Quantify disturbance impacts on feedbacks between Arctic permafrost and global climate

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Deliverables

ORDP: Data Management Plan

The Data Management Plan will a details the way for how data produced in the project should be stored and made available for joint analysis along with a description of how to access data including project data storage at the DKRZ cloud b provides documentation describing the data standard to ensure smooth data transfer between PI groups and c provides a description of standard postprocessing tools and relevant software on the data servers

Publications

Thawing permafrost is subsiding in the Northern Hemisphere—review and perspectives

Author(s): Dmitry A Streletskiy, Alexey Maslakov, Guido Grosse, Nikolay I Shiklomanov, Louise Farquharson, Simon Zwieback, Go Iwahana, Annett Bartsch, Lin Liu, Tazio Strozzi, Hanna Lee, Matvey V Debolskiy
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 20, 2025, Page(s) 013006, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ada2ff

Rising nitrogen deposition leads to only a minor increase in CO2 uptake in Earth system models

Author(s): Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Vivek K. Arora, Chris D. Jones, Victor Brovkin, Tomohiro Hajima, Michio Kawamiya, Spencer K. Liddicoat, Alexander J. Winkler, Sönke Zaehle
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01943-1

Advances in Permafrost Representation: Biophysical Processes in Earth System Models and the Role of Offline Models

Author(s): Heidrun Matthes, Adrien Damseaux, Sebastian Westermann, Christian Beer, Aaron Boone, Eleanor Burke, Bertrand Decharme, Hélène Genet, Elchin Jafarov, Moritz Langer, Frans‐Jan Parmentier, Philipp Porada, Anna Gagne‐Landmann, Deborah Huntzinger, Brendan M. Rogers, Christina Schädel, Tobias Stacke, Jon Wells, William R. Wieder
Published in: Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, Issue 36, 2025, Page(s) 302-318, ISSN 1045-6740
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/ppp.2269

ARGO: ARctic greenhouse Gas Observation metadata version 1

Author(s): Judith Vogt, Martijn M. T. A. Pallandt, Luana S. Basso, Abdullah Bolek, Kseniia Ivanova, Mark Schlutow, Gerardo Celis, McKenzie Kuhn, Marguerite Mauritz, Edward A. G. Schuur, Kyle Arndt, Anna-Maria Virkkala, Isabel Wargowsky, Mathias Göckede
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 17, 2025, Page(s) 2553-2573, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/essd-17-2553-2025

Permafrost Cloud Feedback May Amplify Climate Change

Author(s): Philipp de Vrese, Tobias Stacke, Veronika Gayler, Victor Brovkin
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 51 (12), 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024gl109034

Decadal increases in carbon uptake offset by respiratory losses across northern permafrost ecosystems

Author(s): Craig R. See, Anna-Maria Virkkala, Susan M. Natali, Brendan M. Rogers, Marguerite Mauritz, Christina Biasi, Stef Bokhorst, Julia Boike, M. Syndonia Bret-Harte, Gerardo Celis, Namyi Chae, Torben R. Christensen, Sara June Murner, Sigrid Dengel, Han Dolman, Colin W. Edgar, Bo Elberling, Craig A. Emmerton, Eugénie S. Euskirchen, Mathias Göckede, Achim Grelle, Liam Heffernan, Manuel Helbig, David Hol
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 14, 2024, Page(s) 853-862, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02057-4

Sensitivity of Arctic CH4 emissions to landscape wetness diminished by atmospheric feedbacks

Author(s): Philipp de Vrese; Lutz Beckebanze; Leonardo de Aro Galera; David Holl; Thomas Kleinen; Lars Kutzbach; Zoé Rehder; Victor Brovkin
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 13(8), 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01715-3

Russian collaboration loss risks permafrost carbon emissions network

Author(s): Edward A. G. Schuur, Martijn Pallandt, Mathias Göckede
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 14, 2024, Page(s) 410-411, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02001-6

