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DOWN2EARTH: Translation of climate information into multilevel decision support for social adaptation, policy development, and resilience to water scarcity in the Horn of Africa Drylands

Deliverables

Publications

The uncertain role of rising atmospheric CO2 on global plant transpiration

Author(s): Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano; Diego G. Miralles; Nate McDowell; Tim Brodribb; Fernando Domínguez-Castro; Ruby Leung; Akash Koppa
Published in: Earth-Science Reviews, Issue 2, 2022, ISSN 1872-6828
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104055

Characterizing the Response of Vegetation Cover to Water Limitation in Africa Using Geostationary Satellites

Author(s): Çağlar Küçük; Sujan Koirala; Nuno Carvalhais; Diego G. Miralles; Markus Reichstein; Martin Jung
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 2, 2022, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002730

Drivers of Subseasonal Forecast Errors of the East African Short Rains

Author(s): E. W. Kolstad, D. MacLeod, T. D. Demissie
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 48/14, 2021, Page(s) e2021GL093292, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093292

A deep learning-based hybrid model of global terrestrial evaporation

Author(s): Akash Koppa, Dominik Rains, Petra Hulsman, Rafael Poyatos & Diego G. Miralles
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 13, 2022, Page(s) 1912, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29543-7

Integrating Behavioral Theories in Agent-Based Models for Agricultural Drought Risk Assessments

Author(s): Teun Schrieks, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Marthe Wens, Toon Haer and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Frontiers in Water, Issue 3, 2021, Page(s) 686329, ISSN 2624-9375
Publisher: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2021.686329

A Lagrangian Analysis of the Sources of Rainfall Over the Horn of Africa Drylands

Author(s): Akash Koppa; Jessica Keune; Dave A. MacLeod; Michael Singer; Raquel Nieto; Luis Gimeno; Katerina Michaelides; Rafael Rosolem; George Otieno; Abebe Tadege; Diego G. Miralles
Published in: JGR Atmospheres, Issue 2, 2023, ISSN 2169-8996
Publisher: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd038408

Seasonal prediction of Horn of Africa long rains using machine learning: The pitfalls of preselecting correlated predictors

Author(s): Victoria M. H. Deman; Akash Koppa; Willem Waegeman; David A. MacLeod; Michael Bliss Singer; Diego G. Miralles
Published in: FRONTIERS IN WATER, Issue 1, 2022, ISSN 2624-9375
Publisher: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2022.1053020

stoPET v1.0: A stochastic potential evapotranspiration generator for simulation of climate change impacts

Author(s): Asfaw, Dagmawi Teklu; Singer, Michael Bliss; Rosolem, Rafael; MacLeod, David; Cuthbert, Mark; Miguitama, Edisson Quichimbo; Gaona, Manuel F. Rios; Michaelides, Katerina
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 21, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-557-2023

Climate hazards are threatening vulnerable migrants in Indian megacities

Author(s): Vittal Hari, Suman Dharmasthala, Akash Koppa, Subhankar Karmakar, Rohini Kumar
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 11, 2021, Page(s) 636–638, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01105-7

The Contribution of Transpiration to Precipitation Over African Watersheds

Author(s): S. A. Te Wierik, J. Keune, D. G. Miralles, J. Gupta, Y. A. Artzy-Randrup, L. Gimeno, R. Nieto, L. H. Cammeraat
Published in: Water Resources Research, 2022, ISSN 1944-7973
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021wr031721

Sustained Water Storage in Horn of Africa Drylands Dominated by Seasonal Rainfall Extremes

Author(s): Markus Adloff; Michael Bliss Singer; David A. MacLeod; Katerina Michaelides; Nooshin Mehrnegar; Eleanor Hansford; Chris Funk; Daniel Mitchell
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 6, 2022, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl099299

Playing the long game: Anticipatory action based on seasonal forecasts

Author(s): David MacLeod, Dominic R. Kniveton, Martin C. Todd
Published in: Climate Risk Management, Issue 34, 2021, Page(s) 100375, ISSN 2212-0963
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100375

Propagation from meteorological to hydrological drought in the Horn of Africa using both standardized and threshold-based indices

Author(s): Rhoda A. Odongo; Hans De Moel; Anne F. Van Loon
Published in: EGU Sphere, Issue 1, 2022, ISSN 1680-7359
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1307

A unified framework to estimate the origins of atmospheric moisture and heat using Lagrangian models

Author(s): Keune, Jessica; Schumacher, Dominik L.; Miralles, Diego G.
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 1, 2022, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-1875-2022

A holistic framework to estimate the origins of atmospheric moisture and heat using a Lagrangian model

