PAST TO FUTURE: TOWARDS FULLY PALEO-INFORMED FUTURE CLIMATE PROJECTIONS

Informazioni relative al progetto

P2F

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 101184070

DOI

10.3030/101184070

Data della firma CE 21 Ottobre 2024

Data di avvio 1 Marzo 2025

Data di completamento 28 Febbraio 2029

Finanziato da

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Costo totale

Nessun dato

Contributo UE

€ 15 437 451,50

Coordinato da

UNIVERSITEIT UTRECHT
Netherlands

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (18)

Evolution of Maud Rise Polynya during the last 250 years – a multiproxy ice core reconstruction from coastal Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica

Autori: Rahul Dey, Chavarukonam M. Laluraj, Kenichi Matsuoka, Ashish Paiguinkar, Bhikaji L. Redkar, Meloth Thamban
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 20, 2026, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/TC-20-4117-2026

High resolution continuous flow analysis impurity data from the Mount Brown South ice core, East Antarctica

Autori: Margaret Harlan, Helle Astrid Kjær, Aylin de Campo, Anders Svensson, Thomas Blunier, Vasileios Gkinis, Sarah Jackson, Christopher Plummer, Tessa Vance
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Numero 17, 2026, ISSN 1866-3516
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/ESSD-17-6255-2025

Bipolar volcanic ice-core synchronization of the entire last glacial period

Autori: Anders Svensson, Guido Vettoretti, Jia-mei Lin, Giulia Sinnl, Dorthe Dahl-Jensen, Jørgen Peder Steffensen, Sune Olander Rasmussen, Bo Vinther, Christine Hvidberg, Helle Astrid Kjær, Vasileios Gkinis, Eliza Cook, Johannes Lohmann, Jonathan Ortved Melcher, Sune Halkjær, Sepp Kipfstuhl, Frank Wilhelms, Florian Adolphi, Hubertus Fischer, Matthias Bigler, Michael Sigl, Amaelle Landais, Marie Bouchet, Anna Klüssendorf, Frédéric Parrenin, Robert Mulvaney, Eric Wolff, Andrea Burke, Helen Innes, Mirko Severi, Christo Buizert, Joseph R. McConnell, Nathan Chellman, Sophia Wensman, Jürg Beer, Ikumi Oyabu, Raimund Muscheler
Pubblicato in: Quaternary Science Reviews, Numero 375, 2026, ISSN 0277-3791
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.QUASCIREV.2025.109755

Disconnection of the late Pliocene Agulhas Leakage from Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Autori: Suning Hou, Alejandra Cartagena-Sierra, Ning Tan, Carolien M. H. van der Weijst, Malte Stockhausen, Fenghao Liu, Melissa A. Berke, Isla S. Castañeda, Aidan Starr, Francien Peterse, Francesca Sangiorgi, Anna S. von der Heydt, Appy Sluijs, Peter K. Bijl
Pubblicato in: Nature Geoscience, 2026, ISSN 1752-0894
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41561-026-02055-5

An Arctic Sea Ice Energy Budget for the Last Interglacial

Autori: M. Pollock, R. Diamond, H. Heorton, L. C. Sime, D. Schroeder, C. Brierley
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 53, 2026, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025GL120781

Inconclusive early warning signals for Dansgaard-Oeschger events across Greenland ice cores

Autori: Clara Hummel, Niklas Boers, Martin Rypdal
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 16, 2026, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-16-2035-2025

High Resolution Arctic Iodine Variability Since the Last Glacial Termination

Autori: Delia Segato, Andrea Spolaor, Juan Pablo Corella, Carlos A. Cuevas, François Burgay, Rafael P. Fernandez, Clara Turetta, Warren Cairns, Helle Astrid Kjær, Azzurra Spagnesi, Khanghyun Lee, Tobias Erhardt, Camilla M. Jensen, Chantal Zeppenfeld, Carlo Barbante, Alfonso Saiz‐Lopez
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Numero 130, 2026, ISSN 2169-897X
Editore: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025JD044552

Cryptotephra in the East Antarctic Mount Brown South ice core

Autori: Margaret M. Harlan, Jodi Fox, Helle Astrid Kjær, Tessa R. Vance, Anders Svensson, Eliza Cook
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past, Numero 22, 2026, ISSN 1814-9332
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/CP-22-1057-2026

Major sea level fall during the Pliocene M2 glaciation

Autori: Zifei Yang, Caroline H. Lear, Stephen Barker, Jonathan Elsey, Edward Gasson, Yair Rosenthal, Sophie M. Slater, Amy Thomas-Sparkes
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-62446-X

Global stability of the Atlantic overturning circulation: edge state, long transients and boundary crisis under CO2 forcing

