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Investigating the Interplay of Climate Change and Seafood Trade on Food Security

Project description

Tackling seafood security in a changing climate

In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), food security is vital for the UN’s goal to end all forms of hunger and malnutrition by 2030. However, climate change threatens the region’s cropping systems, which face heightened risks from extreme weather, pests, and diseases. Most agricultural risk analyses in SSA overlook pest impacts due to inadequate regional crop models. With the support of the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the IRACS project will address these questions by developing a pest model integrated with an enhanced crop model to predict crop failure risks. Using future scenario datasets, IRACS will assess potential yield loss and economic impacts through the GLOBIOM model. This initiative aims to inform policies by linking biophysical and economic models.

Objective

Seafood is a critical component of human diets and the most widely traded food group. Marine fish and invertebrates are increasingly affected by climate change. Global seafood trade could buffer the impacts of climate change by allowing for increased imports. However, global seafood trade could also double the burden for vulnerable countries by decreasing import access. Especially countries that rely on seafood for food security are potentially at risk. This project aims to investigate which nations experience worse or alleviated nutrient shortages due to global seafood trade when the supply of these foods is impacted by climate change. Moreover, this action aims to investigate local mediating factors that, together with markets, may shape food security outcomes. Such local mediating factors include governance and available pathways for switching between markets and food sources. To achieve these aims, this action will use state-of-the-art statistical methods to analyse global panel data spanning two decades of trade data in marine species and more than 3000 detailed household surveys from more than 100 villages in Indonesia. A systematic review and meta-analysis will complement by providing an overview of the current evidence base regarding the impact of global seafood trade on nutrition. The different resolutions of these large data sets allow this action to tackle this important topic from various scales, ranging from local to global. This action will contribute towards enhanced social-ecological integration, the study of food security and sustainability in a globalised world, and facilitate the interdisciplinary career development of a researcher moving from a Natural Sciences Department (University of Iceland) to a Department of Environmental Social Sciences (ENR, WUR, Netherlands). This action will advance cross-sectoral (academic and non-academic) knowledge exchange on the important topic of nutrition from seafood in a rapidly changing world.

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Coordinator

WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY
Net EU contribution
€ 187 624,32
Address
DROEVENDAALSESTEEG 4
6708 PB Wageningen
Netherlands

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Region
Oost-Nederland Gelderland Veluwe
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
No data