Reconstructing the environmental, biological, and societal drivers of plague outbreaks in Eurasia between 1300 and 1900 CE

Información del proyecto

Synergy-Plague

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 101118880

DOI

10.3030/101118880

Fecha de la firma de la CE 6 Marzo 2024

Fecha de inicio 1 Abril 2024

Fecha de finalización 31 Marzo 2030

Financiado con arreglo a

• European Research Council (ERC)

Coste total

€ 8 381 928,00

Aportación de la UE

€ 8 381 928,00

Coordinado por

UNIVERSITETET I OSLO
Norway

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (53)

Pseudogenization of the cntQ permease confers distinct yersinopine-metal uptake selectivity in Yersinia species

Autores: Clémentine Laffont, Elizabeth Pradel, Laurent Ouerdane, Amélie Dewitte, Nicolas Oswaldo Gomez, Mathilde Tribout, Catherine Brutesco, Romé Voulhoux, Ryszard Lobinski, Florent Sebbane, Pascal Arnoux
Publicado en: BioMetals, 2026, ISSN 0966-0844
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/S10534-026-00816-8

Towards an evidence‐based and research‐driven restoration strategy for Britain's temperate rainforests

Autores: Charles Norman, Jonathan Spencer, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: PLANTS, PEOPLE, PLANET, Edición 8, 2026, ISSN 2572-2611
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/PPP3.70113

Assessment of non-stationary tree growth responses in the forest-tundra and southern taiga of central Siberia

Autores: Alexander V. Kirdyanov; Alberto Arzac; Anatoly S. Prokushkin; Dmitriy V. Ovchinnikov; Alexander I. Bondarev; Pavel P. Silkin; Tatiana Bebchuk; Jan Esper; Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Edición 360, 2025, ISSN 1873-2240
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.AGRFORMET.2024.110296

Genetic diversity suggests two rather than three larch (Larix spp.) species across Siberia

Autores: Marina A. Sheller, Ulf Büntgen, Alexander V. Kirdyanov, Jan Esper, Maria A. Tabakova, Endre György Tóth, Vladimir V. Kukarskih, Alexey I. Kolmogorov, Aleksey A. Ibe, Tatyana V. Sukhikh, Tatiana Bebchuk, Nadezhda Devi, Oksana V. Sergeeva, Viktoria V. Agapova, Kristina V. Akulinina, Alberto Arzac
Publicado en: Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, Edición 71, 2026, ISSN 1433-8319
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.PPEES.2026.125931

Boreas

Autores: Bebchuk, Tatiana; Büntgen, Ulf
Publicado en: Boreas, 2025, ISSN 0300-9483
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.17863/CAM.121612

Disruption of Drought Teleconnections Between ENSO‐Influenced Regions Around 1700 CE

Autores: Max C. A. Torbenson; David W. Stahle; Edward R. Cook; Benjamin I. Cook; Ulf Büntgen; Feng Chen; Ernesto Tejedor; James H. Stagge; Miroslav Trnka; Dorian J. Burnette; Weipeng Yue; Jan Esper
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, 2025, ISSN 1944-8007
Editor: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025GL115600

Arctic amplification causes earlier onset of seasonal tree growth in northeastern Siberia

Autores: Alexander V Kirdyanov, Alexey I Kolmogorov, Stefan Kruse, Ulrike Herzschuh, Alberto Arzac, Lyudmila A Pestryakova, Anatoly N Nikolaev, Tatiana Bebchuk, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 19, 2025, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/AD845F

China’s growing relevance in dendrochronology and paleoclimatology

Autores: Linlin Gao; Tatiana Bebchuk; Xiaohua Gou; Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: npj Climate Action, Edición 4, 2025, ISSN 2731-9814
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S44168-025-00294-7

Climate-driven changes in Mediterranean grain trade mitigated famine but introduced the Black Death to medieval Europe

Autores: Martin Bauch, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02964-0

Methodological constrains of tree-ring stable isotope chronologies

Autores: Tito Arosio, Max Torbenson, Tatiana Bebchuk, Alexander Kirdyanov, Jan Esper, Takeshi Nakatsuka, Masaki Sano, Otmar Urban, Kurt Nicolussi, Markus Leuenberger, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Quaternary Science Reviews, Edición 340, 2024, ISSN 0277-3791
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.QUASCIREV.2024.108861

