Best-Estimate Projections of Future Compound Extreme Heat, its Impacts and Driving Mechanisms

Información del proyecto

TrueHeat

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 101064940

DOI

10.3030/101064940

Proyecto cerrado

Fecha de la firma de la CE 8 Julio 2022

Fecha de inicio 1 Noviembre 2022

Fecha de finalización 31 Octubre 2025

Financiado con arreglo a

• Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA)

Coste total

Sin datos

Aportación de la UE

€ 308 746,56

Coordinado por

CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CNRS
France

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Resultado final

Data Management Plan (1)

Data Management Plan

The Data Management Plan describes the data management life cycle for all data sets that will be collected processed or generated by the action It is a document describing what data will be collected processed or generated and following what methodology and standards whether and how this data will be shared andor made open and how it will be curated and preserved

Documents, reports (1)

Communication, Dissemination & Outreach Plan

The plan describes the planned measures to maximize the impact of the project, including the dissemination and exploitation measures that are planned, and the target group(s) addressed. Regarding communication measures and public engagement strategy, the aim is to inform and reach out to society and show the activities performed, and the use and the benefits the project will have for citizens.

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (18)

The extremely hot and dry 2018 summer in central and northern Europe from a multi-faceted weather and climate perspective

Autores: E. Rousi; A. H. Fink; L. S. Andersen; F. N. Becker; G. Beobide-Arsuaga; G. Beobide-Arsuaga; M. Breil; M. Breil; G. Cozzi; G. Cozzi; J. Heinke; L. Jach; D. Niermann; D. Petrovic; A. Richling; J. Riebold; S. Steidl; S. Steidl; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; J. S. Tradowsky; J. S. Tradowsky; D. Coumou; D. Coumou; A. Düsterhus; F. Ellsäßer; G. Fragkoulidis; D. Gliksman; D. Gliksman; D. Handorf; K. Haustein; K. Haustein; K. Kornhuber; K. Kornhuber; K. Kornhuber; H. Kunstmann; H. Kunstmann; J. G. Pinto; K. Warrach-Sagi; E. Xoplaki; E. Xoplaki
Publicado en: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2022, ISSN 1684-9981
Editor: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2022-813

Concurrent modes of climate variability linked to spatially compounding wind and precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere

Autores: B. François; K. Teber; L. Brett; R. Leeding; L. Gimeno-Sotelo; L. Gimeno-Sotelo; L. Gimeno-Sotelo; D. I. V. Domeisen; D. I. V. Domeisen; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; E. Bevacqua
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, 2025, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-16-1029-2025

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Autores: Dirk Olonscheck; Sebastian Brune; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga; Johanna Baehr; Friederike Fröb; Lara Hellmich; Tatiana Ilyina; Christopher Kadow; Daniel Krieger; Hongmei Li; Jochem Marotzke; Étienne Plésiat; Martin Schupfner; Fabian Wachsmann; Karl-Hermann Wieners; Sebastian Milinski
Publicado en: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2023, ISSN 1942-2466
Editor: John Wiley and Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU23-14556

Anomalously Warm European Summers Predicted More Accurately by Considering Sub‐Decadal North Atlantic Ocean Heat Accumulation

Autores: Lara Wallberg; Laura Suarez‐Gutierrez; Daniela Matei; Daniel Krieger; Wolfgang A. Müller
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, 2025, ISSN 1944-8007
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000735066

Scientific Reports

Autores: Batibeniz, Fulden; Seneviratne, Sonia I; Jha, Srinidhi; Ribeiro, Andreia; Suarez Gutierrez, Laura; Raible, Christoph C; Malhotra, Avni; Armstrong, Ben; Bell, Michelle L; Lavigne, Eric; Gasparrini, Antonio; Guo, Yuming; Hashizume, Masahiro; Masselot, Pierre; da Silva, Susana Pereira; Royé, Dominic; Sera, Francesco; Tong, Shilu; Urban, Aleš; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M
Publicado en: Scientific Reports, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.48620/85042

Distinct Favored Regions for Historical Record‐Setting and Future Record‐Breaking Humid Heat

Autores: Colin Raymond; Laura Suarez‐Gutierrez; Vikki Thompson; Karin van der Wiel
Publicado en: AGU Advances, 2025, ISSN 2576-604X
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000788365

