Descripción del proyecto
Un nuevo marco decisorio para las políticas ambientales
Los métodos convencionales que se utilizan actualmente para evaluar las políticas ambientales no captan la complejidad del nexo entre el clima, la biodiversidad y la economía. La evaluación de las políticas no tiene en cuenta la eficacia y la resiliencia de las mismas en relación con elementos como la calidad de vida, la estabilidad financiera, la viabilidad política y la innovación. El equipo del proyecto DECIPHER, financiado con fondos europeos, mejorará significativamente la toma de decisiones y aumentará la resiliencia y la viabilidad de las políticas en materia de cambio climático y biodiversidad. En DECIPHER se establecerá un marco global para la toma de decisiones que integrará modelos económicos y biofísicos avanzados, métodos empíricos y herramientas de participación de las partes interesadas mediante la adopción de un enfoque multidisciplinar y sistémico. Además, este novedoso marco incorporará los daños ecológicos en las decisiones económicas de los agentes e introducirá un enfoque de riesgo y oportunidad en la toma de decisiones.
Objetivo
The dual climate change and biodiversity crises put an urgency for implementing inclusive, just, and effective policies, while their inextricable nature calls for integrated assessment approaches that capture synergies and trade-offs. Mainstream economic methods currently used in the appraisal of environmental policies fail to capture the complexity of the climate-biodiversity-economy nexus. Even though uncertainty, disruption, and irreversibility are inherent to environmental challenges, these are overlooked when designing and evaluating the performance of policies. Policy effectiveness and resilience against other impact areas, such as quality of life, financial stability, political feasibility, innovation is not included in policy appraisal. Rather, policy evaluation is informed by a narrow set of metrics, falling short of encompassing broader considerations of sustainability and wellbeing.
DECIPHER employs a systems and multi-disciplinary approach using a diverse set of models, methods, and processes to significantly improve decision-making on climate change and biodiversity and enhance policy resilience and feasibility. Moving beyond state-of-the-art, we will establish a holistic and operational decision-making framework that integrates advanced economic and biophysical models, empirical methods and stakeholder participation tools. The novel framework incorporates environmental damages in the economic decisions of agents and introduces a risk-opportunity approach for decision making. To offer critical insights on system dynamics and risks, the models developed will be equipped with innovative features including improved representations of agent behavior, technology innovation, financial risk valuation and the capacity to assess extreme events and critical tipping points. The new decision-making framework will be the end-result of an iterative co-creation process with stakeholders and applied under real-world conditions in the assessment of flagship EU policies.
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HORIZON-RIA - HORIZON Research and Innovation ActionsCoordinador
11523 ATHINA
Grecia
Organización definida por ella misma como pequeña y mediana empresa (pyme) en el momento de la firma del acuerdo de subvención.