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The OrigINs of FINancial FragilITY

Project description

A closer look at deregulation processes and bank runs

Banking crises often lead to economic declines and are usually triggered by depositor runs following deregulation. The 2023 US turmoil led to the failure of three mid-sized banks. The ERC-funded INFINITY project aims to enhance our understanding of bank runs, deregulation processes, and the effectiveness of supervisory measures. It will develop a framework to explore why banks offer demandable debt despite the associated risks. The project will provide insights into the role of capital in financial stability and the transmission of monetary policy. Additionally, it will study how banks influence regulation, particularly under the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act, and evaluate the impact of supervisory oversight on financial stability.

Objective

Banking crises are recurrent phenomena. They lead to large declines in economic activity and share two features: i) they are often
triggered by runs, i.e. sudden withdrawals by depositors; and ii) they follow episodes of deregulation and/or lax supervision.
The 2023 banking turmoil in the U.S. is no exception. After the relaxation of prudential rules in 2018, three midsized banks faced
distress as a result of runs, leading to three of the largest failures in history. Motivated by these events, the proposal seeks to enhance
our understanding of the occurrence of runs, the process leading to deregulation and the effectiveness of supervision. It is organized
in three projects, one theoretical [T] and two empirical [E].
1) Runs in modern banking [T]. The project builds a new framework to study why banks offer demandable debt, even if it creates run
risk. Based on some stylized facts, it departs from the standard assumptions of competitive deposit market, risk averse investors and
fully leveraged banks. The results will advance our knowledge on the role of capital for financial fragility, monetary policy
transmission and central bank credibility.
2) The political economy of banking deregulation [E]. The link between crises and deregulation prompts the question of whether
banks influence regulation. The project studies this issue in the context of the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer
Protection Act (EGRRCPA). Its goal is to better understand banks’ influence on politicians and the channels through which this
influence is exerted.
3) Supervision with style: The impact of supervisors on bank behavior [E]. An important question is the extent to which the
implementation of banking regulation through supervisory oversight has a role per se in fostering financial stability. Exploiting a
unique and novel dataset, the project investigates whether and how supervisory intensity and individual supervisors’ characteristics
matter for the effectiveness of supervision.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) ERC-2024-ADG

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Host institution

UNIVERSITA COMMERCIALE LUIGI BOCCONI
Net EU contribution
€ 2 057 919,00
Address
VIA SARFATTI 25
20136 Milano
Italy
Region
Nord-Ovest Lombardia Milano
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
No data

Beneficiaries (1)