Descripción del proyecto
Factores de apoyo a las misiones militares de la ONU y la OTAN
Los partidos nacionales y los parlamentarios a título individual a menudo adoptan posiciones diferentes con respecto a la ONU y la OTAN. Para explicar esta cuestión, el proyecto SUPPMIL, financiado con fondos europeos, hará uso de un enfoque multimétodo, en el que se combinará el análisis de textos cuantitativos con la investigación de estudios de caso. El análisis de los textos cuantitativos comprende treinta años de debates parlamentarios en Canadá, Alemania, Italia, el Reino Unido y los Estados Unidos, y de debates en el Consejo de Seguridad de la ONU y el Consejo del Atlántico Norte. Su objetivo es enriquecer el debate teórico sobre los factores de apoyo a las misiones militares. Los estudios de caso sobre dos misiones de la ONU —en la República Democrática del Congo y el Líbano— y dos de la OTAN —en Afganistán y Kosovo— aportarán nuevos conocimientos sobre la retórica y la conducta de los Estados y partidos.
Objetivo
Why do national political parties and individual members of parliament (MPs) adopt different attitudes towards UN and NATO operations? To tackle this question, the project adopts a multi-method approach and brings together quantitative text analysis and case-studies investigation. First, the quantitative text analysis addresses thirty years of parliamentary debates in Canada, Germany, Italy, UK, and US, and discussions in the UN Security Council (UNSC) and in the North Atlantic Council. Second, the project entails case studies on two UN missions, the UN Organization Stabilization Mission in the DR Congo, and the UN Interim Force in Lebanon and two NATO missions, Kosovo and Afghanistan. Results of the multi-method analysis enrich the theoretical debate about the factors that explain levels of support for military missions: the elaboration and the empirical testing of two unified theories for MPs and political parties’ positions on armed interventions abroad is a key innovative contribution. Second, the case-studies analysis provides novel insights about states and parties’ rhetoric and behaviour, contributing to relevant academic debates on international norms, rhetorical political analysis, and organised hypocrisy. The theoretical implications range from the political salience of different missions to the discrepancies of Foreign Policy positions over the domestic-international divide. In addition, the project provides significant methodological improvements. The combination of quantitative with qualitative text-analysis tools offers intriguing insights about the strengths and weaknesses of the two approaches and about the potential for their interaction. Finally, the project aims at refining the rigorousness of Bayesian process tracing, building systematic rules to assign different causal weights to different observations. In this context, the employment of MPs’ personal characteristics and institutional roles to establish such rules seems a promising path.
Ámbito científico
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Régimen de financiación
MSCA-IF - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Individual Fellowships (IF)Coordinador
CV4 8UW COVENTRY
Reino Unido