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Into the Blue - Resolving past Arctic greenhouse climate

Project description

Studying the transformation of the Arctic Ocean

The Arctic Ocean, once blanketed in ice, is transforming fast. Warming has accelerated the decline of sea ice and the irreversible melting of Greenland’s glaciers. This ‘blue Arctic’ not only signifies a profound environmental shift, but also poses uncertain risks to global climate stability and societal well-being. Yet, our ability to predict these impacts remains hindered by gaps in Arctic geological data crucial for validating climate models. The ERC-funded i2B project is poised to revolutionise our understanding of past warm climates. Specifically, it aims to unlock critical insights into how an ice-free Arctic influences global climate dynamics. By integrating cutting-edge research across multiple disciplines, i2B seeks to provide essential data for more accurate climate projections and inform future policy decisions.

Objective

The Arctic Ocean is turning blue. Abrupt Arctic warming and amplification is driving rapid sea ice decline and irreversible deglaciation of Greenland. The already emerging, substantial consequences for the planet and society are intensifying and yet, model-based projections lack validatory consensus. To date, we cannot anticipate how a blue Arctic responds to and will amplify an increasingly warmer future climate, nor how it will impact the wider planet and society. Climate projections are inconclusive as we critically lack key Arctic geological archives that preserve the answers. This “Arctic Challenge” of global significance can only be addressed by investigating processes, consequences, and impact of past “greenhouse” (warmer than present) states. The timeliness of i2B is tied into retrieval of revolutionary, new Arctic geological archives of past warmth and key breakthroughs in climate model performance that will be integrated in a concerted framework beyond state-of-the-art.

i2B will deliver a ground-breaking, synergistic framework to answer the central question: “Why and what were the global ramifications of a “blue” (ice-free) Arctic during past warmer-than-present-climates?” This will be addressed through three connected, cross-disciplinary objectives integrating the expertise, knowledge, and skill-sets of three PIs and their different Arctic paleo-climate and modelling teams. i2B will quantify cryosphere (sea ice, land ice) change in a warmer world (O1) that will form the scientific basis for understanding the dynamics of Arctic cryosphere and ocean changes (O2), to enable quantitative assessment of the impact of Arctic change on ocean biosphere, climate extremes and society (O3) that will underpin future cryosphere-inclusive IPCC assessments. i2B will solve the “Arctic Challenge” with the synergistic multiplier of the 3 PIs` expert capabilities providing pioneering knowledge on how a blue Arctic impacts Earth’s climate during greenhouse climate states

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Keywords

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Programme(s)

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Topic(s)

Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.

Funding Scheme

Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.

HORIZON-ERC-SYG - HORIZON ERC Synergy Grants

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Call for proposal

Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.

(opens in new window) ERC-2023-SyG

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Host institution

UNIVERSITETET I TROMSOE - NORGES ARKTISKE UNIVERSITET
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 6 213 238,75
Address
HANSINE HANSENS VEG 14
9019 Tromso
Norway

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Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

€ 6 213 238,75

Beneficiaries (4)

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