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Best-Estimate Projections of Future Compound Extreme Heat, its Impacts and Driving Mechanisms

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Deliverables

Data Management Plan (1)
Data Management Plan (opens in new window)

The Data Management Plan describes the data management life cycle for all data sets that will be collected processed or generated by the action It is a document describing what data will be collected processed or generated and following what methodology and standards whether and how this data will be shared andor made open and how it will be curated and preserved

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (18)
The extremely hot and dry 2018 summer in central and northern Europe from a multi-faceted weather and climate perspective (opens in new window)

Author(s): E. Rousi; A. H. Fink; L. S. Andersen; F. N. Becker; G. Beobide-Arsuaga; G. Beobide-Arsuaga; M. Breil; M. Breil; G. Cozzi; G. Cozzi; J. Heinke; L. Jach; D. Niermann; D. Petrovic; A. Richling; J. Riebold; S. Steidl; S. Steidl; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; J. S. Tradowsky; J. S. Tradowsky; D. Coumou; D. Coumou; A. Düsterhus; F. Ellsäßer; G. Fragkoulidis; D. Gliksman; D. Gliksman; D. Handorf; K. Haustein; K. Haustein; K. Kornhuber; K. Kornhuber; K. Kornhuber; H. Kunstmann; H. Kunstmann; J. G. Pinto; K. Warrach-Sagi; E. Xoplaki; E. Xoplaki
Published in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2022, ISSN 1684-9981
Publisher: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2022-813

Concurrent modes of climate variability linked to spatially compounding wind and precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere (opens in new window)

Author(s): B. François; K. Teber; L. Brett; R. Leeding; L. Gimeno-Sotelo; L. Gimeno-Sotelo; L. Gimeno-Sotelo; D. I. V. Domeisen; D. I. V. Domeisen; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; E. Bevacqua
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 2025, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-16-1029-2025

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (opens in new window)

Author(s): Dirk Olonscheck; Sebastian Brune; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga; Johanna Baehr; Friederike Fröb; Lara Hellmich; Tatiana Ilyina; Christopher Kadow; Daniel Krieger; Hongmei Li; Jochem Marotzke; Étienne Plésiat; Martin Schupfner; Fabian Wachsmann; Karl-Hermann Wieners; Sebastian Milinski
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2023, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: John Wiley and Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU23-14556

Anomalously Warm European Summers Predicted More Accurately by Considering Sub‐Decadal North Atlantic Ocean Heat Accumulation (opens in new window)

Author(s): Lara Wallberg; Laura Suarez‐Gutierrez; Daniela Matei; Daniel Krieger; Wolfgang A. Müller
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2025, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000735066

Scientific Reports (opens in new window)

Author(s): Batibeniz, Fulden; Seneviratne, Sonia I; Jha, Srinidhi; Ribeiro, Andreia; Suarez Gutierrez, Laura; Raible, Christoph C; Malhotra, Avni; Armstrong, Ben; Bell, Michelle L; Lavigne, Eric; Gasparrini, Antonio; Guo, Yuming; Hashizume, Masahiro; Masselot, Pierre; da Silva, Susana Pereira; Royé, Dominic; Sera, Francesco; Tong, Shilu; Urban, Aleš; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M
Published in: Scientific Reports, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.48620/85042

Distinct Favored Regions for Historical Record‐Setting and Future Record‐Breaking Humid Heat (opens in new window)

Author(s): Colin Raymond; Laura Suarez‐Gutierrez; Vikki Thompson; Karin van der Wiel
Published in: AGU Advances, 2025, ISSN 2576-604X
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000788365

Compound events in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies (opens in new window)

Author(s): E. Xoplaki; E. Xoplaki; F. Ellsäßer; F. Ellsäßer; J. Grieger; K. M. Nissen; J. G. Pinto; M. Augenstein; T.-C. Chen; T.-C. Chen; H. Feldmann; P. Friederichs; D. Gliksman; D. Gliksman; L. Goulier; K. Haustein; K. Haustein; J. Heinke; L. Jach; F. Knutzen; S. Kollet; J. Luterbacher; J. Luterbacher; N. Luther; S. Mohr; S. Mohr; C. Mudersbach; C. Müller; E. Rousi; F. Simon; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; S. Szemkus; S. M. Vallejo-Bernal; S. M. Vallejo-Bernal; S. M. Vallejo-Bernal; O. Vlachopoulos; F. Wolf
Published in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2025, ISSN 1684-9981
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/NHESS-25-541-2025

