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The Violence Early-Warning System: Building a Scientific Foundation for Conflict Forecasting

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Publications

Protection Through Presence: UN Peacekeeping and the Costs of Targeting Civilians

Author(s): Hanne Fjelde, Lisa Hultman, Desirée Nilsson
Published in: International Organization, Issue 73/1, 2019, Page(s) 103-131, ISSN 0020-8183
DOI: 10.1017/s0020818318000346

Evaluating the scope and intensity of the conflict trap

Author(s): Håvard Hegre, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Ranveig Flaten Ræder
Published in: Journal of Peace Research, Issue 54/2, 2017, Page(s) 243-261, ISSN 0022-3433
DOI: 10.1177/0022343316684917

Evaluating the Conflict-Reducing Effect of UN Peacekeeping Operations

Author(s): Håvard Hegre, Lisa Hultman, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård
Published in: The Journal of Politics, Issue 81/1, 2019, Page(s) 215-232, ISSN 0022-3816
DOI: 10.1086/700203

Introduction

Author(s): Håvard Hegre, Nils W Metternich, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Julian Wucherpfennig
Published in: Journal of Peace Research, Issue 54/2, 2017, Page(s) 113-124, ISSN 0022-3433
DOI: 10.1177/0022343317691330

Civil Society and the Democratic Peace

Author(s): Håvard Hegre, Michael Bernhard, Jan Teorell
Published in: Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2019, Page(s) 002200271985062, ISSN 0022-0027
DOI: 10.1177/0022002719850620

A conditional model of local income shock and civil conflict

Author(s): Halvard Buhaug, Mihai Croicu, Hanne Fjelde, Nina von Uexkull
Published in: The Journal of Politics, 2020, ISSN 0022-3816

Fraud, grievances, and post-election protests in competitive authoritarian regimes

Author(s): Espen Geelmuyden Rød
Published in: Electoral Studies, Issue 58, 2019, Page(s) 12-20, ISSN 0261-3794
DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2019.01.003

ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system

Author(s): Håvard Hegre, Marie Allansson, Matthias Basedau, Michael Colaresi, Mihai Croicu, Hanne Fjelde, Frederick Hoyles, Lisa Hultman, Stina Högbladh, Remco Jansen, Naima Mouhleb, Sayyed Auwn Muhammad, Desirée Nilsson, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Gudlaug Olafsdottir, Kristina Petrova, David Randahl, Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Gerald Schneider, Nina von Uexkull, Jonas Vestby
Published in: Journal of Peace Research, Issue 56/2, 2018, Page(s) 155-174, ISSN 0022-3433
DOI: 10.1177/0022343319823860

The oracle or the crowd? Experts versus the stock market in forecasting ceasefire success in the Levant

Author(s): Gerald Schneider, Maya Hadar, Naomi Bosler
Published in: Journal of Peace Research, Issue 54/2, 2017, Page(s) 231-242, ISSN 0022-3433
DOI: 10.1177/0022343316683437

Do the robot

Author(s): Michael Colaresi, Zuhaib Mahmood
Published in: Journal of Peace Research, Issue 54/2, 2017, Page(s) 193-214, ISSN 0022-3433
DOI: 10.1177/0022343316682065

The determinants of democracy: a sensitivity analysis

Author(s): Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Håvard Hegre
Published in: Public Choice, 2019, ISSN 0048-5829
DOI: 10.1007/s11127-019-00742-z

Verden er blitt mere fredelig - vil denne trenden fortsette? [The World has become more Peaceful - Will this Trend Continue?]

Author(s): Håvard Hegre
Published in: Kungl. vetenskapssocietetens årbok, 2018

Freds- og konfliktforskning og den fredsbevarende virkningen av demokrati og økonomiske nettverk [Peace and Conflict Research and the pacifying Effect of Democracy and Economic Networks]

Author(s): Håvard Hegre
Published in: Årbok for Det Norske Videnskaps-Akademi, 2018

Introducing the UCDP-Candidate Events Dataset and the ViEWS Outcomes dataset. Monthly updated organized violence data in the form of events data as well as aggregated to the country-month and PRIO-GRID-month level

Author(s): Håvard Hegre, Mihai Croicu, Kristine Eck, Stina Högbladh
Published in: 2018

A Fast Spatial Multiple Imputation Procedure for Imprecise Armed Conflict Events

Author(s): Mihai Croicu, Håvard Hegre
Published in: 2018

The Internet and Political Protest in Autocracies

Author(s): Nils B. Weidmann, Espen Geelmuyden Rød
Published in: Oxford Studies in Digital Politics, 2019