The introduction and spread of plague in the Great Lakes region of East Africa, c.1700–1900: a palaeogenetic and social history

Autores: Philip Slavin; Guillem Mas Fiol
Publicado en: Social History, Edición 15, ISSN 1470-1200
Editor: Taylor & Francis Group
DOI: 10.1080/03071022.2026.2629160

Physiological meaning of bimodal tree growth-climate response patterns

Autores: Ulf Büntgen; Jan Esper
Publicado en: International Journal of Biometeorology, Edición 68, 2024, ISSN 1432-1254
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1007/S00484-024-02706-5

2023 summer warmth unparalleled over the past 2,000 years

Autores: Jan Esper; Max Torbenson; Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 631, 2024, ISSN 1476-4687
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-024-07512-Y

Integrating microclimate to understand vector development and disease patterns: challenges and lessons from plague in Madagascar’s Central Highlands

Autores: Henry Gillies Fell, Joseph Bailey, Fanohinjanaharinirina Rasoamalala, Beza Ramasindrazana, Luke Shipley, Matthew Jones, Voahangy Andrianaivoarimanana, Katharina Kreppel, Nils Christian Stenseth, Ilya M. D. Maclean, Minoarisoa Rajerison, Adam C. Algar, Steve Atkinson
Publicado en: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Edición 293, 2026, ISSN 1471-2954
Editor: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSPB.2025.2496

Pan-alpine summer temperatures since 742 CE

Autores: Jan Esper, Frederick Reinig, Max Torbenson, Edurne Martinez del Castillo, Marcel Kunz, Alberto Arzac, Marco Carrer, Feng Chen, Alper K. Kadioglu, Alexander V. Kirdyanov, Ernesto Tejedor, Mirek Trnka, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Dendrochronologia, Edición 94, 2026, ISSN 1125-7865
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.DENDRO.2025.126432

Proteins of the SubB family provide multiple mechanisms of serum resistance in <i>Yersinia pestis</i>

Autores: François Pierre, Alexandre Baillez, Amélie Dewitte, Agustin Rolandelli, Florent Sebbane
Publicado en: Emerging Microbes &amp; Infections, Edición 14, 2025, ISSN 2222-1751
Editor: Informa UK Limited
DOI: 10.1080/22221751.2025.2493926

Taxus tree-ring chronologies from southern England reveal western European hydroclimate changes over the past three centuries

Autores: Bebchuk, Tatiana; Moir, Andy K; Arosio, Tito; Kirdyanov, Alexander V; Torbenson, Max CA; Krusic, Paul J; Hindson, Toby R; Howard, Heidi; Buchwal, Agata; Norman, Charles AP; Büntgen, Ulf
Publicado en: Climate Dynamics, Edición 63, 2025, ISSN 1432-0894
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.17863/CAM.115598

Tree-Ring Chronologies from the Upper Treeline in the Russian Altai Mountains Reveal Strong and Stable Summer Temperature Signals

Autores: Alexander V. Kirdyanov, Alberto Arzac, Alina A. Kirdyanova, Tito Arosio, Dmitriy V. Ovchinnikov, Dmitry A. Ganyushkin, Paul N. Katjutin, Vladimir S. Myglan, Andrey N. Nazarov, Igor Y. Slyusarenko, Tatiana Bebchuk, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Forests, Edición 15, 2024, ISSN 1999-4907
Editor: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.17863/CAM.111120

Protocol for monitoring Yersinia pestis colonization of the proventriculus in the flea Xenopsylla cheopis using microscopy

Autores: Amélie Dewitte; Elisabeth Werkmeister; Florent Sebbane; Sébastien Bontemps-Gallo
Publicado en: STAR Protocols, Edición Volume 6, Edición 2, 2025, ISSN 2666-1667
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.XPRO.2025.103853

Proxy record selection to refine Holocene temperature reconstruction in Europe

Autores: Jan Esper, Edurne Martinez del Castillo, Manuel Chevalier, Tito Arosio, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Climate Research, Edición 94, 2025, ISSN 0936-577X
Editor: Inter-Research Science Center
DOI: 10.3354/CR01753