Temperature variability projections remain uncertain after constraining them to best performing Large Ensembles of individual Climate Models (opens in new window)

Author(s): Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Nicola Maher
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 17, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-67005-Y

Nature Communications (opens in new window)

Author(s): Emanuele Bevacqua; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Aglaé Jézéquel; Flavio Lehner; Mathieu Vrac; Pascal Yiou; Jakob Zscheischler
Published in: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000608920

European compound flood-heat-flood events associated with Omega patterns cannot be easily reproduced by a fully coupled model (opens in new window)

Author(s): Yixuan Guo; Urs Beyerle; Emanuele Bevacqua; Jakob Zscheischler; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Magdalena Mittermeier; Zuntao Fu; Erich Fischer
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000742751

Impacts on and damage to European forests from the 2018–2022 heat and drought events (opens in new window)

Author(s): F. Knutzen; P. Averbeck; C. Barrasso; C. Barrasso; L. M. Bouwer; L. M. Bouwer; B. Gardiner; J. M. Grünzweig; S. Hänel; K. Haustein; K. Haustein; M. R. Johannessen; S. Kollet; M. M. Müller; J.-P. Pietikäinen; K. Pietras-Couffignal; K. Pietras-Couffignal; J. G. Pinto; D. Rechid; E. Rousi; A. Russo; A. Russo; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; S. Veit; S. Veit; J. Wendler; E. Xoplaki; D. Gliksman; D. Gliksman
Published in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2025, ISSN 1684-9981
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000178663

Extreme heat and drought typical of an end-of-century climate could occur over Europe soon and repeatedly (opens in new window)

Author(s): Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Wolfgang A. Müller; Jochem Marotzke
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Vol 4, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2023), 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000646563

Global Mapping of Concurrent Hazards and Impacts Associated With Climate Extremes Under Climate Change (opens in new window)

Author(s): Messori, Gabriele; Muheki, Derrick; Batibeniz, Fulden; Bevacqua, Emanuele; Suarez‐gutierrez, Laura; Thiery, Wim
Published in: Earth's Future, 2025, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2025EF006325

Environmental Research Letters (opens in new window)

Author(s): Victoria Dietz; Johanna Baehr; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Jana Sillmann; Leonard Borchert
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 2025, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000739458

The significant influence of the Atlantic multidecadal variability to the abrupt warming in Northeast Asia in the 1990s (opens in new window)

Author(s): Kaiwen Zhang; Zhiyan Zuo; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Lulei Bu
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2024, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000657095

Nature Communications (opens in new window)

Author(s): Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Armineh Barkhordarian; Dirk Olonscheck; Johanna Baehr
Published in: Nature Communications, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000786950

Extremely warm European summers preceded by sub-decadal North Atlantic ocean heat accumulation (opens in new window)

Author(s): L. Wallberg; L. Wallberg; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; D. Matei; W. A. Müller
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000659608

Surveys in Geophysics (opens in new window)

Author(s): A. Romanou; G. C. Hegerl; S. I. Seneviratne; B. Abis; A. Bastos; A. Conversi; A. Landolfi; H. Kim; P. E. Lerner; J. Mekus; B. L. Otto-Bliesner; F. S. R. Pausata; I. Pinto; L. Suarez-Guiterrez
Published in: Surveys in Geophysics, 2024, ISSN 0169-3298
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000706726

Other (2)
Supporting scripts and code to 'Temperature variability projections remain uncertain after constraining them to best performing SMILEs' by Suarez-Gutierrez & Maher (opens in new window)

Author(s): Suarez-Gutierrez, L., & Maher, N.
Published in: Zenodo
Publisher: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.17058694

Supplementary Data and Scripts for 'Extreme heat and drought typical of an end-of-century climate could occur soon and repeatedly over Europe', Suarez-Gutierrez et al., 2023 (opens in new window)

Author(s): Suarez-Gutierrez, L.
Publisher: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.10044343

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