PAST TO FUTURE: TOWARDS FULLY PALEO-INFORMED FUTURE CLIMATE PROJECTIONS

Project Information

P2F

Grant agreement ID: 101184070

DOI

10.3030/101184070

EC signature date 21 October 2024

Start date 1 March 2025

End date 28 February 2029

Funded under

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Total cost

No data

EU contribution

€ 15 437 451,50

Coordinated by

UNIVERSITEIT UTRECHT
Netherlands

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (18)

Evolution of Maud Rise Polynya during the last 250 years – a multiproxy ice core reconstruction from coastal Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica

Author(s): Rahul Dey, Chavarukonam M. Laluraj, Kenichi Matsuoka, Ashish Paiguinkar, Bhikaji L. Redkar, Meloth Thamban
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 20, 2026, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/TC-20-4117-2026

High resolution continuous flow analysis impurity data from the Mount Brown South ice core, East Antarctica

Author(s): Margaret Harlan, Helle Astrid Kjær, Aylin de Campo, Anders Svensson, Thomas Blunier, Vasileios Gkinis, Sarah Jackson, Christopher Plummer, Tessa Vance
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 17, 2026, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/ESSD-17-6255-2025

Bipolar volcanic ice-core synchronization of the entire last glacial period

Author(s): Anders Svensson, Guido Vettoretti, Jia-mei Lin, Giulia Sinnl, Dorthe Dahl-Jensen, Jørgen Peder Steffensen, Sune Olander Rasmussen, Bo Vinther, Christine Hvidberg, Helle Astrid Kjær, Vasileios Gkinis, Eliza Cook, Johannes Lohmann, Jonathan Ortved Melcher, Sune Halkjær, Sepp Kipfstuhl, Frank Wilhelms, Florian Adolphi, Hubertus Fischer, Matthias Bigler, Michael Sigl, Amaelle Landais, Marie Bouchet, Anna Klüssendorf, Frédéric Parrenin, Robert Mulvaney, Eric Wolff, Andrea Burke, Helen Innes, Mirko Severi, Christo Buizert, Joseph R. McConnell, Nathan Chellman, Sophia Wensman, Jürg Beer, Ikumi Oyabu, Raimund Muscheler
Published in: Quaternary Science Reviews, Issue 375, 2026, ISSN 0277-3791
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.QUASCIREV.2025.109755

Disconnection of the late Pliocene Agulhas Leakage from Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Author(s): Suning Hou, Alejandra Cartagena-Sierra, Ning Tan, Carolien M. H. van der Weijst, Malte Stockhausen, Fenghao Liu, Melissa A. Berke, Isla S. Castañeda, Aidan Starr, Francien Peterse, Francesca Sangiorgi, Anna S. von der Heydt, Appy Sluijs, Peter K. Bijl
Published in: Nature Geoscience, 2026, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41561-026-02055-5

An Arctic Sea Ice Energy Budget for the Last Interglacial

Author(s): M. Pollock, R. Diamond, H. Heorton, L. C. Sime, D. Schroeder, C. Brierley
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 53, 2026, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025GL120781

Inconclusive early warning signals for Dansgaard-Oeschger events across Greenland ice cores

Author(s): Clara Hummel, Niklas Boers, Martin Rypdal
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 16, 2026, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-16-2035-2025

High Resolution Arctic Iodine Variability Since the Last Glacial Termination

Author(s): Delia Segato, Andrea Spolaor, Juan Pablo Corella, Carlos A. Cuevas, François Burgay, Rafael P. Fernandez, Clara Turetta, Warren Cairns, Helle Astrid Kjær, Azzurra Spagnesi, Khanghyun Lee, Tobias Erhardt, Camilla M. Jensen, Chantal Zeppenfeld, Carlo Barbante, Alfonso Saiz‐Lopez
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 130, 2026, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025JD044552

Cryptotephra in the East Antarctic Mount Brown South ice core

Author(s): Margaret M. Harlan, Jodi Fox, Helle Astrid Kjær, Tessa R. Vance, Anders Svensson, Eliza Cook
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue 22, 2026, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/CP-22-1057-2026

Major sea level fall during the Pliocene M2 glaciation

Author(s): Zifei Yang, Caroline H. Lear, Stephen Barker, Jonathan Elsey, Edward Gasson, Yair Rosenthal, Sophie M. Slater, Amy Thomas-Sparkes
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-62446-X

Global stability of the Atlantic overturning circulation: edge state, long transients and boundary crisis under CO2 forcing

Author(s): Reyk Börner, Oliver Mehling, Jost von Hardenberg, Valerio Lucarini
Published in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Issue 384, 2026, ISSN 1364-503X
Publisher: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSTA.2025.0087

