The Impacts of Climate Protection on Agricultural Productivity and Food Security

Descripción del proyecto

Neutralidad climática, productividad agrícola y seguridad alimentaria

La Unión Europea se enfrenta a un doble reto: lograr la neutralidad climática en 2050 y garantizar la seguridad alimentaria en un contexto de elevadas emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero procedentes de la agricultura. Las políticas actuales, encaminadas a impulsar la producción de alimentos para combatir el hambre, contribuyen significativamente a las emisiones mundiales. Este dilema prevé un aumento de las emisiones directas de carbono procedentes de la agricultura, lo cual agravará las tensiones medioambientales. Para abordar estos problemas interrelacionados, el equipo del proyecto CliAgroSec se propone trabajar para encontrar una solución. Con el apoyo de las acciones Marie Skłodowska-Curie, creará un marco que concilie la productividad agrícola con los objetivos de protección del clima, sorteando las complejidades de la formulación de políticas a escala mundial. Mediante la integración de modelos económicos y medioambientales, el equipo del proyecto pretende equilibrar la reducción de emisiones con la producción sostenible de alimentos y un acceso equitativo.

Objetivo

"The European Union's goal of achieving climate neutrality by 2050 is crucial for transitioning to a low-carbon economy. However, ambitious reductions in greenhouse gas emissions may lead to unintended consequences, notably from current EU policies. On one hand, increasing food production for Zero Hunger (SDG 2) can escalate greenhouse gas emissions, responsible for about 34% of total anthropogenic emissions. Predictably, direct carbon emissions from agriculture will rise in the coming decade. Yet, mitigating these emissions, especially in the short term, may reduce production and raise food prices, potentially limiting access, especially in food-insecure regions. This could lead to increased poverty and stunting. Balancing emissions reduction with agricultural productivity and global food security is a critical challenge.
To avoid unintended negative consequences and optimize climate protection policy benefits, interactions between different objectives must be considered in policy formulation. The CliAgroSec project aims to create a framework exploring synergies between agricultural productivity, food security, and climate protection objectives, while acknowledging trade-offs in multi-objective policy development. This involves crafting comprehensive ""sustainable policies"" encompassing environmental, economic, and social dimensions.
The project has three specific objectives:
Elaborate on potential synergies and trade-offs between climate protection policies, agricultural productivity, and food security. Propose a theoretical framework to identify negative externalities of climate protection policies within global climate agreements.
Develop a comprehensive integrated empirical model, combining a global Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model with an agri-environmental model. Assess the effectiveness of climate protection policies across countries and scales, capturing the intricate dynamics of agricultural systems and their environmental implications."