessing key behavioural theories of drought risk adaptation: Evidence from rural Kenya

Auteurs: Teun Schrieks, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Toon Haer, Oliver V. Wasonga, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Publié dans: Risk Analysis, 2023, ISSN 1539-6924
Éditeur: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/risa.14266

Towards User-Centred Climate Services: the Role of Human-Computer Interaction

Auteurs: Rigby, J. M, Preist, C
Publié dans: CHI '23: Proceedings of the 2023 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems, 2023, ISBN 978-1-4503-9421-5
Éditeur: Association for Computing Machinery
DOI: 10.1145/3544548.3580663

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