Co-production of Climate Services for East Africa

Informations projet

CONFER

N° de convention de subvention: 869730

DOI

10.3030/869730

Projet clôturé

Date de signature de la CE 16 Avril 2020

Date de début 1 Septembre 2020

Date de fin 30 Septembre 2024

Financé au titre de

• SOCIETAL CHALLENGES - Climate action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials

Coût total

€ 6 999 177,50

Contribution de l’UE

€ 6 999 177,50

Coordonné par

NORCE RESEARCH AS
Norway

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Documents, reports (26)

Crop modeling prototype

Proof of concept prototype (manuscript) for the application of crop modelling advances to seasonal forecasting in East Africa

Report on the landscape of climate products and services in the region
Manuscript on machine learning

Provision of a proof of concept prototype submission of manuscript for using an expanded feature set and machine learning approaches to postprocess seasonal forecasts

Report on the potential usability of the climate services

Report on the potential usability of the climate services in other organisations in Task 1.4

Minutes from first annual meeting

Minutes from first annual meeting including SAC meeting

Minutes from CONFER end conference

Summary and recording of the conference and policy workshop co-organised with the sister projects FOCUS-Africa and DOWN2EARTH

Perspective paper

A perspective paper with recommendations for climate services in Africa, based on experiences from CONFER. To be co-written by the steering committee.

Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results (PEDR)

Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results PEDR

Second version of the PEDR

Second version of the Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results PEDR

Report on the MOOC for radio journalists

Report on the MOOC for radio journalists in Task 49

Manuscript on improvements in downscaled seasonal forecast skill
Manuscript on methods for ensemble downscaling techniques

Manuscript on methods for ensemble downscaling techniques and combining dynamical and statistical forecasts

Capacity Building and Training Plan

Capacity Building and Training Plan developed in Task 41

Report on enhanced WRF-Hydro

Report on enhanced WRFHydro model version adapted to the East African hydroclimatology

First policy brief
Report on the climate services

Report on the climate services developed and the steps taken in their co-development (month 42). This deliverable is linked to Task 1.3. and ICPAC is responsible.

Interim report on training

Interim report on the impact of the training in Tasks 43 44 47 and 410

Third version of the PEDR

Third version of the Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results (PEDR)

Manuscript on improving EMOS models

Provision of a proof of concept prototype submission of manuscript for the application of an expanded feature set to improve on simple EMOS models

Manuscript on capacity building

Manuscript on impact of the training, lessons learnt and any remaining capability and capacity gaps.

Minutes from third annual meeting

Minutes from third annual meeting, including SAC meeting.

Second policy brief
Minutes from kick-off meeting

Minutes from kickoff meeting

Report on enhancing products and feedback channels in the region
Minutes from second annual meeting

Minutes from second annual meeting including SAC meeting

WRF Hydro prototype

Proof of concept prototype (manuscript) for the application of WRF-Hydro to seasonal forecasting in East Africa, in both offline and online modes

Other (3)

Establishment of committees

Establishment of Scientific Advisory Committee and Scientific Steering Committee

Software suite of forecast evaluation tools
Software for C3S forecasts

Software and teaching materials for acquiring, post-processing and visualizing C3S forecasts.

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (1)

Visual identity and web sites

Open Research Data Pilot (3)

Data Management Plan
Second version of Data Management Plan
Third version of the Data Management Plan

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (14)

Fidelity of CMIP6 Models in Simulating June–September Rainfall Climatology, Spatial and Trend Patterns Over Complex Topography of Greater Horn of Africa

Auteurs: Jima, W.L., Bahaga, T.K. & Tsidu, G.M.
Publié dans: Pure and Applied Geophysics, 2024, ISSN 1420-9136
Éditeur: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-023-03414-8

Subselection of seasonal ensemble precipitation predictions for East Africa

Auteurs: Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Silje Lund Sørland, Masilin Gudoshava, Eunice Koech, Titike K. Bahaga, Stefan Pieter Sobolowski
Publié dans: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numéro Volume 149, Numéro 755, 2023, Page(s) 2634-2653, ISSN 1477-870X
Éditeur: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4525

Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa

Auteurs: Benjamin Lamptey, Salah SAHABI ABED, Masilin Gudoshava, Joseph Mutemi, Mary-Jane Bopape, Elijah Adesanya Adefisan, Moudi Pascal Igri, Ibrah Seidou Sanda, Ousmane Ndiaye, Douglas J. Parker, Andrew J. Dougill, Andreas H. Fink, Peter Knippertz, Steve Woolnough, Erik W. Kolstad
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46742-6