Evaluation of Native Earth System Model Output with ESMValTool v2.6.0

Author(s): Manuel Schlund, Birgit Hassler, Axel Lauer, Bouwe Andela, Patrick Jöckel, Rémi Kazeroni, Saskia Loosveldt Tomas, Brian Medeiros, Valeriu Predoi, Stéphane Sénési, Jérôme Servonnat, Tobias Stacke, Javier Vegas-Regidor, Klaus Zimmermann, Veronika Eyring
Published in: Geophysical model Development, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publisher
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2022-205

Permafrost Monitoring from Space

Author(s): Annett Bartsch, Tazio Strozzi, Ingmar Nitze
Published in: Surveys in Geophysics, 2023, ISSN 1573-0956
Publisher: Springer nature
DOI: 10.1007/s10712-023-09770-3

Simulated methane emissions from Arctic ponds are highly sensitive to warming

Author(s): Zoé Rehder, Thomas Kleinen, Lars Kutzbach, Victor Stepanenko, Moritz Langer, Victor Brovkin
Published in: Biogeosciences, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-2022-240

Circumarctic land cover diversity considering wetness gradients

Author(s): Annett Bartsch, Aleksandra Efimova, Barbara Widhalm, Xaver Muri, Clemens von Baeckmann, Helena Bergstedt, Ksenia Ermokhina, Gustaf Hugelius, Birgit Heim, Marina Leibman
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 28, 2024, Page(s) 2421-2481, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-2421-2024

Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6

Author(s): Amali A. Amali, Clemens Schwingshackl, Akihiko Ito, Alina Barbu, Christine Delire, Daniele Peano, David M. Lawrence, David Wårlind, Eddy Robertson, Edouard L. Davin, Elena Shevliakova, Ian N. Harman, Nicolas Vuichard, Paul A. Miller, Peter J. Lawrence, Tilo Ziehn, Tomohiro Hajima, Victor Brovkin, Yanwu Zhang, Vivek K. Arora, Julia Pongratz
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 16, 2025, Page(s) 803-840, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-16-803-2025

Representation of soil hydrology in permafrost regions may explain large part of inter-model spread in simulated Arctic and subarctic climate

Author(s): Philipp de Vrese, Goran Georgievski, Jesus Fidel Gonzalez Rouco, Dirk Notz, Tobias Stacke, Norman Julius Steinert, Stiig Wilkenskjeld, and Victor Brovkin
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2023, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-2095-2023

X-BASE: the first terrestrial carbon and water flux products from an extended data-driven scaling framework, FLUXCOM-X

Author(s): Jacob A. Nelson, Sophia Walther, Fabian Gans, Basil Kraft, Ulrich Weber, Kimberly Novick, Nina Buchmann, Mirco Migliavacca, Georg Wohlfahrt, Ladislav Šigut, Andreas Ibrom, Dario Papale, Mathias Göckede, Gregory Duveiller, Alexander Knohl, Lukas Hörtnagl, Russell L. Scott, Weijie Zhang, Zayd Mahmoud Hamdi, Markus Reichstein, Sergio Aranda-Barranco, Jonas Ardö, Maarten Op de Beeck, Dave Billesba
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 21, 2024, Page(s) 5079-5115, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-21-5079-2024

Land cover succession for recently drained lakes in permafrost on the Yamal Peninsula, Western Siberia

Author(s): Clemens von Baeckmann, Annett Bartsch, Helena Bergstedt, Aleksandra Efimova, Barbara Widhalm, Dorothee Ehrich, Timo Kumpula, Alexander Sokolov, Svetlana Abdulmanova
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 18, 2024, Page(s) 4703-4722, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-4703-2024

Practical guidelines for reproducible N2O flux chamber measurements in nutrient-poor ecosystems

