Quantify disturbance impacts on feedbacks between Arctic permafrost and global climate

Información del proyecto

Q-ARCTIC

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 951288

DOI

10.3030/951288

Fecha de la firma de la CE 3 Marzo 2021

Fecha de inicio 1 Octubre 2021

Fecha de finalización 30 Septiembre 2027

Financiado con arreglo a

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Coste total

€ 9 979 335,00

Aportación de la UE

€ 9 979 335,00

Coordinado por

MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FORDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN EV
Germany

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Resultado final

Open Research Data Pilot (1)

ORDP: Data Management Plan

The Data Management Plan will a details the way for how data produced in the project should be stored and made available for joint analysis along with a description of how to access data including project data storage at the DKRZ cloud b provides documentation describing the data standard to ensure smooth data transfer between PI groups and c provides a description of standard postprocessing tools and relevant software on the data servers

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (38)

Thawing permafrost is subsiding in the Northern Hemisphere—review and perspectives

Autores: Dmitry A Streletskiy, Alexey Maslakov, Guido Grosse, Nikolay I Shiklomanov, Louise Farquharson, Simon Zwieback, Go Iwahana, Annett Bartsch, Lin Liu, Tazio Strozzi, Hanna Lee, Matvey V Debolskiy
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 20, 2025, Página(s) 013006, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ada2ff

Rising nitrogen deposition leads to only a minor increase in CO2 uptake in Earth system models

Autores: Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Vivek K. Arora, Chris D. Jones, Victor Brovkin, Tomohiro Hajima, Michio Kawamiya, Spencer K. Liddicoat, Alexander J. Winkler, Sönke Zaehle
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01943-1

Advances in Permafrost Representation: Biophysical Processes in Earth System Models and the Role of Offline Models

Autores: Heidrun Matthes, Adrien Damseaux, Sebastian Westermann, Christian Beer, Aaron Boone, Eleanor Burke, Bertrand Decharme, Hélène Genet, Elchin Jafarov, Moritz Langer, Frans‐Jan Parmentier, Philipp Porada, Anna Gagne‐Landmann, Deborah Huntzinger, Brendan M. Rogers, Christina Schädel, Tobias Stacke, Jon Wells, William R. Wieder
Publicado en: Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, Edición 36, 2025, Página(s) 302-318, ISSN 1045-6740
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/ppp.2269

ARGO: ARctic greenhouse Gas Observation metadata version 1

Autores: Judith Vogt, Martijn M. T. A. Pallandt, Luana S. Basso, Abdullah Bolek, Kseniia Ivanova, Mark Schlutow, Gerardo Celis, McKenzie Kuhn, Marguerite Mauritz, Edward A. G. Schuur, Kyle Arndt, Anna-Maria Virkkala, Isabel Wargowsky, Mathias Göckede
Publicado en: Earth System Science Data, Edición 17, 2025, Página(s) 2553-2573, ISSN 1866-3516
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/essd-17-2553-2025

Permafrost Cloud Feedback May Amplify Climate Change

Autores: Philipp de Vrese, Tobias Stacke, Veronika Gayler, Victor Brovkin
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 51 (12), 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024gl109034

Decadal increases in carbon uptake offset by respiratory losses across northern permafrost ecosystems

Autores: Craig R. See, Anna-Maria Virkkala, Susan M. Natali, Brendan M. Rogers, Marguerite Mauritz, Christina Biasi, Stef Bokhorst, Julia Boike, M. Syndonia Bret-Harte, Gerardo Celis, Namyi Chae, Torben R. Christensen, Sara June Murner, Sigrid Dengel, Han Dolman, Colin W. Edgar, Bo Elberling, Craig A. Emmerton, Eugénie S. Euskirchen, Mathias Göckede, Achim Grelle, Liam Heffernan, Manuel Helbig, David Hol
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 14, 2024, Página(s) 853-862, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02057-4

Sensitivity of Arctic CH4 emissions to landscape wetness diminished by atmospheric feedbacks

Autores: Philipp de Vrese; Lutz Beckebanze; Leonardo de Aro Galera; David Holl; Thomas Kleinen; Lars Kutzbach; Zoé Rehder; Victor Brovkin
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 13(8), 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01715-3

