Objective
Over the past 15 years, the euro area experienced two large financial crises (global financial; debt crisis), and two non-financial crises (Covid, war/energy) with spillovers to the financial system. Curiously, all these crises involved distress in markets for assets which were supposedly liquid and safe: for example, repos and MBS in 2008, and sovereign bonds in the 2010 euro-area and October 2022 UK crises. But even though liquidity and safety play a key role in theories and narrative accounts of crises, most empirical studies of crises focus on risk, creating a key gap in the literature.
My proposal will fill this gap by conducting the first systematic study of the role market liquidity and safe assets play in financial crisis events. To do this, I will collect new long-run data on i). Quantities of safe and liquid assets (produced by financials and governments), and ii). Prices of liquidity and safety (measured by bid-ask and yield spreads), for 17 advanced economies during 1870–2020.
I will use these data to better understand which assets are safe and liquid, and what role liquidity and safety play in the build-up and aftermath of systemic crisis events. To do this, I propose five projects to study
1. How quantities of safe assets evolve over the long run, and around crises.
2. How safety & liquidity vary across & within asset classes, and over time.
3. How market liquidity relates to crisis risk and real activity.
4. How liquidity and solvency stress transmit and interact at bank level during crises.
5. How changes in quantities of safe and liquid assets affect their prices.
The initial analysis will be empirical, done at macro level. It will be complemented by theory (project 1), and micro-level security/bank-level evidence (projects 2–4) to improve identification and understand the mechanisms at play.
Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.1 - European Research Council (ERC)
MAIN PROGRAMME
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Topic(s)
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants
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Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) ERC-2023-STG
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
08002 Barcelona
Spain
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.