Author(s): Nathalie Ylenia Triches, Jan Engel, Abdullah Bolek, Timo Vesala, Maija E. Marushchak, Anna-Maria Virkkala, Martin Heimann, Mathias Göckede
Published in: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Issue 18, 2025, Page(s) 3407-3424, ISSN 1867-8548
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/amt-18-3407-2025

Large Eddy Simulations of the Interaction Between the Atmospheric Boundary Layer and Degrading Arctic Permafrost

Author(s): M. Schlutow, T. Stacke, T. Doerffel, P. K. Smolarkiewicz, M. Göckede
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 129, 2024, Page(s) e2024JD040794, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2024jd040794

Permafrost and Freshwater Systems in the Arctic as Tipping Elements of the Climate System

Author(s): Victor Brovkin, Annett Bartsch, Gustaf Hugelius, Elisa Calamita, J. Jelle Lever, Eunhan Goo, Hyungjun Kim, Tobias Stacke, Philipp de Vrese
Published in: Surveys in Geophysics, Issue 46, 2025, Page(s) 303-326, ISSN 0169-3298
Publisher: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10712-025-09885-9

Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales

Author(s): Timothy M. Lenton, Jesse F. Abrams, Annett Bartsch, Sebastian Bathiany, Chris A. Boulton, Joshua E. Buxton, Alessandra Conversi, Andrew M. Cunliffe, Sophie Hebden, Thomas Lavergne, Benjamin Poulter, Andrew Shepherd, Taylor Smith, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Niklas Boers
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-44609-w

Wildfires offset the increasing but spatially heterogeneous Arctic–boreal CO2 uptake

Author(s): Anna-Maria Virkkala, Brendan M. Rogers, Jennifer D. Watts, Kyle A. Arndt, Stefano Potter, Isabel Wargowsky, Edward A. G. Schuur, Craig R. See, Marguerite Mauritz, Julia Boike, M. Syndonia Bret-Harte, Eleanor J. Burke, Arden Burrell, Namyi Chae, Abhishek Chatterjee, Frederic Chevallier, Torben R. Christensen, Roisin Commane, Han Dolman, Colin W. Edgar, Bo Elberling, Craig A. Emmerton, Eugenie S. Eu
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02234-5

Impact of Long‐Term Drainage on Carbon Fluxes in the High‐Latitude Permafrost Region

Author(s): Abdullah Bolek, Mark Schlutow, Theresia Yazbeck, Nathalie Triches, Martin Heimann, Mathias Göckede
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 31, 2025, Page(s) e70346, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70346

InSAR-derived seasonal subsidence reflects spatial soil moisture patterns in Arctic lowland permafrost regions

Author(s): Barbara Widhalm, Annett Bartsch, Tazio Strozzi, Nina Jones, Artem Khomutov, Elena Babkina, Marina Leibman, Rustam Khairullin, Mathias Göckede, Helena Bergstedt, Clemens von Baeckmann, Xaver Muri
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 19, 2025, Page(s) 1103-1133, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-19-1103-2025

WetCH4: a machine-learning-based upscaling of methane fluxes of northern wetlands during 2016–2022

Author(s): Qing Ying, Benjamin Poulter, Jennifer D. Watts, Kyle A. Arndt, Anna-Maria Virkkala, Lori Bruhwiler, Youmi Oh, Brendan M. Rogers, Susan M. Natali, Hilary Sullivan, Amanda Armstrong, Eric J. Ward, Luke D. Schiferl, Clayton D. Elder, Olli Peltola, Annett Bartsch, Ankur R. Desai, Eugénie Euskirchen, Mathias Göckede, Bernhard Lehner, Mats B. Nilsson, Matthias Peichl, Oliver Sonnentag, Eeva-Stiina Tui
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 17, 2025, Page(s) 2507-2534, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/essd-17-2507-2025

Advancing the Arctic Methane Permafrost Challenge (AMPAC) With Future Satellite Missions

