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Co-production of Climate Services for East Africa

Deliverables

Report on the landscape of climate products and services in the region
Manuscript on machine learning

Provision of a proof of concept prototype submission of manuscript for using an expanded feature set and machine learning approaches to postprocess seasonal forecasts

Minutes from first annual meeting

Minutes from first annual meeting including SAC meeting

Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results (PEDR)

Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results PEDR

Second version of the PEDR

Second version of the Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results PEDR

Report on the MOOC for radio journalists

Report on the MOOC for radio journalists in Task 49

Manuscript on improvements in downscaled seasonal forecast skill
Manuscript on methods for ensemble downscaling techniques

Manuscript on methods for ensemble downscaling techniques and combining dynamical and statistical forecasts

Capacity Building and Training Plan

Capacity Building and Training Plan developed in Task 41

Report on enhanced WRF-Hydro

Report on enhanced WRFHydro model version adapted to the East African hydroclimatology

First policy brief
Interim report on training

Interim report on the impact of the training in Tasks 43 44 47 and 410

Manuscript on improving EMOS models

Provision of a proof of concept prototype submission of manuscript for the application of an expanded feature set to improve on simple EMOS models

Minutes from kick-off meeting

Minutes from kickoff meeting

Minutes from second annual meeting

Minutes from second annual meeting including SAC meeting

Establishment of committees

Establishment of Scientific Advisory Committee and Scientific Steering Committee

Software suite of forecast evaluation tools

Publications

Fidelity of CMIP6 Models in Simulating June–September Rainfall Climatology, Spatial and Trend Patterns Over Complex Topography of Greater Horn of Africa

Author(s): Jima, W.L., Bahaga, T.K. & Tsidu, G.M.
Published in: Pure and Applied Geophysics, 2024, ISSN 1420-9136
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-023-03414-8

Subselection of seasonal ensemble precipitation predictions for East Africa

Author(s): Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Silje Lund Sørland, Masilin Gudoshava, Eunice Koech, Titike K. Bahaga, Stefan Pieter Sobolowski
Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Issue Volume 149, Issue 755, 2023, Page(s) 2634-2653, ISSN 1477-870X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4525

Lagged oceanic effects on the East African short rains

Author(s): Erik W. Kolstad, and David MacLeod
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2022, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06176-6

Spatiotemporal variability of soil moisture over Ethiopia and its teleconnections with remote and local drivers

Author(s): Tamirat B. Jimma, Teferi Demissie, Gulilat T. Diro, Kassahun Ture, Tadesse Terefe & Dawit Solomon
Published in: Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Issue 301, 2023, ISSN 0177-798X
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-022-04335-7

Regional water cycle sensitivity to afforestation: synthetic numerical experiments for tropical Africa

Author(s): Joël Arnault, Anthony Musili Mwanthi, Tanja Portele, Lu Li, Thomas Rummler, Benjamin Fersch, Mohammed Abdullahi Hassan, Titike Kassa Bahaga, Zhenyu Zhang, Eric Mensah Mortey, Ifeany Chukwudi Achugbu8,9, Hassane Moutahir, Souleymane Sy, Jianhui Wei,Patrick Laux, Stefan Sobolowski and Harald Kunstmann
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, Issue Volume 5, 2023, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA, [2019]-
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1233536

Probabilistic rainy season onset prediction over the greater horn of africa based on long-range multi-model ensemble forecasts.

Author(s): Michael Scheuerer, Titike K. Bahaga, Zewdu T. Segele & Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2024, ISSN 1432-0894
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-07085-y

Drivers of Subseasonal Forecast Errors of the East African Short Rains

Author(s): E. W. Kolstad, D. MacLeod, T. D. Demissie
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 48/14, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093292

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