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A Metabolic Theory of Microbial Ecology

Project description

Toward a predictive science of microbiomes

Microbial communities are complex ecosystems. Studying them is not easy because the models available are often too simplistic. Tools like the Lotka-Volterra equations cannot fully capture the metabolic interactions that shape these systems. A deeper, more accurate theory could transform both ecology and microbiology. Understanding these dynamics is key to predicting microbial behaviour. In this context, the ERC-funded MetaMicro project aims to build a new theory of microbial ecology grounded in metabolism. Using tools from statistical mechanics and experiments with gut microbiota, it will explore what drives community composition, species success, and the role of host environments. The goal is to make microbiome science predictive and to guide targeted manipulation of microbial ecosystems.

Objective

Theoretical ecology has genuine potential to revolutionise microbiology, and vice versa. However, current models, such as the Lotka-Volterra equations, are typically too simplistic to apply and test rigorously. Critically, these models fail to capture microbial metabolism, which my lab and others have found central to predicting the ecology of diverse communities. My goal, therefore, is to develop a new theory of microbial ecology, rooted in metabolism, and to rigorously test it. We will capture nutrient competition, cross-feeding, interference competition and phage, and build our framework using methods from statistical mechanics. Throughout, we will experimentally test our theory using the gut microbiota as a model system. We will address three fundamental questions: 1: What determines the composition and stability of communities? Theory will be parameterised with large-scale culturing on defined media, metabolomics and whole-genome metabolic models. We will empirically test our ability to predict composition and ecological stability, and to understand the diversity-stability relationship. 2: What determines ecological success? We will study what makes a strain successful within a community, incorporating metabolism, bacterial warfare, and phage predation. 3: How does the host environment shape microbial ecology? We will employ agent-based simulations to capture spatial structure and test them with a new in-vitro organoid model of the human gut mucosa and our new in-vivo imaging pipeline for mouse microbiomes. Our plans have risk because ecological systems are complex and hard to understand. However, our work promises to deliver a step-change in both ecology and microbiology by making the study of microbial communities a predictive science, where one can understand ahead-of-time how particular sets of species will behave as a system. Furthermore, we will help establish the ecological principles needed to rationally manipulate our own microbiomes.

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Call for proposal

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(opens in new window) ERC-2024-ADG

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Host institution

THE CHANCELLOR, MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD
Net EU contribution

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€ 2 757 847,00
Address
WELLINGTON SQUARE UNIVERSITY OFFICES
OX1 2JD Oxford
United Kingdom

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Region
South East (England) Berkshire, Buckinghamshire and Oxfordshire Oxfordshire
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost

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Beneficiaries (1)

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