Best-Estimate Projections of Future Compound Extreme Heat, its Impacts and Driving Mechanisms

Informations projet

TrueHeat

N° de convention de subvention: 101064940

DOI

10.3030/101064940

Projet clôturé

Date de signature de la CE 8 Juillet 2022

Date de début 1 Novembre 2022

Date de fin 31 Octobre 2025

Financé au titre de

• Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA)

Coût total

Aucune donnée

Contribution de l’UE

€ 308 746,56

Coordonné par

CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CNRS
France

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Data Management Plan (1)

Data Management Plan

The Data Management Plan describes the data management life cycle for all data sets that will be collected processed or generated by the action It is a document describing what data will be collected processed or generated and following what methodology and standards whether and how this data will be shared andor made open and how it will be curated and preserved

Documents, reports (1)

Communication, Dissemination & Outreach Plan

The plan describes the planned measures to maximize the impact of the project, including the dissemination and exploitation measures that are planned, and the target group(s) addressed. Regarding communication measures and public engagement strategy, the aim is to inform and reach out to society and show the activities performed, and the use and the benefits the project will have for citizens.

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (18)

The extremely hot and dry 2018 summer in central and northern Europe from a multi-faceted weather and climate perspective

Auteurs: E. Rousi; A. H. Fink; L. S. Andersen; F. N. Becker; G. Beobide-Arsuaga; G. Beobide-Arsuaga; M. Breil; M. Breil; G. Cozzi; G. Cozzi; J. Heinke; L. Jach; D. Niermann; D. Petrovic; A. Richling; J. Riebold; S. Steidl; S. Steidl; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; J. S. Tradowsky; J. S. Tradowsky; D. Coumou; D. Coumou; A. Düsterhus; F. Ellsäßer; G. Fragkoulidis; D. Gliksman; D. Gliksman; D. Handorf; K. Haustein; K. Haustein; K. Kornhuber; K. Kornhuber; K. Kornhuber; H. Kunstmann; H. Kunstmann; J. G. Pinto; K. Warrach-Sagi; E. Xoplaki; E. Xoplaki
Publié dans: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2022, ISSN 1684-9981
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2022-813

Concurrent modes of climate variability linked to spatially compounding wind and precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere

Auteurs: B. François; K. Teber; L. Brett; R. Leeding; L. Gimeno-Sotelo; L. Gimeno-Sotelo; L. Gimeno-Sotelo; D. I. V. Domeisen; D. I. V. Domeisen; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; E. Bevacqua
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, 2025, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-16-1029-2025

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Auteurs: Dirk Olonscheck; Sebastian Brune; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga; Johanna Baehr; Friederike Fröb; Lara Hellmich; Tatiana Ilyina; Christopher Kadow; Daniel Krieger; Hongmei Li; Jochem Marotzke; Étienne Plésiat; Martin Schupfner; Fabian Wachsmann; Karl-Hermann Wieners; Sebastian Milinski
Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2023, ISSN 1942-2466
Éditeur: John Wiley and Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU23-14556

Anomalously Warm European Summers Predicted More Accurately by Considering Sub‐Decadal North Atlantic Ocean Heat Accumulation

Auteurs: Lara Wallberg; Laura Suarez‐Gutierrez; Daniela Matei; Daniel Krieger; Wolfgang A. Müller
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, 2025, ISSN 1944-8007
Éditeur: AGU
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000735066

Scientific Reports

Auteurs: Batibeniz, Fulden; Seneviratne, Sonia I; Jha, Srinidhi; Ribeiro, Andreia; Suarez Gutierrez, Laura; Raible, Christoph C; Malhotra, Avni; Armstrong, Ben; Bell, Michelle L; Lavigne, Eric; Gasparrini, Antonio; Guo, Yuming; Hashizume, Masahiro; Masselot, Pierre; da Silva, Susana Pereira; Royé, Dominic; Sera, Francesco; Tong, Shilu; Urban, Aleš; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M
Publié dans: Scientific Reports, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.48620/85042

Distinct Favored Regions for Historical Record‐Setting and Future Record‐Breaking Humid Heat

Auteurs: Colin Raymond; Laura Suarez‐Gutierrez; Vikki Thompson; Karin van der Wiel
Publié dans: AGU Advances, 2025, ISSN 2576-604X
Éditeur: AGU
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000788365