La peste à l’ère moderne, comprendre la transmission de la bactérie <i>Yersinia pestis</i> par les puces

Autores: Florent Sebbane, Amélie Dewitte, Alexandre Baillez
Publicado en: médecine/sciences, Edición 41, 2025, ISSN 0767-0974
Editor: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1051/MEDSCI/2025096

Highest Occurring Vascular Plants from Ladakh Provide Wood Anatomical Evidence for a Thermal Limitation of Cell Wall Lignification

Autores: Ulf Büntgen, Veronika Jandova, Jiri Dolezal
Publicado en: Plant, Cell &amp; Environment, Edición 48, 2024, ISSN 0140-7791
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/PCE.15221

Russian dilemma for global arctic science

Autores: Rees, Gareth; Büntgen, Ulf
Publicado en: Ambio, Edición 53, 2024, ISSN 1654-7209
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.17863/CAM.108574

The 2025 Blatten disaster in the Swiss Alps followed exceptional warming and highlights the vulnerability of people and heritage in glaciated landscapes

Autores: Ulf Büntgen, Clive Oppenheimer, Daniel Farinotti, Tim Nahtz, Jan Esper
Publicado en: Communications Earth &amp; Environment, Edición 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02994-8

Tree-Ring Stable Isotopes Reveal a Hydroclimate Shift in Eastern England Around 4.2 ka Ago

Autores: Tatiana Bebchuk; Otmar Urban; Tito Arosio; Alexander Kirdyanov; Ronny Friedrich; Natálie Pernicová; Josef Čáslavský; Mirek Trnka; Alis Franсis; Mark Macklin; Jan Esper; Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN 1944-8007
Editor: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024GL114313DIGITALOBJECTIDENTIFIER(DOI)

Epidemic evolutionarily stable strategies within an age-structured host population

Autores: Andreas Eilersen; Ottar N. Bjørnstad; Ruiyun Li; Sebastian J. Schreiber; Zeyuan Pei; Nils Chr. Stenseth
Publicado en: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Edición 122 (12), 2025, ISSN 1091-6490
Editor: National Academy of Sciences (NAS)
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000729774

Introducing the concepts of range‐pinning and Allee effects to explain reduced temperature sensitivity of global treeline dynamics

Autores: Ulf Büntgen, Audrey Palosse, Jiri Dolezal, Andrew Liebhold
Publicado en: Global Change Biology, Edición 30, 2024, ISSN 1354-1013
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/GCB.17288

Climate data for climate action

Autores: Ulf Büntgen, Mirek Trnka, Mike Hulme, Jan Esper
Publicado en: npj Climate Action, Edición 4, 2025, ISSN 2731-9814
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S44168-025-00221-W

Recent heatwaves as a prelude to climate extremes in the western Mediterranean region

Autores: Ernesto Tejedor; Gerardo Benito; Roberto Serrano-Notivoli; Fidel González-Rouco; Jan Esper; Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Edición 7, 2024, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41612-024-00771-6

Publisher Correction: Climate data for climate action

Autores: Ulf Büntgen; Mirek Trnka; Mike Hulme; Jan Esper
Publicado en: npj Climate Action, Edición 4, 2025, ISSN 2731-9814
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S44168-025-00223-8

Tree-ring stable isotopes from the European Alps reveal long-term summer drying over the Holocene

Autores: Tito Arosio; Markus Leuenberger; Kurt Nicolussi; Jan Esper; Paul J. Krusic; Tatiana Bebchuk; Willy Tegel; Albert Hafner; Alexander Kirdyanov; Christian Schlüchter; Frederick Reinig; Francesco Muschitiello; Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Science Advances, Edición Vol 11, Edición 14, 2025, ISSN 2375-2548
Editor: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.48620/87327

Potential and Limitations of Strontium Isotopic Fingerprinting in Wood

Autores: Ulf Büntgen, Filip Oulehle, Clive Oppenheimer, Jan Svoboda, Yulia V. Erban Kochergina, Michal Rybníček, Tomas Kolar, Martin Novák, Michael Kempf, Mirek Trnka
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 52, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025GL117556

The plague of Egypt crossing the Red Sea: The arrival and focalisation of plague in the southern Red Sea region in the 1430s