Sensitivity of Rainfall Extremes to Unprecedented Indian Ocean Dipole Events

Auteurs: David MacLeod, Erik W. Kolstad, Katerina Michaelides, Michael Bliss Singer
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Numéro 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105258

Lagged oceanic effects on the East African short rains

Auteurs: Erik W. Kolstad, and David MacLeod
Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, 2022, ISSN 0930-7575
Éditeur: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06176-6

Spatiotemporal variability of soil moisture over Ethiopia and its teleconnections with remote and local drivers

Auteurs: Tamirat B. Jimma, Teferi Demissie, Gulilat T. Diro, Kassahun Ture, Tadesse Terefe & Dawit Solomon
Publié dans: Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Numéro 301, 2023, ISSN 0177-798X
Éditeur: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-022-04335-7

Regional water cycle sensitivity to afforestation: synthetic numerical experiments for tropical Africa

Auteurs: Joël Arnault, Anthony Musili Mwanthi, Tanja Portele, Lu Li, Thomas Rummler, Benjamin Fersch, Mohammed Abdullahi Hassan, Titike Kassa Bahaga, Zhenyu Zhang, Eric Mensah Mortey, Ifeany Chukwudi Achugbu8,9, Hassane Moutahir, Souleymane Sy, Jianhui Wei,Patrick Laux, Stefan Sobolowski and Harald Kunstmann
Publié dans: Frontiers in Climate, Numéro Volume 5, 2023, ISSN 2624-9553
Éditeur: Frontiers Media SA, [2019]-
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1233536

Enhanced hydrological modelling with the WRF-Hydro lake/reservoir module at Convection-Permitting scale: a case study of the Tana River basin in East Africa

Auteurs: Ling Zhang, Lu Li, Zhongshi Zhang, Joël Arnault, Stefan Sobolowski, Anthony Musili Mwanthi, Pratik Kad, Mohammed Abdullahi Hassan, Tanja Portele, Harald Kunstmann
Publié dans: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2024, ISSN 1027-5606
Éditeur: European Geophysical Society
DOI: 10.5194/hess-2024-278

The 2019–21 drought in southern Madagascar

Auteurs: Rondrotiana Barimalala, Caroline Wainwright, Erik W. Kolstad, Teferi D. Demissie
Publié dans: Weather and Climate Extremes, Numéro 46, 2024, Page(s) 100723, ISSN 2212-0947
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100723

Co-ordinating agricultural adaptation: Seasonal forecasts and their influence on rural agricultural rhythms in Ethiopia

Auteurs: Mathias Venning, Bizuneh Bushaka
Publié dans: Time & Society, 2025, ISSN 0961-463X
Éditeur: SAGE Publications
DOI: 10.1177/0961463x241260554

Probabilistic rainy season onset prediction over the greater horn of africa based on long-range multi-model ensemble forecasts.

Auteurs: Michael Scheuerer, Titike K. Bahaga, Zewdu T. Segele & Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir
Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, 2024, ISSN 1432-0894
Éditeur: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-07085-y

Beyond the regional average: Drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains

Auteurs: Erik W. Kolstad, Douglas J. Parker, David A. MacLeod, Caroline M. Wainwright, Linda C. Hirons
Publié dans: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024, ISSN 0035-9009
Éditeur: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4829

Advances, gaps and way forward in provision of climate services over the Greater Horn of Africa

Auteurs: Masilin Gudoshava, George Otieno, Eunice Koech, Herbert Misiani, Jemimah Gacheru Ongoma, Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Calistus Wachana, Hussen Seid Endris, Anthony Mwanthi, Mary Kilavi, Emmah Mwangi, Andrew Colman, Douglas Parker, Joseph Nzau Mutemi, Paula Machio, Paulino Omoj Omay, Paul Ombai, Doreen Anande, Alfred Kondowe, Isaac Mugume, Prosper Ayabagabo, Houda Youssouf Houssein, Mahado Salah Wa
Publié dans: Frontiers in Climate, Numéro 6, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Éditeur: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1307535

Drivers of Subseasonal Forecast Errors of the East African Short Rains

Auteurs: E. W. Kolstad, D. MacLeod, T. D. Demissie
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Numéro 48/14, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093292