Objetivo Problems to be solvedNational water authorities are normally able to provide flood warnings between one and four days in advance of flood events. These warnings are usually based on weather forecasts in combination with knowledge of the actual hydrologic conditions in the river basins concerned. However, the emergency civil and water management agencies would benefit from an increase in lead-time, to effectively implement their plans in downstream areas. Therefore there exists a need for improved flood forecasting to extend the flood-warning period. Improved flood forecasting should enable more effective evacuation of people from high-risk areas or the controlled release of water from reservoirs in upstream areas to create temporary retention basins to reduce flood volumes and peaks. EFFS aims at developing a prototype of a 4-10 day in advance European floods forecasting system. This system aims at providing daily information on potential floods for the large rivers Rhine and Oder as well as flash floods in small basins. The framework of the system will allow incorporation of both detailed models for specific basins as well as a broad scale for entire Europe.Scientific objectives and approachThe overall objectives of EFFS are to employ currently available Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (4 - 10 days) to produce reliable flood warnings, beyond the current flood warning period of approximately 3 days. The project will design a Medium-Range Flood Forecasting System for Europe that will produce flood warnings on the basis of the Medium Range Weather Forecasts. On the basis of the newly developed system, flood forecasts will be produced in regions where at present flood forecasts are unavailable.The scientific objectives include:1) the development and application of downscaling techniques for weather forecasts that can be used in real-time operational flood warning systems over large areas,2) the design of a framework that allows for the use of different rainfall-runoff flood models linked to the Medium-Range Weather Forecasts in order to provide Medium Range Flood Forecasts3) the investigation of the concept of an overall water balance hydrological model as a basis for regional rainfall-runoff flood modelling.4) the investigate of the accuracy of the flood forecasts in space and time starting off from uncertainties in Medium Range Weather Forecasts and assess the error propagation through the system5) the finding of methods to incorporate uncertainties both from the weather forecasts as well as from the hydrologic models to be used in operational forecasts and use them as a decision factor as part of the actual flood forecast6) the investigation and recommendations concerning methods to disseminate the forecasts to whom they might concern, and to retrieve feedback from the users.Expected impactsRecent developments in the art of weather forecasting have brought the needs for improved flood forecasting within reach. Currently, Medium-Range Weather Forecasts are available for periods between 4 and 10 days ahead. These forecasts, which are still hardly used for practical purposes, could prove particularly useful in providing additional valuable information to decision makers in flood-risk areas. In the present project, the reasonable extension of the forecasting period will be examined by an assessment of the accuracy as a function of lead-time, location and season, and the minimum requirements put forward by the end-users.Weather forecasts: Data of all three events have been collected and disseminated to the project partners.Databases: Both the hydrological and geographical databases are ready to test the forecasting system for the selected events. A real-time hydrological data supply is organised for this project.Hydrological modelling: The LISFLOOD model is ready for flood forecasting application. A description of forecasting hydrological models has been made.Parameter estimation: Instrument development: The Flood Forecasting System has been developed and implemented for the Rhine basin. The functional and technical design of the Flood Forecasting System is described.Dissemination of flood forecasting results: An overview of current methods in Europe is ready. Ámbito científico natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesmeteorologynatural sciencescomputer and information sciencesdatabasesnatural sciencesearth and related environmental scienceshydrologydrainage basinsengineering and technologyenvironmental engineeringnatural resources managementwater management Programa(s) FP5-EESD - Programme for research, technological development and demonstration on "Energy, environment and sustainable development, 1998-2002" Tema(s) 1.1.4.-7. - RTD activities of a generic nature Convocatoria de propuestas Data not available Régimen de financiación CSC - Cost-sharing contracts Coordinador STICHTING WATERLOOPKUNDIG LABORATORIUM (WL/DELFT HYDRAULICS) Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección 185,Rotterdamseweg 185 2600 MH DELFT Países Bajos Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos Participantes (17) Ordenar alfabéticamente Ordenar por aportación de la UE Ampliar todo Contraer todo COMMISSION OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES Italia Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección 1,Via E. Fermi 1 21020 BARASSO Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos DANISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE Dinamarca Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección 100,Lyngbyvej 100 2100 KOEPENHAGEN Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts - ECMWF Reino Unido Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección Shinfield Park RG2 9AX READING Ver en el mapa Enlaces Sitio web Opens in new window Coste total Sin datos FEDERAL INSTITUTE OF HYDROLOGY Alemania Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección 15-17,Kaiserin-Augusta-Anlagen 15-17 56002 KOBLENZ Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos GERMAN WEATHER SERVICE Alemania Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección 63004 OFFENBACH AM MAIN Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos INSTITUTE FOR INLAND WATER MANAGEMENT AND WASTE WATER TREATMENT Países Bajos Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección Gildemeestersplein 1 6800 ED ARNHEM Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos INSTITUTE OF GEOLOGY AND GEOGRAPHY Lituania Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección T. Sevcenkos, 13 2600 VILNIUS Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGICAL AND WATER MANAGEMENT Polonia Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección Parkowa 30 51 616 WROCLAW Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY - BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Bulgaria Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección Tzarigradsko Chaussee 66 1784 SOFIA Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY, HYDROLOGY AND WATER MANAGEMENT Rumanía Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección 97,Sos. Bucuresti-Ploiesti 97 71552 BUCURESTI Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos SLOVAK HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE@@@ Eslovaquia Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección Jeseniova 17 833 15 BRATISLAVA Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos SWEDISH METEOROLOGICAL AND HYDROLOGICAL INSTITUTE Suecia Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección Folkborgsvägen 1 601 76 NOORKOEPING Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos UNIVERSITY OF BOLOGNA Italia Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección Via Zamboni 67 40127 BOLOGNA Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL Reino Unido Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección University Road BS8 1SS BRISTOL, CLIFTON Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos UNIVERSITY OF LANCASTER Reino Unido Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección Bailrigg LA1 4YQ LANCASTER /HIGH BANTHAM Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos UNIVERSITY OF LJUBLJANA Eslovenia Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección Jamova 2 1000 LJUBLJANA Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos VITUKI - WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH CENTRE PLC Hungría Aportación de la UE Sin datos Dirección Kvassay Jenoe ut 1 1095 BUDAPEST Ver en el mapa Coste total Sin datos