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Past hurricane activity reconstructed using cave deposits: Have humans increased storm risk?

Ziel

The proposed research would utilise various geochemical proxies (oxygen, carbon, and trace elements) in cave calcite deposits (stalagmites) to develop extraordinarily high-resolution North Atlantic hurricane activity records for the past five hundred years, extending existing historical datasets by hundreds of years. This new stalagmite record would be the first high resolution record to extend beyond 1850, thus permit more statistically robust comparisons of hurricane activity between pre- and post-anthropogenic greenhouse gas climatic states, and help to constrain any natural cyclicities inherent in North Atlantic hurricane activity. Additionally, the three study sites were chosen to test the hypothesis that variations in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index may influence hurricane track direction. The records will also be used to reconstruct El Nino-Southern Oscillation variability back through time, something that on its own would be an important result. The research would help evaluate the risk of stronger/more frequent future hurricanes associated with global climate change by allowing more rigorous testing of currently conflicting climate models.

Aufforderung zur Vorschlagseinreichung

ERC-2009-StG
Andere Projekte für diesen Aufruf anzeigen

Gastgebende Einrichtung

UNIVERSITY OF DURHAM
Adresse
Stockton Road The Palatine Centre
DH1 3LE Durham
United Kingdom

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Aktivitätstyp
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Kontakt Verwaltung
Wendy Harle (Ms.)
Hauptforscher
James Baldini (Dr.)
EU-Beitrag
€ 1 200 219,40

Begünstigte (4)

UNIVERSITY OF DURHAM
United Kingdom
EU-Beitrag
€ 1 200 219,40
Adresse
Stockton Road The Palatine Centre
DH1 3LE Durham

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Aktivitätstyp
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Kontakt Verwaltung
Wendy Harle (Ms.)
Hauptforscher
James Baldini (Dr.)
UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL
United Kingdom
EU-Beitrag
€ 36 960
Adresse
Beacon House Queens Road
BS8 1QU Bristol

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Aktivitätstyp
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Kontakt Verwaltung
Audrey Michael (Mrs.)
Skidmore College
Vereinigte Staaten
EU-Beitrag
€ 38 633,62
Adresse
North Broadway 815
12866-1632 Saratoga Springs

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Aktivitätstyp
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Kontakt Verwaltung
Michael D. Thomas (Mr.)
EIDGENOESSISCHE TECHNISCHE HOCHSCHULE ZUERICH
Schweiz
EU-Beitrag
€ 112 000,80
Adresse
Raemistrasse 101
8092 Zuerich

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Aktivitätstyp
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Kontakt Verwaltung
Timothy Ian Eglinton (Prof.)