Russian collaboration loss risks permafrost carbon emissions network

Autores: Edward A. G. Schuur, Martijn Pallandt, Mathias Göckede
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 14, 2024, Página(s) 410-411, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02001-6

Evaluation of Native Earth System Model Output with ESMValTool v2.6.0

Autores: Manuel Schlund, Birgit Hassler, Axel Lauer, Bouwe Andela, Patrick Jöckel, Rémi Kazeroni, Saskia Loosveldt Tomas, Brian Medeiros, Valeriu Predoi, Stéphane Sénési, Jérôme Servonnat, Tobias Stacke, Javier Vegas-Regidor, Klaus Zimmermann, Veronika Eyring
Publicado en: Geophysical model Development, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Publisher
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2022-205

Permafrost Monitoring from Space

Autores: Annett Bartsch, Tazio Strozzi, Ingmar Nitze
Publicado en: Surveys in Geophysics, 2023, ISSN 1573-0956
Editor: Springer nature
DOI: 10.1007/s10712-023-09770-3

Simulated methane emissions from Arctic ponds are highly sensitive to warming

Autores: Zoé Rehder, Thomas Kleinen, Lars Kutzbach, Victor Stepanenko, Moritz Langer, Victor Brovkin
Publicado en: Biogeosciences, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-2022-240

Circumarctic land cover diversity considering wetness gradients

Autores: Annett Bartsch, Aleksandra Efimova, Barbara Widhalm, Xaver Muri, Clemens von Baeckmann, Helena Bergstedt, Ksenia Ermokhina, Gustaf Hugelius, Birgit Heim, Marina Leibman
Publicado en: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Edición 28, 2024, Página(s) 2421-2481, ISSN 1607-7938
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-2421-2024

Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6

Autores: Amali A. Amali, Clemens Schwingshackl, Akihiko Ito, Alina Barbu, Christine Delire, Daniele Peano, David M. Lawrence, David Wårlind, Eddy Robertson, Edouard L. Davin, Elena Shevliakova, Ian N. Harman, Nicolas Vuichard, Paul A. Miller, Peter J. Lawrence, Tilo Ziehn, Tomohiro Hajima, Victor Brovkin, Yanwu Zhang, Vivek K. Arora, Julia Pongratz
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 16, 2025, Página(s) 803-840, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-16-803-2025

Representation of soil hydrology in permafrost regions may explain large part of inter-model spread in simulated Arctic and subarctic climate

Autores: Philipp de Vrese, Goran Georgievski, Jesus Fidel Gonzalez Rouco, Dirk Notz, Tobias Stacke, Norman Julius Steinert, Stiig Wilkenskjeld, and Victor Brovkin
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2023, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-2095-2023

X-BASE: the first terrestrial carbon and water flux products from an extended data-driven scaling framework, FLUXCOM-X

Autores: Jacob A. Nelson, Sophia Walther, Fabian Gans, Basil Kraft, Ulrich Weber, Kimberly Novick, Nina Buchmann, Mirco Migliavacca, Georg Wohlfahrt, Ladislav Šigut, Andreas Ibrom, Dario Papale, Mathias Göckede, Gregory Duveiller, Alexander Knohl, Lukas Hörtnagl, Russell L. Scott, Weijie Zhang, Zayd Mahmoud Hamdi, Markus Reichstein, Sergio Aranda-Barranco, Jonas Ardö, Maarten Op de Beeck, Dave Billesba
Publicado en: Biogeosciences, Edición 21, 2024, Página(s) 5079-5115, ISSN 1726-4189
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-21-5079-2024

Land cover succession for recently drained lakes in permafrost on the Yamal Peninsula, Western Siberia

Autores: Clemens von Baeckmann, Annett Bartsch, Helena Bergstedt, Aleksandra Efimova, Barbara Widhalm, Dorothee Ehrich, Timo Kumpula, Alexander Sokolov, Svetlana Abdulmanova
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 18, 2024, Página(s) 4703-4722, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-4703-2024

Practical guidelines for reproducible N₂O flux chamber measurements in nutrient-poor ecosystems