Autores: Philip Slavin
Publicado en: Journal of Global History, 2026, ISSN 1740-0228
Editor: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
DOI: 10.1017/S1740022826100539

Retracing the path of evolution: polymorphisms of <i>aspA</i> codon 363 shape the fitness of <i>Yersinia pestis</i>

Autores: Kai Song, Ruichen Lv, Leiming Shen, Yarong Wu, Xiuwei Qian, Yiming Cui, Yumeng Wei, Yanbing Li, Yanting Zhao, Wenwu Yao, Yafang Tan, Yanping Han, Yujing Bi, Zongmin Du, Florent Sebbane, Yujun Cui, Ruifu Yang, Yajun Song
Publicado en: Emerging Microbes &amp; Infections, Edición 14, 2025, ISSN 2222-1751
Editor: Informa UK Limited
DOI: 10.1080/22221751.2025.2532700

Multi-Proxy Tree-Ring Dating during the Younger Dryas

Autores: Frederick Reinig, Adam Sookdeo, Jan Esper, Kerstin Treydte, Lukas Wacker, Giulia Guidobaldi, Daniel Nievergelt, Matthias Saurer, Michael Friedrich, Gerhard Helle, Bernd Kromer, Maren Pauly, Willy Tegel, Anne Verstege, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Tree-Ring Research, Edición 81, 2025, ISSN 1536-1098
Editor: Tree-Ring Society
DOI: 10.3959/TRR2023-1

Droughts and conflicts during the late Roman period

Autores: Norman, C; Schwinden, L; Krusic, P; Rzepecki, A; Bebchuk, T; Büntgen, U
Publicado en: Climatic Change, Edición 178, 2025, ISSN 1573-1480
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.17863/CAM.117340

Warming-induced positive age trends challenge MXD detrending

Autores: null Jan Esper, Ulf Büntgen, Max.C.A. Torbenson
Publicado en: Dendrochronologia, Edición 97, 2026, ISSN 1125-7865
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.DENDRO.2026.126529

The palaeoenvironmental potential of bioarchaeological isotope data

Autores: Margaux L. C. Depaermentier; Michael Kempf; Marc Vander Linden; Kate Britton; Richard Madgwick; Ulf Büntgen; Dorothée G. Drucker; Jennifer R. Jones; Christophe Snoeck; Rhiannon E. Stevens
Publicado en: Communications Earth &amp; Environment, Edición 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02507-7

Arctic driftwood proposal for durable carbon removal

Autores: Ulf Büntgen, Clive Oppenheimer, Mirek Trnka, Michael Kempf, Ian Holman, Tito Arosio, Tatiana Bebchuk, Jan Esper
Publicado en: npj Climate Action, Edición 5, 2026, ISSN 2731-9814
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S44168-025-00327-1

The need for high-resolution paleoclimate research

Autores: Ulf Büntgen, Jan Esper
Publicado en: Dialogues on Climate Change, Edición 2, 2026, ISSN 2976-8659
Editor: SAGE Publications
DOI: 10.1177/29768659241305959

Plague in Small Mammals From an Endemic Focus of the Malagasy Central Highlands: A Longitudinal Survey With a Special Reference on Black Rats (<i>Rattus rattus</i>)

Autores: Mamionah Noro Jully Parany, Nils Christian Stenseth, Fanohinjanaharinirina Rasoamalala, Soanandrasana Rahelinirina, Soloandry Rahajandraibe, Voahangy Andrianaivoarimanana, Gauthier Dobigny, Olivier Gorgé, Eric Valade, Henry Fell, Beza Ramasindrazana, Minoarisoa Rajerison
Publicado en: Integrative Zoology, 2025, ISSN 1749-4877
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/1749-4877.12944

Tree-ring width and blue intensity chronologies of three co-existing conifer species from the Russian Altai mountains reveal different climate signals

Autores: Alberto Arzac; Alexander V. Kirdyanov; Viktoria V. Agapova; Alina A. Kirdyanova; Daniel Diaz de Quijano; Nikolay I. Bykov; Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Dendrochronologia, Edición 93, 2025, ISSN 1612-0051
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.DENDRO.2025.126382

