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Land-use change and the resilience of food production systems (LucFRes)

Project description

A closer look at land use and food production

Land-use change constrains the future of food production in the face of climate change and population growth. It degrades agricultural lands, affecting ecosystem functions and services, and threatening the resilience of food production systems (FPSs). However, the way in which agricultural land change builds or undermines food production and the resilience of FPSs is still poorly understood. The EU-funded LucFRes project will study how land-use transformations reshape the resilience of FPSs. The project will integrate the analysis of agricultural land-use changes from satellite remote sensing with stakeholders' perceptions of land-use futures in Southwest Nigeria. An empirical basis for modelling FPSs under changing land-use and policy conditions will be provided to enhance their resilience.


Securing food production remains a critical challenge in many world regions. Environmental change, in particular land-use change, constrains food production especially in contexts characterised by competing land demands, high population pressure and food insecurity that got compounded by the COVID-19 pandemic. Land-use change has long-term impacts through land degradation which affects food production systems (FPSs). Hence, an understanding of how changing land-uses shape the resilience of FPSs is therefore urgently needed to enhance agriculture’s adaptation. LucFRes aims to examine the processes operating at the interface of agricultural land-use and food production. Agricultural land-use change will be characterised in terms of the change intensities and the driving factors using Intensity Analysis, a spatially explicit, land change accounting framework. Relevant land-based resilience indicators for FPSs will be identified and validated with stakeholders for Southwest Nigeria. The combination of the satellite remote sensing-based land-use change intensities with stakeholders’ perspectives of likely land-use changes will provide the empirical-basis for modelling FPSs behaviour under changing policy and land management scenarios. To better optimise agricultural land-use change, the modelling will account for trade-offs and options for enhancing synergies between food production and other land uses. Thematically, LucFRes goes beyond the impacts of land-use on agricultural productivity by examining how changes in agricultural land-use build or undermine the resilience of food production systems in Southwest Nigeria, an area that have received little research attention. LucFRes’ integrative and policy-oriented approach will develop trajectories for enhancing the resilience of food production systems in Southwest Nigeria. Conceptually, it will provide a methodology for assessing the resilience of food production systems that is applicable to similar world regions.


Net EU contribution
€ 203 149,44
3012 Bern

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Schweiz/Suisse/Svizzera Espace Mittelland Bern / Berne
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Total cost
€ 203 149,44