Autores: Nathalie Ylenia Triches, Jan Engel, Abdullah Bolek, Timo Vesala, Maija E. Marushchak, Anna-Maria Virkkala, Martin Heimann, Mathias Göckede
Publicado en: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Edición 18, 2025, Página(s) 3407-3424, ISSN 1867-8548
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/amt-18-3407-2025

Large Eddy Simulations of the Interaction Between the Atmospheric Boundary Layer and Degrading Arctic Permafrost

Autores: M. Schlutow, T. Stacke, T. Doerffel, P. K. Smolarkiewicz, M. Göckede
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Edición 129, 2024, Página(s) e2024JD040794, ISSN 2169-897X
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2024jd040794

Permafrost and Freshwater Systems in the Arctic as Tipping Elements of the Climate System

Autores: Victor Brovkin, Annett Bartsch, Gustaf Hugelius, Elisa Calamita, J. Jelle Lever, Eunhan Goo, Hyungjun Kim, Tobias Stacke, Philipp de Vrese
Publicado en: Surveys in Geophysics, Edición 46, 2025, Página(s) 303-326, ISSN 0169-3298
Editor: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10712-025-09885-9

Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales

Autores: Timothy M. Lenton, Jesse F. Abrams, Annett Bartsch, Sebastian Bathiany, Chris A. Boulton, Joshua E. Buxton, Alessandra Conversi, Andrew M. Cunliffe, Sophie Hebden, Thomas Lavergne, Benjamin Poulter, Andrew Shepherd, Taylor Smith, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Niklas Boers
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-44609-w

Wildfires offset the increasing but spatially heterogeneous Arctic–boreal CO2 uptake

Autores: Anna-Maria Virkkala, Brendan M. Rogers, Jennifer D. Watts, Kyle A. Arndt, Stefano Potter, Isabel Wargowsky, Edward A. G. Schuur, Craig R. See, Marguerite Mauritz, Julia Boike, M. Syndonia Bret-Harte, Eleanor J. Burke, Arden Burrell, Namyi Chae, Abhishek Chatterjee, Frederic Chevallier, Torben R. Christensen, Roisin Commane, Han Dolman, Colin W. Edgar, Bo Elberling, Craig A. Emmerton, Eugenie S. Eu
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02234-5

Impact of Long‐Term Drainage on Carbon Fluxes in the High‐Latitude Permafrost Region

Autores: Abdullah Bolek, Mark Schlutow, Theresia Yazbeck, Nathalie Triches, Martin Heimann, Mathias Göckede
Publicado en: Global Change Biology, Edición 31, 2025, Página(s) e70346, ISSN 1354-1013
Editor: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70346

InSAR-derived seasonal subsidence reflects spatial soil moisture patterns in Arctic lowland permafrost regions

Autores: Barbara Widhalm, Annett Bartsch, Tazio Strozzi, Nina Jones, Artem Khomutov, Elena Babkina, Marina Leibman, Rustam Khairullin, Mathias Göckede, Helena Bergstedt, Clemens von Baeckmann, Xaver Muri
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 19, 2025, Página(s) 1103-1133, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-19-1103-2025

WetCH₄: a machine-learning-based upscaling of methane fluxes of northern wetlands during 2016–2022

Autores: Qing Ying, Benjamin Poulter, Jennifer D. Watts, Kyle A. Arndt, Anna-Maria Virkkala, Lori Bruhwiler, Youmi Oh, Brendan M. Rogers, Susan M. Natali, Hilary Sullivan, Amanda Armstrong, Eric J. Ward, Luke D. Schiferl, Clayton D. Elder, Olli Peltola, Annett Bartsch, Ankur R. Desai, Eugénie Euskirchen, Mathias Göckede, Bernhard Lehner, Mats B. Nilsson, Matthias Peichl, Oliver Sonnentag, Eeva-Stiina Tui
Publicado en: Earth System Science Data, Edición 17, 2025, Página(s) 2507-2534, ISSN 1866-3516
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/essd-17-2507-2025

Advancing the Arctic Methane Permafrost Challenge (AMPAC) With Future Satellite Missions