Compound events in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies

Auteurs: E. Xoplaki; E. Xoplaki; F. Ellsäßer; F. Ellsäßer; J. Grieger; K. M. Nissen; J. G. Pinto; M. Augenstein; T.-C. Chen; T.-C. Chen; H. Feldmann; P. Friederichs; D. Gliksman; D. Gliksman; L. Goulier; K. Haustein; K. Haustein; J. Heinke; L. Jach; F. Knutzen; S. Kollet; J. Luterbacher; J. Luterbacher; N. Luther; S. Mohr; S. Mohr; C. Mudersbach; C. Müller; E. Rousi; F. Simon; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; S. Szemkus; S. M. Vallejo-Bernal; S. M. Vallejo-Bernal; S. M. Vallejo-Bernal; O. Vlachopoulos; F. Wolf
Publié dans: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2025, ISSN 1684-9981
Éditeur: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/NHESS-25-541-2025

Temperature variability projections remain uncertain after constraining them to best performing Large Ensembles of individual Climate Models

Auteurs: Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Nicola Maher
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 17, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-67005-Y

Nature Communications

Auteurs: Emanuele Bevacqua; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Aglaé Jézéquel; Flavio Lehner; Mathieu Vrac; Pascal Yiou; Jakob Zscheischler
Publié dans: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000608920

European compound flood-heat-flood events associated with Omega patterns cannot be easily reproduced by a fully coupled model

Auteurs: Yixuan Guo; Urs Beyerle; Emanuele Bevacqua; Jakob Zscheischler; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Magdalena Mittermeier; Zuntao Fu; Erich Fischer
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000742751

Impacts on and damage to European forests from the 2018–2022 heat and drought events

Auteurs: F. Knutzen; P. Averbeck; C. Barrasso; C. Barrasso; L. M. Bouwer; L. M. Bouwer; B. Gardiner; J. M. Grünzweig; S. Hänel; K. Haustein; K. Haustein; M. R. Johannessen; S. Kollet; M. M. Müller; J.-P. Pietikäinen; K. Pietras-Couffignal; K. Pietras-Couffignal; J. G. Pinto; D. Rechid; E. Rousi; A. Russo; A. Russo; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; S. Veit; S. Veit; J. Wendler; E. Xoplaki; D. Gliksman; D. Gliksman
Publié dans: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2025, ISSN 1684-9981
Éditeur: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000178663

Extreme heat and drought typical of an end-of-century climate could occur over Europe soon and repeatedly

Auteurs: Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Wolfgang A. Müller; Jochem Marotzke
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, Vol 4, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2023), 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000646563

Global Mapping of Concurrent Hazards and Impacts Associated With Climate Extremes Under Climate Change

Auteurs: Messori, Gabriele; Muheki, Derrick; Batibeniz, Fulden; Bevacqua, Emanuele; Suarez‐gutierrez, Laura; Thiery, Wim
Publié dans: Earth's Future, 2025, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2025EF006325

Environmental Research Letters

Auteurs: Victoria Dietz; Johanna Baehr; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Jana Sillmann; Leonard Borchert
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, 2025, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000739458

The significant influence of the Atlantic multidecadal variability to the abrupt warming in Northeast Asia in the 1990s

Auteurs: Kaiwen Zhang; Zhiyan Zuo; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Lulei Bu
Publié dans: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2024, ISSN 2397-3722
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000657095

Nature Communications

Auteurs: Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga; Laura Suarez-Gutierrez; Armineh Barkhordarian; Dirk Olonscheck; Johanna Baehr
Publié dans: Nature Communications, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000786950

Extremely warm European summers preceded by sub-decadal North Atlantic ocean heat accumulation

Auteurs: L. Wallberg; L. Wallberg; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; L. Suarez-Gutierrez; D. Matei; W. A. Müller
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000659608

Surveys in Geophysics

Auteurs: A. Romanou; G. C. Hegerl; S. I. Seneviratne; B. Abis; A. Bastos; A. Conversi; A. Landolfi; H. Kim; P. E. Lerner; J. Mekus; B. L. Otto-Bliesner; F. S. R. Pausata; I. Pinto; L. Suarez-Guiterrez
Publié dans: Surveys in Geophysics, 2024, ISSN 0169-3298
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000706726

Other (2)

Supporting scripts and code to 'Temperature variability projections remain uncertain after constraining them to best performing SMILEs' by Suarez-Gutierrez & Maher

Auteurs: Suarez-Gutierrez, L., & Maher, N.
Publié dans: Zenodo
Éditeur: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.17058694

Supplementary Data and Scripts for 'Extreme heat and drought typical of an end-of-century climate could occur soon and repeatedly over Europe', Suarez-Gutierrez et al., 2023

Auteurs: Suarez-Gutierrez, L.
Éditeur: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.10044343