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Forecasting Surface Weather and Climate at One-Month Leads through Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling

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Publications

MJO-Related Tropical Convection Anomalies Lead to More Accurate Stratospheric Vortex Variability in Subseasonal Forecast Models

Author(s): C. I. Garfinkel, C. Schwartz
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 44/19, 2017, Page(s) 10,054-10,062, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1002/2017GL074470

Relative roles of the MJO and stratospheric variability in North Atlantic and European winter climate

Author(s): Chen Schwartz, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 122/8, 2017, Page(s) 4184-4201, ISSN 2169-897X
DOI: 10.1002/2016JD025829

A Census of Atmospheric Variability From Seconds to Decades

Author(s): Paul D. Williams, M. Joan Alexander, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Amy H. Butler, Huw C. Davies, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Yochanan Kushnir, Todd P. Lane, Julie K. Lundquist, Olivia Martius, Ryan N. Maue, W. Richard Peltier, Kaoru Sato, Adam A. Scaife, Chidong Zhang
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 44/21, 2017, Page(s) 11,201-11,211, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1002/2017GL075483

Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Pathway of Different El Niño Flavors in Stratosphere-Resolving CMIP5 Models

Author(s): N. Calvo, M. Iza, M. M. Hurwitz, E. Manzini, C. Peña-Ortiz, A. H. Butler, C. Cagnazzo, S. Ineson, C. I. Garfinkel
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 30/12, 2017, Page(s) 4351-4371, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0132.1

Classification of eastward propagating waves on the spherical Earth

Author(s): Chaim I. Garfinkel, Itzhak Fouxon, Ofer Shamir, Nathan Paldor
Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Issue 143/704, 2017, Page(s) 1554-1564, ISSN 0035-9009
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3025

Robustness of the Simulated Tropospheric Response to Ozone Depletion

Author(s): William J. M. Seviour, Darryn W. Waugh, Lorenzo M. Polvani, Gustavo J. P. Correa, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 30/7, 2017, Page(s) 2577-2585, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0817.1

Stratospheric variability contributed to and sustained the recent hiatus in Eurasian winter warming

Author(s): Chaim I. Garfinkel, Seok-Woo Son, Kanghyun Song, Valentina Aquila, Luke D. Oman
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 44/1, 2017, Page(s) 374-382, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL072035

Time-varying changes in the simulated structure of the Brewer–Dobson Circulation

Author(s): Chaim I. Garfinkel, Valentina Aquila, Darryn W. Waugh, Luke D. Oman
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 17/2, 2017, Page(s) 1313-1327, ISSN 1680-7324
DOI: 10.5194/acp-17-1313-2017

Might stratospheric variability lead to improved predictability of ENSO events?

Author(s): Chaim I Garfinkel
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 12/3, 2017, Page(s) 031001, ISSN 1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa60a4

The Downward Influence of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings: Association with Tropospheric Precursors

Author(s): Ian White, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Edwin P. Gerber, Martin Jucker, Valentina Aquila, Luke D. Oman
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 32/1, 2019, Page(s) 85-108, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0053.1

The mixed Rossby-gravity wave on the spherical Earth

Author(s): Nathan Paldor, Itzhak Fouxon, Ofer Shamir, Chaim I. Garfinkel
Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Issue 144/715, 2018, Page(s) 1820-1830, ISSN 0035-9009
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3354

Nonlinear response of tropical lower-stratospheric temperature and water vapor to ENSO

Author(s): Chaim I. Garfinkel, Amit Gordon, Luke D. Oman, Feng Li, Sean Davis, Steven Pawson
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 18/7, 2018, Page(s) 4597-4615, ISSN 1680-7324
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-4597-2018

Modulation of the Northern Winter Stratospheric El Niño–Southern Oscillation Teleconnection by the PDO

Author(s): Jian Rao, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Rongcai Ren
Published in: Journal of Climate, 2019, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0087.1

The salience of nonlinearities in the boreal winter response to ENSO: Arctic stratosphere and Europe

Author(s): Israel Weinberger, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Ian P. White, Luke D. Oman
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04805-1

Weakening of the teleconnection from El Niño‐Southern Oscillation to the Arctic stratosphere over the past few decades: What can be learned from subseasonal forecast models?

Author(s): Chaim I. Garfinkel, Chen Schwartz, Amy H. Butler, Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Seok‐Woo Son, Ian P. White
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 124, 2019, ISSN 2169-897X
DOI: 10.1029/2018jd029961