Autores: Annett Bartsch, Bradley A. Gay, Dirk Schüttemeyer, Edward Malina, Kimberley Miner, Guido Grosse, Andreas Fix, Johanna Tamminen, Hartmut Bösch, Robert J. Parker, Kimmo Rautiainen, Josh Hashemi, Charles E. Miller
Publicado en: IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, Edición 18, 2025, Página(s) 6279-6298, ISSN 1939-1404
Editor: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
DOI: 10.1109/jstars.2025.3538897

A Review of Abrupt Permafrost Thaw: Definitions, Usage, and a Proposed Conceptual Framework

Autores: Hailey Webb, Matthias Fuchs, Benjamin W. Abbott, Thomas A. Douglas, Clayton D. Elder, Jessica Gilman Ernakovich, Eugenie S. Euskirchen, Mathias Göckede, Guido Grosse, Gustaf Hugelius, Miriam C. Jones, Charles Koven, Heather Kropp, Emma Lathrop, WenWen Li, Michael M. Loranty, Susan M. Natali, David Olefeldt, Christina Schädel, Edward A. G. Schuur, Oliver Sonnentag, Jens Strauss, Anna-Maria Virkka
Publicado en: Current Climate Change Reports, Edición 11, 2025, Página(s) 7, ISSN 2198-6061
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-025-00204-3

Rapid Saline Permafrost Thaw Below a Shallow Thermokarst Lake in Arctic Alaska

Autores: Benjamin M. Jones, Mikhail Z. Kanevskiy, Andrew D. Parsekian, Helena Bergstedt, Melissa K. Ward Jones, Rodrigo C. Rangel, Kenneth M. Hinkel, Yuri Shur
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 50, 2023, Página(s) e2023GL105552, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105552

Effects of land surface model resolution on fluxes and soil state in the Arctic

Autores: Meike Schickhoff, Philipp de Vrese, Annett Bartsch, Barbara Widhalm, Victor Brovkin
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 19, 2024, Página(s) 104032, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad6019

The land–ocean Arctic carbon cycle

Autores: Jorien E. Vonk, Michael Fritz, Niek J. Speetjens, Marcel Babin, Annett Bartsch, Luana S. Basso, Lisa Bröder, Mathias Göckede, Örjan Gustafsson, Gustaf Hugelius, Anna M. Irrgang, Bennet Juhls, McKenzie A. Kuhn, Hugues Lantuit, Manfredi Manizza, Jannik Martens, Matt O’Regan, Anya Suslova, Suzanne E. Tank, Jens Terhaar, Scott Zolkos
Publicado en: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Edición 6, 2025, Página(s) 86-105, ISSN 2662-138X
Editor: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-024-00627-w

UAV-based in situ measurements of CO₂ and CH₄ fluxes over complex natural ecosystems

Autores: Abdullah Bolek, Martin Heimann, Mathias Göckede
Publicado en: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Edición 17, 2024, Página(s) 5619-5636, ISSN 1867-8548
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/amt-17-5619-2024

Atmospheric CO2 and CH4 Fluctuations over the Continent-Sea Interface in the Yenisei River Sector of the Kara Sea

Autores: Alexey Panov, Anatoly Prokushkin, Igor Semiletov, Karl Kübler, Mikhail Korets, Ilya Putilin, Anastasiya Urban, Mikhail Bondar, Martin Heimann
Publicado en: Atmosphere, Edición 13, 2024, Página(s) 1402, ISSN 2073-4433
Editor: Rotoweb Cantelli
DOI: 10.3390/atmos13091402

Monitoring the Multiple Stages of Climate Tipping Systems from Space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables Meet the Needs?