Author(s): Annett Bartsch, Bradley A. Gay, Dirk Schüttemeyer, Edward Malina, Kimberley Miner, Guido Grosse, Andreas Fix, Johanna Tamminen, Hartmut Bösch, Robert J. Parker, Kimmo Rautiainen, Josh Hashemi, Charles E. Miller
Published in: IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, Issue 18, 2025, Page(s) 6279-6298, ISSN 1939-1404
Publisher: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
DOI: 10.1109/jstars.2025.3538897

A Review of Abrupt Permafrost Thaw: Definitions, Usage, and a Proposed Conceptual Framework

Author(s): Hailey Webb, Matthias Fuchs, Benjamin W. Abbott, Thomas A. Douglas, Clayton D. Elder, Jessica Gilman Ernakovich, Eugenie S. Euskirchen, Mathias Göckede, Guido Grosse, Gustaf Hugelius, Miriam C. Jones, Charles Koven, Heather Kropp, Emma Lathrop, WenWen Li, Michael M. Loranty, Susan M. Natali, David Olefeldt, Christina Schädel, Edward A. G. Schuur, Oliver Sonnentag, Jens Strauss, Anna-Maria Virkka
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, Issue 11, 2025, Page(s) 7, ISSN 2198-6061
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-025-00204-3

Rapid Saline Permafrost Thaw Below a Shallow Thermokarst Lake in Arctic Alaska

Author(s): Benjamin M. Jones, Mikhail Z. Kanevskiy, Andrew D. Parsekian, Helena Bergstedt, Melissa K. Ward Jones, Rodrigo C. Rangel, Kenneth M. Hinkel, Yuri Shur
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 50, 2023, Page(s) e2023GL105552, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105552

Effects of land surface model resolution on fluxes and soil state in the Arctic

Author(s): Meike Schickhoff, Philipp de Vrese, Annett Bartsch, Barbara Widhalm, Victor Brovkin
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 19, 2024, Page(s) 104032, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad6019

The land–ocean Arctic carbon cycle

Author(s): Jorien E. Vonk, Michael Fritz, Niek J. Speetjens, Marcel Babin, Annett Bartsch, Luana S. Basso, Lisa Bröder, Mathias Göckede, Örjan Gustafsson, Gustaf Hugelius, Anna M. Irrgang, Bennet Juhls, McKenzie A. Kuhn, Hugues Lantuit, Manfredi Manizza, Jannik Martens, Matt O’Regan, Anya Suslova, Suzanne E. Tank, Jens Terhaar, Scott Zolkos
Published in: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Issue 6, 2025, Page(s) 86-105, ISSN 2662-138X
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-024-00627-w

UAV-based in situ measurements of CO2 and CH4 fluxes over complex natural ecosystems

Author(s): Abdullah Bolek, Martin Heimann, Mathias Göckede
Published in: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Issue 17, 2024, Page(s) 5619-5636, ISSN 1867-8548
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/amt-17-5619-2024

Atmospheric CO2 and CH4 Fluctuations over the Continent-Sea Interface in the Yenisei River Sector of the Kara Sea

Author(s): Alexey Panov, Anatoly Prokushkin, Igor Semiletov, Karl Kübler, Mikhail Korets, Ilya Putilin, Anastasiya Urban, Mikhail Bondar, Martin Heimann
Published in: Atmosphere, Issue 13, 2024, Page(s) 1402, ISSN 2073-4433
Publisher: Rotoweb Cantelli
DOI: 10.3390/atmos13091402

Monitoring the Multiple Stages of Climate Tipping Systems from Space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables Meet the Needs?