Compound events in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies

Autores: E. Xoplaki; E. Xoplaki; F. Ellsäßer; F. Ellsäßer; J. Grieger; K. M. Nissen; J. G. Pinto; M. Augenstein; T.-C. Chen; T.-C. Chen; H. Feldmann; P. Friederichs; D. Gliksman; D. Gliksman; L. Goulier; K. Haustein; K. Haustein; J. Heinke; L. Jach; F. Knutzen; S. Kollet; J. Luterbacher; J. Luterbacher; N. Luther; S. Mohr; S. Mohr; C. Mudersbach; C. Müller; E. Rousi; F. Simon; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; S. Szemkus; S. M. Vallejo-Bernal; S. M. Vallejo-Bernal; S. M. Vallejo-Bernal; O. Vlachopoulos; F. Wolf
Publicado en: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2025, ISSN 1684-9981
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/NHESS-25-541-2025

Temperature variability projections remain uncertain after constraining them to best performing Large Ensembles of individual Climate Models

Autores: Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Nicola Maher
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 17, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-67005-Y

Nature Communications

Autores: Emanuele Bevacqua; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Aglaé Jézéquel; Flavio Lehner; Mathieu Vrac; Pascal Yiou; Jakob Zscheischler
Publicado en: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000608920

European compound flood-heat-flood events associated with Omega patterns cannot be easily reproduced by a fully coupled model

Autores: Yixuan Guo; Urs Beyerle; Emanuele Bevacqua; Jakob Zscheischler; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Magdalena Mittermeier; Zuntao Fu; Erich Fischer
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000742751

Impacts on and damage to European forests from the 2018–2022 heat and drought events

Autores: F. Knutzen; P. Averbeck; C. Barrasso; C. Barrasso; L. M. Bouwer; L. M. Bouwer; B. Gardiner; J. M. Grünzweig; S. Hänel; K. Haustein; K. Haustein; M. R. Johannessen; S. Kollet; M. M. Müller; J.-P. Pietikäinen; K. Pietras-Couffignal; K. Pietras-Couffignal; J. G. Pinto; D. Rechid; E. Rousi; A. Russo; A. Russo; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; S. Veit; S. Veit; J. Wendler; E. Xoplaki; D. Gliksman; D. Gliksman
Publicado en: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2025, ISSN 1684-9981
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000178663

Extreme heat and drought typical of an end-of-century climate could occur over Europe soon and repeatedly

Autores: Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Wolfgang A. Müller; Jochem Marotzke
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Vol 4, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2023), 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000646563

Global Mapping of Concurrent Hazards and Impacts Associated With Climate Extremes Under Climate Change

Autores: Messori, Gabriele; Muheki, Derrick; Batibeniz, Fulden; Bevacqua, Emanuele; Suarez‐gutierrez, Laura; Thiery, Wim
Publicado en: Earth's Future, 2025, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2025EF006325

Environmental Research Letters

Autores: Victoria Dietz; Johanna Baehr; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Jana Sillmann; Leonard Borchert
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, 2025, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000739458

The significant influence of the Atlantic multidecadal variability to the abrupt warming in Northeast Asia in the 1990s

Autores: Kaiwen Zhang; Zhiyan Zuo; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Lulei Bu
Publicado en: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2024, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000657095

Nature Communications

Autores: Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Armineh Barkhordarian; Dirk Olonscheck; Johanna Baehr
Publicado en: Nature Communications, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000786950

Extremely warm European summers preceded by sub-decadal North Atlantic ocean heat accumulation

Autores: L. Wallberg; L. Wallberg; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; D. Matei; W. A. Müller
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000659608

Surveys in Geophysics

Autores: A. Romanou; G. C. Hegerl; S. I. Seneviratne; B. Abis; A. Bastos; A. Conversi; A. Landolfi; H. Kim; P. E. Lerner; J. Mekus; B. L. Otto-Bliesner; F. S. R. Pausata; I. Pinto; L. Suarez-Guiterrez
Publicado en: Surveys in Geophysics, 2024, ISSN 0169-3298
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000706726

Other (2)

Supporting scripts and code to 'Temperature variability projections remain uncertain after constraining them to best performing SMILEs' by Suarez-Gutierrez & Maher

Autores: Suarez-Gutierrez, L., & Maher, N.
Publicado en: Zenodo
Editor: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.17058694

Supplementary Data and Scripts for 'Extreme heat and drought typical of an end-of-century climate could occur soon and repeatedly over Europe', Suarez-Gutierrez et al., 2023

Autores: Suarez-Gutierrez, L.
Editor: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.10044343