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How politicians evaluate public opinion

Descripción del proyecto

Comprender cómo influye la opinión pública en la formulación de políticas

Un elemento vital de toda democracia es que las medidas del Gobierno tengan en cuenta las necesidades de sus ciudadanos. Con todo, la capacidad de respuesta de las políticas varía en función de los problemas, el tiempo y los países. En el proyecto POLEVPOP, financiado con fondos europeos, se investigará por qué ocurre partiendo de la hipótesis de que los políticos evalúan la opinión pública dejando que sus medidas dependan de su valoración. El equipo del proyecto empleará un estudio comparativo en Australia, Bélgica, Canadá, Israel, Portugal, Chequia, Suecia y Suiza a fin de identificar los criterios que utilizan los políticos para valorar la opinión pública y examinar cómo (dependiendo de esta opinión y el canal a través del cual se transmite) estos influyen en sus decisiones.

Objetivo

In democracies, policies are expected to be responsive to public opinion. Extant research showed that responsiveness is selective. It varies across issues, time and countries. Yet, how come policies vary in their responsiveness has not received a satisfying answer. POLEVPOP formulates and examines a novel answer to the puzzle why policy responsiveness varies. Its core argument holds that politicians evaluate public opinion and let their actions—in line with public opinion or going against it—depend on their appraisal. When public opinion is evaluated negatively, it has no effect on what politicians do; that it is evaluated positively increases the chance that politicians act congruently. Politicians’ appraisal of public opinion has been completely overlooked as a mechanism bringing about responsive representation. Considering it a core factor POLEVPOP examines three matters: (1) which criteria politicians use to appraise public opinion; (2) how, depending on the opinion content of the message, the channel through which the opinion is conveyed and the group from which it comes, concrete public opinion signals are evaluated; and, (3) which effect these evaluations have on politicians’ political action. The central expectation is that public opinion is evaluated by politicians based on a consistent and common scoreboard. For instance, opinion signals are rated based on their representativity and underlying public opinion is evaluated on its quality and its intensity. The project tackles these matters drawing on a comparative study in eight different countries (Australia, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Israel, Portugal, Switzerland, and Sweden). In two consecutive rounds of data gathering, a large sample of politicians is surveyed and interviewed, and they are subjected to a series of survey-embedded experiments. To put politicians’ behavior in perspective, their answers are compared to parallel citizen surveys in all countries.

Régimen de financiación

ERC-ADG - Advanced Grant

Institución de acogida

UNIVERSITEIT ANTWERPEN
Aportación neta de la UEn
€ 2 499 062,00
Dirección
PRINSSTRAAT 13
2000 Antwerpen
Bélgica

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Región
Vlaams Gewest Prov. Antwerpen Arr. Antwerpen
Tipo de actividad
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Enlaces
Coste total
€ 2 499 062,50

Beneficiarios (1)