Author(s): S. Loriani, A. Bartsch, E. Calamita, J. F. Donges, S. Hebden, M. Hirota, A. Landolfi, T. Nagler, B. Sakschewski, A. Staal, J. Verbesselt, R. Winkelmann, R. Wood, N. Wunderling
Published in: Surveys in Geophysics, Issue 46, 2025, Page(s) 327-374, ISSN 0169-3298
Publisher: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10712-024-09866-4

Permafrost Carbon: Progress on Understanding Stocks and Fluxes Across Northern Terrestrial Ecosystems

Author(s): Claire C. Treat, Anna‐Maria Virkkala, Eleanor Burke, Lori Bruhwiler, Abhishek Chatterjee, Joshua B. Fisher, Josh Hashemi, Frans‐Jan W. Parmentier, Brendan M. Rogers, Sebastian Westermann, Jennifer D. Watts, Elena Blanc‐Betes, Matthias Fuchs, Stefan Kruse, Avni Malhotra, Kimberley Miner, Jens Strauss, Amanda Armstrong, Howard E. Epstein, Bradley Gay, Mathias Goeckede, Aram Kalhori, Dan Kou, C
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Issue 129, 2024, Page(s) e2023JG007638, ISSN 2169-8953
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
DOI: 10.1029/2023jg007638

Consistency of global carbon budget between concentration- and emission-driven historical experiments simulated by CMIP6 Earth system models and suggestions for improved simulation of CO2 concentration

Author(s): Tomohiro Hajima, Michio Kawamiya, Akihiko Ito, Kaoru Tachiiri, Chris D. Jones, Vivek Arora, Victor Brovkin, Roland Séférian, Spencer Liddicoat, Pierre Friedlingstein, Elena Shevliakova
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 22, 2025, Page(s) 1447-1473, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-22-1447-2025

Small-scale hydrological patterns in a Siberian permafrost ecosystem affected by drainage

Author(s): Sandra Raab, Karel Castro-Morales, Anke Hildebrandt, Martin Heimann, Jorien Elisabeth Vonk, Nikita Zimov, Mathias Goeckede
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 21 (10), 2024, Page(s) 2571-2597, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-2023-156

Mismatch of N release from the permafrost and vegetative uptake opens pathways of increasing nitrous oxide emissions in the high Arctic

Author(s): Fabrice Lacroix; Sönke Zaehle; Silvia Caldararu; Jörg Schaller; Peter Stimmler; David Holl; Lars Kutzbach; Mathias Göckede
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 5, 2022, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16345

AERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization

Author(s): Yona Silvy, Thomas L. Frölicher, Jens Terhaar, Fortunat Joos, Friedrich A. Burger, Fabrice Lacroix, Myles Allen, Raffaele Bernardello, Laurent Bopp, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan R. Buzan, Patricia Cadule, Martin Dix, John Dunne, Pierre Friedlingstein, Goran Georgievski, Tomohiro Hajima, Stuart Jenkins, Michio Kawamiya, Nancy Y. Kiang, Vladimir Lapin, Donghyun Lee, Paul Lerner, Nadine Mengis, Estela A
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 15, 2024, Page(s) 1591-1628, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-1591-2024

High-Latitude Eddy Covariance Temporal Network Design and Optimization

Author(s): Pallandt, Martijn M. T. A. Jung, Martin Arndt, Kyle Natali, Susan M. Rogers, Brendan M. Virkkala, Anna-Maria Göckede, Mathias
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, Issue 129 (10), 2024, Page(s) e2024JG008406, ISSN 2169-8953
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2024jg008406

Landcover succession for recently drained lakes in permafrost on the Yamal peninsula, Western Siberia

Author(s): Clemens von Baeckmann, Annett Bartsch, Helena Bergstedt, Aleksandra Efimova, Barbara Widhalm, Dorothee Ehrich, Timo Kumpula, Alexander Sokolov, Svetlana Abdulmanova
Published in: EGUSphere [preprint], 2024
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-699

Circumarctic landcover diversity considering wetness gradients

Author(s): Annett Bartsch, Aleksandra Efimova, Barbara Widhalm, Xaver Muri, Clemens von Baeckmann, Helena Bergstedt, Ksenia Ermokhina, Gustaf Hugelius, Birgit Heim, Marina Leibmann
Published in: EGUsphere [preprint], 2024
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2295

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