Autori: Reyk Börner, Oliver Mehling, Jost von Hardenberg, Valerio Lucarini
Pubblicato in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Numero 384, 2026, ISSN 1364-503X
Editore: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSTA.2025.0087

A sea ice free Arctic: CMIP7 Assessment Fast Track <i>abrupt-127k</i> experimental protocol and motivation

Autori: Louise C. Sime, Rachel Diamond, Christian Stepanek, Chris Brierley, David Schroeder, Masa Kageyama, Matthew Pollock, Irene Malmierca-Vallet, Ed Blockley, Alex West, Danny Feltham, Jeff Ridley, Pascale Braconnot, Charles J. R. Williams, Xiaoxu Shi, Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, Sophia I. Macarewich, Silvana Ramos Buarque, Qiong Zhang, Allegra LeGrande, Weipeng Zheng, Dabang Jiang, Polina Morozova, Chuncheng Guo, Zhongshi Zhang, Nicholas Yeung, Laurie Menviel, Sandeep Narayanasetti, Masakazu Yoshimori, Olivia Reeves, Anni Zhao
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 19, 2026, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-19-5881-2026

A Global Speleothem‐Based Assessment of Spontaneous Dansgaard–Oeschger Type Oscillations in Two Isotope‐Enabled General Circulation Models

Autori: John Slattery, Louise C. Sime, Kira Rehfeld, Nils Weitzel, Irene Malmierca‐Vallet, Xu Zhang, Paul J. Valdes, Francesco Muschitiello
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 52, 2025, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025GL114906

DeepMIP-Eocene-p2: Experimental design for Phase 2 of the early Eocene component of the CMIP7/PMIP7 Deep-time Model Intercomparison Project (DeepMIP-Eocene)

Autori: Daniel J. Lunt, Nicky M. Wright, Bram Vaes, Ulrich Salzmann, James W. B. Rae, Thomas Hickler, David K. Hutchinson, Julia Brugger, Jiang Zhu, Sebastian Steinig, A. Nele Meckler, Gordon N. Inglis, David Evans, Agatha M. de Boer, Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, Natalie Burls, Yurui Zhang, Appy Sluijs, Tammo Reichgelt, Igor Niezgodzki, Katrin Meissner, Jean-Baptiste Ladant, Fanni D. Kelemen, Matthew Huber, David R. Greenwood, Mattias Green, Flavia Boscolo-Galazzo, Manuel Tobias Blau, Michiel Baatsen
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 19, 2026, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-19-6143-2026

A model intercomparison of radiocarbon-based marine reservoir ages during the last 55 kyr including abrupt changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Autori: Peter Köhler, Laurie Menviel, Frerk Pöppelmeier, Timothy J. Heaton, Edouard Bard, Luke C. Skinner
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past, Numero 22, 2026, ISSN 1814-9332
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/CP-22-729-2026

Mercury accumulation over the Holocene revealed from a Greenlandic ice core

Autori: Zhiyuan Gao, Richard Oliveira, Aryeh Feinberg, Delia Segato, Alfonso Saiz-Lopez, Debbie Armstrong, Andrea Spolaor, Helle Astrid Kjær, Jørgen Peder Steffensen, Carlo Barbante, Dorthe Dahl-Jensen, Feiyue Wang
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Numero 12, 2026, ISSN 2375-2548
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCIADV.AEA0517

A general framework for linking free and forced fluctuations via Koopmanism

Autori: Valerio Lucarini, Manuel Santos Gutiérrez, John Moroney, Niccolò Zagli
Pubblicato in: Chaos, Solitons &amp; Fractals, Numero 202, 2026, ISSN 0960-0779
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.CHAOS.2025.117540

Nature Communications

Autori: Yang, Zifei; Lear, Caroline; Barker, Stephen; Elsey, Jonathan; Slater, Sophie; Gasson, Edward; Rosenthal, Yair; Thomas-Sparkes, Amy
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Portfolio (Springer Nature)
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-62446-X

H11 meltwater and standard 127 ka Last Interglacial simulations suggest more modest peak temperatures for both Greenland and Antarctica: a multi-model study of water isotopes

Autori: Louise C. Sime, Rahul Sivankutty, Irene Malmierca-Vallet, Sentia Goursaud Oger, Allegra N. LeGrande, Erin L. McClymont, Agatha de Boer, Alexandre Cauquoin, Martin Werner
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past, Numero 21, 2025, ISSN 1814-9332
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/CP-21-1725-2025

Other (1)

Introduction to Focus Issue: Nonautonomous dynamical systems: Theory, methods, and applications

Autori: Peter Ashwin, Ulrike Feudel, Michael Ghil, Klaus Lehnertz, Juan-Pablo Ortega, Martin Rasmussen
Pubblicato in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Numero 36, 2026, ISSN 1054-1500
Editore: AIP Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0324359