Author(s): Jessica Keune; Dominik L. Schumacher; Diego G. Miralles
Published in: eISSN: 1991-9603, Issue 3, 2022, Page(s) 1875–1898, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2021-180

Climate services for the Greater Horn of Africa: interviews exploring practitioner perspectives from Kenya and beyond

Author(s): Jacob M. Rigby; Michaelina Almaz Yohannis; Chris Preist; Michael Bliss Singer; Timothy M. Waema; Agnes N. Wausi; Katerina Michaelides
Published in: Climate and Development, Issue 13, 2022, ISSN 1756-5529
Publisher: Taylor and Francis Inc.
DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2022.2074350

STORM v.2: A simple, stochastic decision-support tool for exploring the impacts of climate and climate change at, and near the land surface in gauged watersheds

Author(s): Manuel Felipe Rios Gaona; Katerina Michaelides; Michael Bliss Singer
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 1, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2023-98

Incorporating Plant Access to Groundwater in Existing Global, Satellite-Based Evaporation Estimates

Author(s): P. Hulsman, J. Keune, A. Koppa, J. Schellekens, D. G. Miralles
Published in: Water Resources Research, 2023, ISSN 1944-7973
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022wr033731

A coupled agent-based model to analyse human-drought feedbacks for agropastoralists in dryland regions

Author(s): Ileen N. Streefkerk; Jens de Bruijn; Toon Haer; Anne F. Van Loon; Edisson A. Quichimbo; Marthe Wens; Khalid Hassaballah; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Frontiers in Water, Issue 2, 2023, ISSN 2624-9375
Publisher: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2022.1037971

Impact-based seasonal rainfall forecasting to trigger early action for droughts

Author(s): Tim Busker, Hans de Moel, Bart van den Hurk, Jeroen Aerts
Published in: Science of the Total Environment, 2023, ISSN 1879-1026
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165506

Translating seasonal climate forecasts into water balance forecasts for decision making

Author(s): David MacLeod; Edisson A. Quichimbo; Katerina Michaelides; Dagmawi Teklu Asfaw; Rafael Rosolem; Mark O. Cuthbert; Erick Otenyo; Zewdu Segele; Jacob M. Rigby; George Otieno; Khalid Hassaballah; Abebe Tadege; Michael Bliss Singer
Published in: PLOS Climate, Issue 20, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
Publisher: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000138

Hourly potential evapotranspiration at 0.1° resolution for the global land surface from 1981-present

Author(s): Michael Bliss Singer, Dagmawi Teklu Asfaw, Rafael Rosolem, Mark O. Cuthbert, Diego G. Miralles, David MacLeod, Edisson Andres Quichimbo & Katerina Michaelides
Published in: Nature, Issue 8, 2021, Page(s) 224, ISSN 1476-4687
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-021-01003-9

Lagged oceanic effects on the East African short rains

Author(s): Erik W. Kolstad; Dave MacLeod
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 1, 2022, ISSN 1432-0894
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06176-6

DRYP 1.0: a parsimonious hydrological model of DRYland Partitioning of the water balance

Author(s): E. Andrés Quichimbo, Michael Bliss Singer, Katerina Michaelides, Daniel E. J. Hobley, Rafael Rosolem, Mark O. Cuthbert
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 14/11, 2021, Page(s) 6893-6917, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-6893-2021

Budyko-Based Long-Term Water and Energy Balance Closure in Global Watersheds From Earth Observations

Author(s): Akash Koppa, Sarfaraz Alam, Diego G. Miralles, Mekonnen Gebremichael
Published in: Water Resources Research, Issue 57, 2021, Page(s) e2020WR028658, ISSN 1944-7973
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020wr028658

Observation-based assessment of secondary water effects on seasonal vegetation decay across Africa

Author(s): Çağlar Küçük, Sujan Koirala, Nuno Carvalhais, Diego G. Miralles, Markus Reichstein, Martin Jung
Published in: Frontiers in Big Data, 2022, ISSN 2624-909X
Publisher: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fdata.2022.967477

Assessing key behavioural theories of drought risk adaptation: Evidence from rural Kenya

Author(s): Teun Schrieks, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Toon Haer, Oliver V. Wasonga, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Risk Analysis, 2023, ISSN 1539-6924
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/risa.14266

Towards User-Centred Climate Services: the Role of Human-Computer Interaction

Author(s): Rigby, J. M, Preist, C
Published in: CHI '23: Proceedings of the 2023 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems, 2023, ISBN 978-1-4503-9421-5
Publisher: Association for Computing Machinery
DOI: 10.1145/3544548.3580663

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