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Social Tipping Points in the Food System for Freshwater Sustainability

Project description

Social tipping points to tackle the freshwater crisis

The increasing global demand for agricultural products is straining water resources and exacerbating groundwater depletion. Agricultural land conversion and rising irrigation needs disrupt atmospheric moisture recycling, essential for climate regulation. The ERC-funded TIP-FRESH project aims to tackle the freshwater crisis in the global food system using the concept of social tipping points. It seeks to promote less water-intensive diets that are emerging in niche markets. The project will create an integrated framework that combines disciplines, using mathematical tools to analyse dietary patterns and historical tipping dynamics. Hydrological modelling will assess the freshwater impacts of diets, especially those linked to livestock-driven deforestation. Additionally, a system dynamics model will support the transition to sustainable diets.

Objective

The increasing global demand for farmland products is placing unprecedented pressure on the global agricultural system and its water resources. Landscape conversion for agriculture (of which 75% is used for livestock) and increasing irrigation demand (accounting 70% of global water withdrawals) are exacerbating water stress and groundwater depletion, while altering atmospheric moisture recycling (i.e. the process of water evaporating from land, flowing through the atmosphere, and falling out again as precipitation over land), which is vital for regulating the climate and the Earth’s system stability.
To accelerate the food system transition toward sustainable diets, TIP-FRESH will pioneer a groundbreaking approach to reversing the freshwater crisis through social tipping points in the global food system. The concept of Social Tipping Points that this project exploits offers an opportunity to escape the current dominant food regime and spread the adoption of less water-intensive diets that have already been adopted in niches. Individual and collective dietary shifts can trigger cascading impacts across international trade networks and production systems, ultimately reshaping the way freshwater is consumed and preserved.
By leveraging the concept of social tipping points, TIP-FRESH project will develop a novel framework integrating multidisciplinary approaches: mathematical tools will be employed to analyse dietary patterns and diagnose how tipping dynamics have manifested over past decades; hydrological modelling will provide a deeper understanding on the diets’ freshwater impacts by newly quantifying the hydrological repercussions of livestock-driven deforestation; and system dynamic model describing behavioural change will pave the way to sustainable diets and their potential to spread from niche behaviours to the dominant food regime through social networks.

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Topic(s)

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HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

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Call for proposal

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(opens in new window) ERC-2025-STG

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Host institution

POLITECNICO DI TORINO
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 1 470 641,00
Address
CORSO DUCA DEGLI ABRUZZI 24
10129 Torino
Italy

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Region
Nord-Ovest Piemonte Torino
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost

The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.

€ 1 470 641,00

Beneficiaries (1)

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