Autores: S. Loriani, A. Bartsch, E. Calamita, J. F. Donges, S. Hebden, M. Hirota, A. Landolfi, T. Nagler, B. Sakschewski, A. Staal, J. Verbesselt, R. Winkelmann, R. Wood, N. Wunderling
Publicado en: Surveys in Geophysics, Edición 46, 2025, Página(s) 327-374, ISSN 0169-3298
Editor: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10712-024-09866-4

Permafrost Carbon: Progress on Understanding Stocks and Fluxes Across Northern Terrestrial Ecosystems

Autores: Claire C. Treat, Anna‐Maria Virkkala, Eleanor Burke, Lori Bruhwiler, Abhishek Chatterjee, Joshua B. Fisher, Josh Hashemi, Frans‐Jan W. Parmentier, Brendan M. Rogers, Sebastian Westermann, Jennifer D. Watts, Elena Blanc‐Betes, Matthias Fuchs, Stefan Kruse, Avni Malhotra, Kimberley Miner, Jens Strauss, Amanda Armstrong, Howard E. Epstein, Bradley Gay, Mathias Goeckede, Aram Kalhori, Dan Kou, C
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Edición 129, 2024, Página(s) e2023JG007638, ISSN 2169-8953
Editor: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
DOI: 10.1029/2023jg007638

Consistency of global carbon budget between concentration- and emission-driven historical experiments simulated by CMIP6 Earth system models and suggestions for improved simulation of CO₂ concentration

Autores: Tomohiro Hajima, Michio Kawamiya, Akihiko Ito, Kaoru Tachiiri, Chris D. Jones, Vivek Arora, Victor Brovkin, Roland Séférian, Spencer Liddicoat, Pierre Friedlingstein, Elena Shevliakova
Publicado en: Biogeosciences, Edición 22, 2025, Página(s) 1447-1473, ISSN 1726-4189
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-22-1447-2025

Small-scale hydrological patterns in a Siberian permafrost ecosystem affected by drainage

Autores: Sandra Raab, Karel Castro-Morales, Anke Hildebrandt, Martin Heimann, Jorien Elisabeth Vonk, Nikita Zimov, Mathias Goeckede
Publicado en: Biogeosciences, Edición 21 (10), 2024, Página(s) 2571-2597, ISSN 1726-4189
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/bg-2023-156

Mismatch of N release from the permafrost and vegetative uptake opens pathways of increasing nitrous oxide emissions in the high Arctic

Autores: Fabrice Lacroix; Sönke Zaehle; Silvia Caldararu; Jörg Schaller; Peter Stimmler; David Holl; Lars Kutzbach; Mathias Göckede
Publicado en: Global Change Biology, Edición 5, 2022, ISSN 1354-1013
Editor: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16345

AERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization

Autores: Yona Silvy, Thomas L. Frölicher, Jens Terhaar, Fortunat Joos, Friedrich A. Burger, Fabrice Lacroix, Myles Allen, Raffaele Bernardello, Laurent Bopp, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan R. Buzan, Patricia Cadule, Martin Dix, John Dunne, Pierre Friedlingstein, Goran Georgievski, Tomohiro Hajima, Stuart Jenkins, Michio Kawamiya, Nancy Y. Kiang, Vladimir Lapin, Donghyun Lee, Paul Lerner, Nadine Mengis, Estela A
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 15, 2024, Página(s) 1591-1628, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-1591-2024

High-Latitude Eddy Covariance Temporal Network Design and Optimization

Autores: Pallandt, Martijn M. T. A. Jung, Martin Arndt, Kyle Natali, Susan M. Rogers, Brendan M. Virkkala, Anna-Maria Göckede, Mathias
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, Edición 129 (10), 2024, Página(s) e2024JG008406, ISSN 2169-8953
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2024jg008406

Other (2)

Landcover succession for recently drained lakes in permafrost on the Yamal peninsula, Western Siberia

Autores: Clemens von Baeckmann, Annett Bartsch, Helena Bergstedt, Aleksandra Efimova, Barbara Widhalm, Dorothee Ehrich, Timo Kumpula, Alexander Sokolov, Svetlana Abdulmanova
Publicado en: EGUSphere [preprint], 2024
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-699

Circumarctic landcover diversity considering wetness gradients

Autores: Annett Bartsch, Aleksandra Efimova, Barbara Widhalm, Xaver Muri, Clemens von Baeckmann, Helena Bergstedt, Ksenia Ermokhina, Gustaf Hugelius, Birgit Heim, Marina Leibmann
Publicado en: EGUsphere [preprint], 2024
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2295