Project description
Open-source software to predict regional weather extremes
Climate change is causing climate and weather extremes to become more frequent all over the world. However, they are not factored in the derivation of emissions scenarios by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The integrated assessment models underlying the development of these emissions scenarios only consider changes in mean climate when evaluating options for changes in agricultural production, biofuel production, afforestation or other land use. The EU-funded MESMER-X project will address this shortcoming by developing an operational Earth System Model emulator providing climate extremes projections under different emissions and land use scenarios at a negligible computational cost. The MESMER-X emulator will be open-source and broadly available to scientists, policymakers and society.
Objective
Climate extremes count among the most impactful consequences of climate change, also under low-emissions scenarios consistent with the aims of the Paris agreement. However, they are not factored in the derivation of emissions scenarios informing international policy options in reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Indeed, the Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) underlying the development of these emissions scenarios only consider changes in mean climate when evaluating options for e.g. changes in agricultural production, biofuel production, afforestation or other land use changes. In the MESMER-X project, we will address this shortcoming by developing an operational Earth System Model (ESM) emulator providing climate extremes projections under different emissions and land use scenarios at negligible computational cost. This will allow for the first time a full interactive coupling between IAMs and climate scenarios. The MESMER-X emulator will be made open source and broadly available to scientists, policy-makers and society. The MESMER-X project will provide a disruptive innovation enabling the identification of realistic and resilient options for regional land use development consistent with a net-zero CO2 emissions future, with a focus on the European continent. The results of the MESMER-X project will be of high societal benefit for informing policy development consistent with the Paris agreement on European and global scale, including the European Green Deal
                                Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
                                                                                                            
                                            
                                            
                                                CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See:   The European Science Vocabulary.
                                                
                                            
                                        
                                                                                                
                            CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
- natural sciences earth and related environmental sciences atmospheric sciences climatology climatic changes
- social sciences economics and business economics sustainable economy
- engineering and technology industrial biotechnology biomaterials biofuels
- natural sciences computer and information sciences software software applications simulation software
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                                Keywords
                                
                                    
                                    
                                        Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
                                        
                                    
                                
                            
                            
                        Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
            Programme(s)
            
              
              
                Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
                
              
            
          
                      Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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                  H2020-EU.1.1. - EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)
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                  Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
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                Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
                
              
            
          
                      Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
ERC-POC - Proof of Concept Grant
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              Call for proposal
                
                  
                  
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(opens in new window) ERC-2020-PoC
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
8092 Zuerich
Switzerland
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