A sea ice free Arctic: CMIP7 Assessment Fast Track <i>abrupt-127k</i> experimental protocol and motivation

Author(s): Louise C. Sime, Rachel Diamond, Christian Stepanek, Chris Brierley, David Schroeder, Masa Kageyama, Matthew Pollock, Irene Malmierca-Vallet, Ed Blockley, Alex West, Danny Feltham, Jeff Ridley, Pascale Braconnot, Charles J. R. Williams, Xiaoxu Shi, Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, Sophia I. Macarewich, Silvana Ramos Buarque, Qiong Zhang, Allegra LeGrande, Weipeng Zheng, Dabang Jiang, Polina Morozova, Chuncheng Guo, Zhongshi Zhang, Nicholas Yeung, Laurie Menviel, Sandeep Narayanasetti, Masakazu Yoshimori, Olivia Reeves, Anni Zhao
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 19, 2026, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-19-5881-2026

A Global Speleothem‐Based Assessment of Spontaneous Dansgaard–Oeschger Type Oscillations in Two Isotope‐Enabled General Circulation Models

Author(s): John Slattery, Louise C. Sime, Kira Rehfeld, Nils Weitzel, Irene Malmierca‐Vallet, Xu Zhang, Paul J. Valdes, Francesco Muschitiello
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 52, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025GL114906

DeepMIP-Eocene-p2: Experimental design for Phase 2 of the early Eocene component of the CMIP7/PMIP7 Deep-time Model Intercomparison Project (DeepMIP-Eocene)

Author(s): Daniel J. Lunt, Nicky M. Wright, Bram Vaes, Ulrich Salzmann, James W. B. Rae, Thomas Hickler, David K. Hutchinson, Julia Brugger, Jiang Zhu, Sebastian Steinig, A. Nele Meckler, Gordon N. Inglis, David Evans, Agatha M. de Boer, Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, Natalie Burls, Yurui Zhang, Appy Sluijs, Tammo Reichgelt, Igor Niezgodzki, Katrin Meissner, Jean-Baptiste Ladant, Fanni D. Kelemen, Matthew Huber, David R. Greenwood, Mattias Green, Flavia Boscolo-Galazzo, Manuel Tobias Blau, Michiel Baatsen
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 19, 2026, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-19-6143-2026

A model intercomparison of radiocarbon-based marine reservoir ages during the last 55 kyr including abrupt changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Author(s): Peter Köhler, Laurie Menviel, Frerk Pöppelmeier, Timothy J. Heaton, Edouard Bard, Luke C. Skinner
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue 22, 2026, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/CP-22-729-2026

Mercury accumulation over the Holocene revealed from a Greenlandic ice core

Author(s): Zhiyuan Gao, Richard Oliveira, Aryeh Feinberg, Delia Segato, Alfonso Saiz-Lopez, Debbie Armstrong, Andrea Spolaor, Helle Astrid Kjær, Jørgen Peder Steffensen, Carlo Barbante, Dorthe Dahl-Jensen, Feiyue Wang
Published in: Science Advances, Issue 12, 2026, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCIADV.AEA0517

A general framework for linking free and forced fluctuations via Koopmanism

Author(s): Valerio Lucarini, Manuel Santos Gutiérrez, John Moroney, Niccolò Zagli
Published in: Chaos, Solitons &amp; Fractals, Issue 202, 2026, ISSN 0960-0779
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.CHAOS.2025.117540

Nature Communications

Author(s): Yang, Zifei; Lear, Caroline; Barker, Stephen; Elsey, Jonathan; Slater, Sophie; Gasson, Edward; Rosenthal, Yair; Thomas-Sparkes, Amy
Published in: Nature Communications, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature)
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-62446-X

H11 meltwater and standard 127 ka Last Interglacial simulations suggest more modest peak temperatures for both Greenland and Antarctica: a multi-model study of water isotopes

Author(s): Louise C. Sime, Rahul Sivankutty, Irene Malmierca-Vallet, Sentia Goursaud Oger, Allegra N. LeGrande, Erin L. McClymont, Agatha de Boer, Alexandre Cauquoin, Martin Werner
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue 21, 2025, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/CP-21-1725-2025

Other (1)

Introduction to Focus Issue: Nonautonomous dynamical systems: Theory, methods, and applications

Author(s): Peter Ashwin, Ulrike Feudel, Michael Ghil, Klaus Lehnertz, Juan-Pablo Ortega, Martin Rasmussen
Published in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Issue 36, 2026, ISSN 1054-1500
Publisher: AIP Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0324359