Consideration of Abies cilicica for central European reforestation

Autores: Ulf Büntgen, Alper Kaan Kadioglu, Kasia Charcinska, Edurne Martinez del Castillo, Alexis Arizpe, Tatiana Bebchuk, Jan Esper, Mirek Trnka, Clive Oppenheimer, Nesibe Köse, Ünal Akkemik, Hüseyin Tuncay Güner
Publicado en: Forest Ecology and Management, Edición 597, 2026, ISSN 0378-1127
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.FORECO.2025.123120

The importance of distinguishing climate science from climate activism

Autores: Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: npj Climate Action, Edición 3, 2024, ISSN 2731-9814
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S44168-024-00126-0

Warming-induced shift in the climate response of Scotland’s temperate rainforests

Autores: Charles Norman, Frederick Märker, Alexis Arizpe, Alper Kaan Kadioglu, Zulfiyor Bakhtiyorov, Tatiana Bebchuk, Rob Wilson, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Forest Ecology and Management, Edición 615, 2026, ISSN 0378-1127
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.FORECO.2026.123840

Response to Foxhall Forbes et al. (2026) “Drought, conflict and the use of historical data and methodologies in interdisciplinary paleoclimatic research”

Autores: Charles Norman, Lothar Schwinden, Paul Krusic, Andreas Rzepecki, Tatiana Bebchuk, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Climatic Change, Edición 179, 2026, ISSN 0165-0009
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/S10584-026-04113-8

Author Correction: 2023 summer warmth unparalleled over the past 2,000 years

Autores: Jan Esper, Max Torbenson, Ulf Büntgen
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 641, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-09095-8

Plasma albumin contributes to early Yersinia pestis survival at the onset of flea infection

Autores: Amélie Dewitte; Florent Sebbane; Sébastien Bontemps-Gallo
Publicado en: PLOS Pathogens, 2026, ISSN 1553-7374
Editor: PLOS
DOI: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PPAT.1014022

Covariance and climate signals among state-of-the-art tree-ring proxies

Autores: Römer, Philipp; Wieland, Anna; Torbenson, Max C.A.; Reinig, Frederick; Ziaco, Emanuele; Frigo, Davide; Greule, Markus; Urban, Otmar; Čáslavský, Josef; Pernicová, Natálie; Trnka, Miroslav; Carrer, Marco; Büntgen, Ulf; Keppler, Frank; Esper, Jan
Publicado en: Quaternary Science Reviews, 2025, ISSN 1873-457X
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.QUASCIREV.2025.109270

Volcanoes, Climate, and Society

Autores: Büntgen, Ulf; Cosmo, Nicola; Esper, Jan; Frachetti, Michael; Khalidi, Lamya; Mauelshagen, Franz; Rohland, Eleonora; Oppenheimer, Clive
Publicado en: Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 2025, ISSN 1545-4495
Editor: Annual Reviews
DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-EARTH-032524-013254

An absolutely dated mid-Holocene English yew chronology offers new opportunities for archaeological and palaeoenvironmental research

Autores: Bebchuk, Tatiana; Davies, Darren; Loader, Neil J; Urban, Otmar; Arosio, Tito; Wacker, Lukas; Pernicová, Natálie; Čáslavský, Josef; Trnka, Miroslav; Kirdyanov, Alexander V; Brown, David; Esper, Jan; Oppenheimer, Clive; Büntgen, Ulf
Publicado en: The Holocene, 2026, ISSN 1477-0911
Editor: SAGE Publications
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000795884

Exploring temperature-dependent transcriptomic adaptations in Yersinia pestis using direct cDNA sequencing by Oxford Nanopore Technologies

Autores: Brandon Robin, Alexandre Baillez, Servane Le Guillouzer, Cécile Lecoeur, Florent Sebbane, Sébastien Bontemps-Gallo
Publicado en: Scientific Reports, Edición 15, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41598-025-05662-1

Commentary on Seersholm Et al.: <i>Yersinia pestis</i> Infection Is Not Synonymous With Deadly Plague in Neolithic Scandinavia

Autores: Hamadou Oumarou Hama, Michel Drancourt, Philip Slavin, Florent Sebbane
Publicado en: American Journal of Biological Anthropology, Edición 189, 2026, ISSN 2692-7691
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/AJPA.70200